Top 5 Pick ‘Em
Season Record: 3-2
Kansas City +5 (@ Pittsburgh) – Overreactions aside, I like the Chiefs to win the game outright. The Steelers are historically slow starters, and while they have a decent record at home, they have trouble covering the spread. The Chiefs on the other hand, have covered the spread 80% of the time in their last 11 September road games.
Washington -5.5 (vs. Indianapolis) – It’s quite possible that Alex Smith is indeed an upgrade over Kirk Cousins. The bottom line in this game is that the Colts are still horrendous on defense. Andrew Luck can’t do it all. He has no help from the defense or his running backs.
New York Jets -2.5 (vs. Miami) – Sam Darnold is all the talk in New York, but the Jets defense deserves an equal amount of buzz. Was Matthew Stafford really that bad or was the Jets defense just that good? Probably a combination of the two, but Ryan Tannehill doesn’t strike fear into opposing teams. The Dolphins have only covered the spread twice in the last 13 games against AFC East opponents.
Philadelphia -3 (@ Tampa Bay) – Hats off to the Buccaneers as they shocked the Saints and many Survivor Pool players in week 1. The key difference in this matchup is the Eagles defense, and more specifically, their ability to put pressure on Fitzpatrick. The Bucs will also be without their top two cornerbacks, Brent Grimes and Vernon Hargreaves.
New England -1 (@ Jacksonville) – The Patriots have won 14 of their last 15 road games and the Jaguars will be without Leonard Fournette this weekend. Neither team has any wide receivers that are worth talking about, so this matchup really comes down to Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski versus the Jaguars defense.
Top Survivor Picks
Los Angeles Chargers (@ Buffalo) – Going into the season, we were unsure if Tampa Bay or Buffalo was the worst team in the league. It is clear now. Although Josh Allen is an upgrade over Nathan Peterman, right?
Washington (vs. Indianapolis) – See above.
San Francisco (vs. Detroit) – The 49ers are the 5th most popular pick this week. Let them prove it before overreacting to the Lions demise. If all goes well for the 49ers these next few weeks, look for them in week 5 against the Cardinals.