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The Lowdown – Week 11

Welcome to The Lowdown for Week 11. This is my little corner of the fantasy football universe — feel free to pull up a chair and stay a while!

Know When to Fold ‘Em

Watching beloved football heroes near the end of their careers is always tough on the fans– but it must be even tougher on the athletes themselves. Some players– like Jim Brown and Barry Sanders– left while still at the top of their game, leaving their fans wanting just one more season; others, like John Elway, Reggie White or Michael Strahan, seemed to leave at just the right time. Then there’s the players who can’t take a hint, ignoring the ravages of time and the pleas of those who love them to just step down… you know, guys like Emmit Smith and Brett Favre, who tarnished otherwise stellar careers by simply not knowing when to quit.

Way back in Week 3 I predicted the demise of Peyton Manning and begged someone– anyone— to talk this Hall of Famer into stepping aside and get a start on his coaching career by letting Brock Osweiler take the reins and being his mentor. Well, it took an extra eight weeks, the worst performance of his career, and a foot injury to get Manning off the field.

Look, I don’t know if Osweiler is capable of taking the Broncos deep into the playoffs; then again, neither does anyone else, including coach Gary Kubiak. That’s why Osweiler needs to start the remainder of the regular season; the Broncos need to know if he’s their QB of the future. Because as I’ve been saying all year, the future is now for Denver.

Gripping Entertainment

Have any of you been watching Homeland this season? Man, is that a good show… I love Claire Daines’ acting, mainly because I’ve known a CIA agent or two, and they all look and act more like Carrie Mathison than James Bond. That’s why I was so disappointed to read an article where Daines joins the SJW movement to speak out on the body shaming of female actors. Funny, these complaints never seem to come from actors prior to becoming big stars, only after they’ve become enormously wealthy exploiting, among other things, their physical appearance.

Unlike Claire Daines and other assorted bubble heads, I never complained about being fat-shamed after I hit it big in the fantasy sports world; no, I complained about it since I was a 70 lb. toddler begging for attention from anyone who would give it to me. Don’t hate me for being fat, y’all; it’s not my fault. It’s the fault of all that food I cram down my gullet, way past the point of actually required sustenance.

Damn you food, if only you didn’t taste so good!

 

Interesting Players for Week 11

If you’re interested, here is the list of the top 10 at each offensive position (along with a relative value) for this weekend’s games. Use it to gauge how two players compare. For example, if Tom Brady has an FFRS of 44 this week and Derek Carr has a 33, then you should think of Brady as being a 33% stronger play than Carr this week. Use these FFRS for standard fantasy leagues for waivers or lineup decisions; in DFS leagues use the relative nature of the FFRS to gauge dollar values between players.

Good luck! (PPR scoring is used for the FFRS rankings below)

Top 10 QB Plays:

  1. Tom Brady, NEP (vs. Buf) – 23.70
  2. Cam Newton, CAR (vs. Was) – 20.87
  3. Carson Palmer, ARI (vs. Cin) – 20.14
  4. Philip Rivers, SDC (vs. KCC) – 20.03
  5. Derek Carr, OAK (vs. Det) – 19.76
  6. Andy Dalton, CIN (vs. Ari) – 19.60
  7. Tyrod Taylor, BUF (vs. NEP) – 18.95
  8. Matt Ryan, ATL (vs. Ind) – 17.33
  9. Alex Smith, KCC (vs. SDC) – 17.22
  10. Jameis Winston, TBB (vs. Phi) – 16.90

I’m expecting a shootout in the Cardinals-Bengals game, which means good performances out of both Carson Palmer and Andy Dalton… For the life of me, I don’t know how Cam Newton is having such a great season. I’ve seen a couple of Panthers’ games, and I still have no clue. It’s not like he has any legit receivers outside of TE Greg Olsen… It’ll be interesting to see how Tyrod Taylor performs now that all his weapons (McCoy, Watkins, Clay) will have played together for two consecutive weeks.

Top 10 RB Plays:

  1. Devonta Freeman, ATL (vs. Ind) – 25.13
  2. Lamar Miller, MIA (vs. Dal) – 20.61
  3. Todd Gurley, STL (vs. Bal) – 19.31
  4. Chris Ivory, NYJ (vs. Hou) – 19.20
  5. DeMarco Murray, PHI (vs. TBB) – 18.04
  6. Latavius Murray, OAK (vs. Det) – 16.91
  7. Charcandrick West, KCC (vs. SDC) – 16.89
  8. Frank Gore, IND (vs. Atl) – 16.86
  9. Justin Forsett, BAL (vs. StL) – 16.36
  10. LeSean McCoy, BUF (vs. NEP) – 16.22

Chris Ivory has been having a fine season while getting many props; you can expect 80 rushing yards and a TD, along with 2 catches and 20 receiving yards per game from him, which to my reckoning, works out to 18 PPR points per game… Charcandrick West has been on fire his last three games, averaging 137 scrimmage yards, three receptions and a TD per game. So much for that Knile Davis handcuff.

Top 10 WR Plays:

  1. Julio Jones, ATL (vs. Ind) – 27.99
  2. Amari Cooper, OAK (vs. Det) – 21.96
  3. Demaryius Thomas, DEN (vs. Chi) – 21.57
  4. Mike Evans, TBB (vs. Phi) – 21.36
  5. A.J. Green, CIN (vs. Ari) – 21.35
  6. Tavon Austin, STL (vs. Bal) – 21.30
  7. Stefon Diggs, MIN (vs. GBP) – 20.05
  8. Jarvis Landry, MIA (vs. Dal) – 19.98
  9. Jordan Matthews, PHI (vs. TBB) – 19.56
  10. Sammy Watkins, BUF (vs. NEP) – 19.21

Julio Jones comes off a bye week, which means he should be back to 100%– which is bad news for the Colts secondary… Stefon Diggs has cooled off considerably over the past two weeks but still remains a good play vs. the Packers… would love to see Jordan Matthews put up a big game.

Top 10 TE Plays:

  1. Rob Gronkowski, NEP (vs. Buf) – 17.37
  2. Jordan Reed, WAS (vs. Car) – 15.57
  3. Antonio Gates, SDC (vs. KCC) – 14.47
  4. Greg Olsen, CAR (vs. Was) – 14.12
  5. Tyler Eifert, CIN (vs. Ari) – 13.94
  6. Travis Kelce, KCC (vs. SDC) – 12.91
  7. Eric Ebron, DET (vs. Oak) – 12.73
  8. Jason Witten, DAL (vs. Mia) – 12.10
  9. Jacob Tamme, ATL (vs. Ind) – 12.00
  10. Crockett Gillmore, BAL (vs. StL) – 11.57

In addition to Mighty Max liking his chances this week, I’m playing a hunch in two of my leagues by starting Jacob Tamme… Reed didn’t put up too many catches or yards last week, but he did manage to haul in two TDs.

About John Georgopoulos

John T. Georgopoulos is a 23-year veteran of fantasy sports journalism. John’s Fantasy Forecast series has won the prestigious Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA) award for Best Series, and he’s been nominated as an FSWA Award finalist on nine occasions. You can also listen to his weekly, non-sports NSFW opinions at The Riot.