Jones-Drew entered the league in 2006 and was drafted to be the complement to Fred Taylor, who had one of his worst seasons in a long time in 2005. MJD paid dividends right out of the gate putting up over 1,400 total yards and 15 touchdowns, while
However, let’s not underestimate the impact that will be felt simply from
It is always tough for any runner who has never seen that many carries to make it through a full NFL season without issue. Michael Turner seemingly proved that theory wrong in
Even if you do think that he can handle the increase in touches and that his size is not something that is working against him, you cannot argue with one other thing, and that is the fact that over the course of the past three years, his yards-per-carry have decreased each season. On top of that, not only were his yards-per-carry at a career low in 2008, but so were his yards-per-catch. Whenever an athlete’s (especially a running back’s) numbers steadily decline, people start questioning things. However, for some reason, Jones-Drew has been immune to this, and most people just ignore the fact that his numbers keep on going downhill. I’m aware that it is only going to be his fourth year in the NFL so his body is not as worn as some, but we have seen other players with shorter tenures in the league fall to the wayside.
While I don’t think that Jones-Drew is going to have a completely awful season, in no way do I believe that he is worth even the fourth overall pick, let alone the first. He is still an enticing early option in PPR leagues, but if you are in a non-PPR league, let someone else take MJD. His increase in touches, in combination with his lack of size and consistently decreasing numbers have me avoiding him like a vendor on the street selling discolored hot dogs unless I can get him late in the first round (which will not happen). At best, I see him putting up 1,200 total yards and nine touchdowns in 2009, which puts him behind several other players that have a first-round ADP and will deliver results.
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