Tuesday - Apr 23, 2019

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PICK’EM AND SURVIVOR: Week 1

Top 5 Pick ‘Em

New England -7 (vs. Kansas City)

Not only is it commonplace to stay away from betting against the Patriots, but you’ve been rewarded handsomely for betting with the Patriots. In the last five years, they have covered at least 12 spreads in each regular season. 14 of which came last year in 2016. Sure, the Chiefs are solid, but losing Spencer Ware will have a bigger effect on their offense in the short term than most expect.

Atlanta -6 (@ Chicago)

No team is looking to put 2016 in the rear view more than the Falcons. They are lucky enough to open 2017 against the ragtag bunch of misfits in Chicago. With only one real offensive threat in Jordan Howard, it will truly be miraculous if the Bears can keep pace with the Falcons offense.

Arizona +3 (@ Detroit)

The Lions haven’t beaten the Cardinals in over 10 years (seven games) and it’s unlikely to change this Sunday. The Cardinals have one of the most opportunistic defensive units who thrive against a quarterback like Matthew Stafford. In Stafford’s four career games against the Cardinals, he has totaled less than 900 passing yards and has a 3:7 touchdowns to interception ratio.

Houston -4 (vs. Jacksonville)

The Texans have a top tier defense. Blake Bortles is a bottom tier quarterback.

Los Angeles Rams +3 (vs. Indianapolis)

Scott Tolzien gets the start in Indianapolis while Andrew Luck is still sidelined until further notice. The Rams added Sammy Watkins on offense and Jared Goff looked like a new man this preseason.

 

Top Survivor Pick

Atlanta (@ Chicago) – See above.  The same reasoning applies as to why they are the best Survivor pick on the board.

 

Survivor Avoid

Pittsburgh (@ Cleveland)

It is a division game and the Steelers are the most popular pick this week. Also, Ben Roethlisberger is atrocious on the road.

About Jordan Gingery

Jordan dreams of a world where kickers and defenses are picked in the last two rounds of fantasy drafts and the Carolina Panthers win the Superbowl every year. As a Fantasy Football Staff Writer at Fantasy Sharks, he is responsible for the weekly Survivor article during the regular season and is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA). When he is not giving advice and helping people win their fantasy champions, he can be found brewing his own beer... and drinking it!