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The Lowdown – Week 3

Welcome to The Lowdown for Week 3. This is my little corner of the fantasy football universe — feel free to pull up a chair and stay a while!

City of Brotherly Scorn

I’m not sure how I feel about Chip Kelly. On the one hand, he seems to be an innovative offensive football mind; on the other hand, he’s managed to motivate prized free agent acquisition RB Demarco Murray into a 0.5 ypc through two games. Some of his (now) ex-players see him as a racist, others say he’s just a “my way or the highway” guy.

What I do know about Kelly is that having become the GM in addition to the head coach, the Eagles have seemed to nosedive. Sam Bradford is struggling, Murray is struggling, I couldn’t tell you the receivers are doing well. Basically, the whole team seems completely under water right now. Kelly is just another coach in a long line of coaches who insisted on being allowed to “shop for the groceries if he’s expected to cook” who ultimately proved to have been good on the field but horrible in the front office. There’s a reason GM and head coach are two different jobs: it’s highly unlikely that any one person could simultaneously perform both jobs satisfactorily.

So deal with it, Philly fans. I never liked you anyway.

Borrowed Time

After watching Peyton Manning play the past two weeks, I have to say that this is likely his last season– and he might not even make it through the entire season. I’ve heard a lot of experts claim that Gary Kubiak is messing with his QB by changing the offensive scheme to something that Manning doesn’t “like,” but I’m not buying that at all. As a matter of fact, I think it’s the complete opposite: Kubiak is trying to shelter and prop-up his aging star QB.

Manning’s numbers are way off his past performances (431 yards, 3 TD/2 INT, sacked 7 times) and he clearly seems to be losing arm strength as the game wears on. Now word is that Manning will skip Wednesday practices in order to rest up before the game– and it’s only Week 3. Three weeks into the season and Manning is already got wet noodle arm.

Look folks, sometimes the best thing we can do for our aging loved ones is to take them to the side and tell them it’s OK to let go. That’s what Manning needs: someone to tell him it’s OK to retire before he destroys his legacy the way Brett Favre did. He can sit on the sideline and be the wise mentor to Brock Osweiler while still being available for relief duty. Kinda the way Johnny Unitas was for Earl Morrall; then the way Morrall was for Bob Griese (look those guys up if you’re too young to get the references).

Are you listening Eli Manning?

Almost There

I promised you some DFS rankings based on my old FFRS (Fantasy Forecast Rating System) this week, and I made a lot of progress towards that goal. Obviously, the Thursday Night game isn’t included in today’s column, and I still need to figure out the best way to tie them in to FanDuel or DraftKings dollar amounts. But what I did for this week, if you’re interested, is list the Top 10 at each offensive position along with a relative value. Use it to gauge how two player compare. For example, if Tom Brady has an FFRS of 44 this week and Derek Carr has a 33, then you should think of Brady as being a 33% stronger play than Carr this week. Use these FFRS for standard fantasy leagues for waivers or lineup decisions; in DFS leagues use the relative nature of the FFRS to gauge dollar values between players (like I said, I’m working on normalizing a dollar scale to the FFRS for DFS leagues).

Good luck!

About John Georgopoulos

John T. Georgopoulos is a 24-year veteran of fantasy sports journalism. John’s Fantasy Forecast series has won the prestigious Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA) award for Best Series, and he’s been nominated as an FSWA Award finalist on nine occasions. You can also listen to and watch all his various shows at The Riot.