Top 5 Pick ‘Em
Season record: 11-14
New York Giants +3 (vs. Philadelphia) – In a division that no team wants to win, Philadelphia finds itself only one game ahead of the Giants in what has been a disappointing season thus far. Philadelphia is averaging a mere 21 points per game with their highest total being only 23. This game will be close as both teams battle to stay out of last place in the NFC East.
New York Jets -2.5 (vs. Indianapolis) – The Jets have been two-faced this year and have only struggled against better defensive units. Indianapolis does not have one of the better defensive units. Andrew Luck looks like he is coming back into form, but he will most likely be without T.Y. Hilton and Jack Doyle again this week. That only leaves him with a putrid run game on which to lean.
Cincinnati -2.5 (vs. Pittsburgh) – Cincinnati has covered six of its last seven spreads and we all know the story with Ben Roethlisberger on the road. Pittsburgh is not the only team with kicking woes, but Chris Boswell has already missed six kicks this year. That is already more than he missed in any previous season.
Chicago -3 (at Miami) – Can Mitchell Trubisky throw for another six touchdowns this weekend? Unlikely, which is fine, because two will probably be enough. Chicago has the top-ranked defense in the league and Ryan Tannehill has only thrown for 285 yards and one touchdown over the past two weeks. Khalil Mack and company are going to have a feast.
Carolina +1 (at Washington) – This line surprises me – which is usually a red flag. However, if we dig down into the stats, there is a reason this line is surprising. On one side Carolina boasts the top-ranked rushing offense in the league. On the other side, the Carolina defense is the least penalized in the league and have been stopping opposing teams on 70 percent of their third down conversion attempts. Thomas Davis is back, and Greg Olsen looks like he will return as well. Historically, Carolina has won the last five meetings between these teams.
Top Survivor Pick
Green Bay (vs. San Francisco) – The Green Bay game last week would have been very different if Mason Crosby made half of the field goals he missed.
Seattle (vs. Oakland) – Seattle barely pulled out a win against what looks to be the best team in the league last week the Rams. Oakland, while close in all games, is far from being coached well enough to play well in Seattle.
Minnesota (vs. Arizona) – Minnesota has played up-and-down to each of its opponents this year. Arizona is nothing special by any means, but things can get wonky with division games. Save Minnesota for when it faces Miami later this year. This is the most popular pick this week.