Tuesday - Apr 23, 2019

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Player Prop Bets – Week 10


Each week I dig through player props and attempt to pick out the most attractive opportunities.  After all, betting is all about finding bad odds and exploiting them! The
Sand$
represents how much I am wagering and ultimately how confident I am in each bet. The money line is displayed at the end of each bet.  Like a point spread, the money line is used to even out the attractiveness of both sides. For example, a negative line of -115 would require a bet of 115 Sand$ in order to win 100 Sand$.  A positive line of +130 would return 130 Sand$ when a bet of 100 Sand$ is placed. Occasionally I will put out a parlay bet as well.
A parlay is a single bet that links together two or more individual wagers and is dependent on all of those wagers winning together. The benefit of the parlay bet is much better odds than placing each individual bet separately since the difficulty of hitting it is much higher.

Season prop bets: 20,000 Sand$

Week 5 prop bets: 2,100 Sand$

Last week gain/loss:

+509
Sand$


Season gain/loss:
+3,819
Sand$




Week 9 Results:

100 Sand$ –
Donald Brown (Colts) Total Rushing Yards UNDER 63.5
(-115)
(+87)


300 Sand$ –
Dwayne Allen (Colts) Total Receptions OVER 2.5
(EVEN)

(+300)


200 Sand$ –
Ray Rice (Ravens) Total Rushing + Receiving Yards UNDER 120.5
(-115)
(+174)

100 Sand$ –
Josh Gordon (Browns) Total Receptions OVER 2.5
(-115)
(-100)

200 Sand$ –
Greg Olsen (Panthers) Total Receiving Yards OVER 39.5
(-115)
(+174)

200 Sand$ –
Arian Foster (Texans) Total Rushing Yards OVER 109.5
(-115)
(+174)

300 Sand$ –
Chris Johnson (Titans) Total Rushing Yards UNDER 83.5
(-115)

(-300)







Week 10 Player Prop Bets:





100 Sand$ –

Cam Newton

(Panthers) Total Passing Yards OVER 230.5

(-115)


Newton has thrown for more than 230 yards in each game when he attempts more than 15 passes.  Look for the Panthers to pass a lot while they try to keep up with the high powered Broncos offense on Sunday.


400 Sand$ –


Greg Olsen

(Panthers) Total Receiving Yards OVER 46.5

(-115)


The Broncos are one of the worst teams in league defending against tight ends and Olsen is averaging just under 50 yards per game.


100 Sand$ –



Hakeem Nicks

(Giants) Total Receptions UNDER 4.5

(-115)


Gut call of the week!


600 Sand$ –


Chris Johnson

(Titans) Total Rushing Yards UNDER 94.5

(-115
)


I am still not sold that Johnson has turned his season (or career) around. His flukey 80-yard run broke last weeks’ bet against the Bears.  I’ll be a believer again if CJ can put together 95 rushing yards against a top ranked Dolphins run defense.


200 Sand$ –


Brian Hartline

(Dolphins) Total Receptions OVER 4.5

(EVEN)


AND Brian Hartline (Dolphins) Total Receiving Yards OVER 58.5

(-115)

Hartline is the clear #1 option in Miami when he is healthy.  His opportunity coupled with the pitiful Titans defense is a recipe for success.


300 Sand$ –


Shonn Greene

(Jets) Total Rushing Yards UNDER 62.5

(-115)


I went back and forth between this bet and Mark Sanchez under 20.5 completions.  The Jets are on the road against a tough Seattle defense.  I wouldn’t be surprised if this game is uglier than the the Jets v. 49ers trouncing in Week 4.


300 Sand$ –

Steven Jackson (Rams) Total Rushing Yards UNDER 58.5 (-115)


Familiar faces in familiar places.  Well, Steven Jackson has yet to face the 49ers this year. He has also not been able to rush for more than 58 yards in any game this season.


200 Sand$ –

Alex Smith (49ers) Total Completions UNDER 18.5 (-115)


Familiar faces in…… Well anyway, he hasn’t completed more than 18 passes since Week 3.

Season Prop Bets:






5,000 Sand$ –
New York Jets to win under 8.5 games
(-180)


5,000 Sand$ –

Jimmy Graham to record +35 receiving yards over Rob Gronkowski
(-135)


Graham: 387 receiving yards

Gronkowski: 580 receiving yards


5,000 Sand$ –

Greg Olsen over 550.5 receiving yards
(-115)


Olsen: 395 receiving yards




5,000 Sand$ –
BenJarvus

Green-Ellis over 850.5 rushing yards
(-115)


Green-Ellis: 487 rushing yards

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