Tuesday - Apr 23, 2019

Home / Commentary / Player Prop Bets – Week 14

Player Prop Bets – Week 14

Each week I dig through player props and attempt to pick out the most attractive opportunities. After all, betting is all about finding bad odds and exploiting them! The
Sand$
represents how much I am wagering and ultimately how confident I am in each bet. The money line is displayed at the end of each bet. Like a point spread, the money line is used to even out the attractiveness of both sides. For example, a negative line of -115 would require a bet of 115 Sand$ in order to win 100 Sand$. A positive line of +130 would return 130 Sand$ when a bet of 100 Sand$ is placed.

Occasionally I will put out a parlay bet as well.

A parlay is a single bet that links together two or more individual wagers and is dependent on all of those wagers winning together. The benefit of the parlay bet is much better odds than placing each individual bet separately since the difficulty of hitting it is much higher.






Season prop bets: 20,000 Sand$
Week 11 prop bets: 2,500 Sand$
Last week gain/loss:


+4,566



Sand$
Season gain/loss:


+13,108



Sand$





Week 13 Results





200 Sand$ –


Ryan Lindley (Arizona) First Pass Will Be INCOMPLETE
(EVEN)



(-200)





400 Sand$ –


Mark Sanchez (New York) Total Completions UNDER 19.5
(-115)

(+348)




400 Sand$ –


Steve Smith (Carolina) Total Receiving Yards OVER 60.5



(-115)

(+348)



200 Sand$ –


Brady Quinn (Kansas City) Will Throw an INTERCEPTION before a TOUCHDOWN

 
(-110)

(-200)




200 Sand$ –


C.J. Spiller (Buffalo) Total Rushing + Receiving Yards OVER 113.5



(-115)


(-200)


300 Sand$ –


Stevan Ridley (New England) Total Rushing Yards UNDER 78.5



(-115)

(+261)






200 Sand$ –


Reggie Bush (Miami) Total Rushing + Receiving Yards UNDER 80.5



(-115)

(+174)






400 Sand$ –


Eric Decker (Denver) Total Receptions Over 4
(-115)

 (-400)






100 Sand$ –



Indianapolis Colts Will Score 2.5 MORE Points Than Titans
 
(-115)

(+87)









Week 14 Player Prop Bets



100 Sand$


Ray Rice
(Baltimore) Total Rushing + Receiving Yards UNDER 118.5

(-115)




The Washington run defense ranks in the Top 5 while the pass defense is second-worst in the league. Offensive coordinator Cam Cameron and the Ravens continue to be all over the place in how Rice is used on a weekly basis.


200 Sand$




Philip Rivers
(San Diego) Total Completions OVER 21.5

(-115)




Rivers has topped 21 completions in nine out of 12 games this season. Pittsburgh has one of the best pass defenses in the league, but the Chargers certainly aren’t getting anywhere trying to run the ball.





200 Sand$




Philadelphia – Total Completions OVER 20.5



(-115)





The Eagles pass offense hasn’t been anything special since Nick Foles took over (well, it hasn’t been anything special since Michael Vick was resurrected in 2010). The Eagles will most likely be playing from behind against the league’s worst pass defense.


 



300 Sand$ –




Reggie Bush
(Miami) Total Rushing + Receiving Yards UNDER 84.5
(-115)


Bush righted the ship last week with an underwhelming performance. Now the Dolphins are on the road in San Francisco.



300 Sand$ –




Michael Turner
(Atlanta) Will NOT Score a Touchdown


(EVEN)

AND Michael Turner (Atlanta) Total Rushing Attempts UNDER 15



(-115)





Michael Turner stinks, and these goal line rushing touchdowns will not happen every week.



200 Sand$ –


Lance Moore (New Orleans) Total Receiving Yards OVER 60.5
(-115)




Gut call of the week!







500 Sand$




Greg Jennings
(Green Bay) Total Receptions OVER 4.5

(-115)





Jordy Nelson has already been ruled out for Sunday night and James Jones hasn’t been heard from in weeks.  Jennings and Randall Cobb should both have huge games.





300 Sand$





Randall Cobb
(Green Bay) Total Receiving Yards OVER 60.5

(-115)





See above.






100 Sand$


– St. Louis
Will Score 4.5 MORE Points Than Kansas City
(-115)



300 Sand$


– Detroit
Will Score .5 MORE Points Than Seattle
(-115)





Season Prop Bets



5,000 Sand$ –
New York Jets to win under 8.5 games


(-180)

 




5,000 Sand$



Jimmy Graham to record +35 receiving yards over Rob Gronkowski
(-135)


Graham: 654 receiving yards
Gronkowski: 748 receiving yards





5,000 Sand$


Greg Olsen over 550.5 receiving yards



(-115)




(+4,348)



Olsen: 636 receiving yards


5,000 Sand$ –
BenJarvus



Green-Ellis over 850.5 rushing yards


(-115)




(+4,348)



Green-Ellis: 885 rushing yards

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FantasySharks.com began in 2003, disseminating fantasy football content on the web for free. It is, or has been, home to some of the most talented and best known fantasy writers on the planet. Owned and operated by Tony Holm (5 time Fantasy Sports Writer Association Hall-of-Fame nominee,) Tony started writing fantasy content in 1993 for the only three fantasy football web sites in existence at the time.