Tuesday - Jan 15, 2019

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THE PROGNOSTICATOR: Week 10

Welcome my fantasy brethren to another edition of The Prognosticator, may it be your cup of tea. Another week in the NFL, another week of a doomsayer (Bob Costas) declaring the end of the NFL. I agree that less and less will play the sport as kids and interest from that perspective will wane, but ever since the Gladiators in Roman times, humanity has a thirst for violent sports. It’s an odd obsession we have. While there are true racing fans out there, most just watch for the crashes; it’s how we are wired. Football will always provide a path to riches and an opportunity that many would never have. It is a “leg up” for them and their families and for as long as there are people watching, there will be advertisers that want to reach those people and there will be players willing to sacrifice themselves to provide a better life for those around them. There will be bumps along the way no doubt, amongst the current civil protests many have turned away from the NFL in their own personal protest and the NFL will need to work through this together. Concussions are a problem but the game can be modified to reduce them while maintaing a high level of entertainment. The rule changes may be drastic but there will still be an entertaining product on the field. There is a way out, it is just going to take time, cooperation, understanding and a desire to change the game to preserve it’s future. Until the league, owners, players and even viewers can all come together and do what’s right for the game, it will be a struggle and if there is anything that rips the NFL apart it will be due to a lack of cooperation amongst all stake holders. The current Collective Bargaining Agreement extends through the 2020 season and this next agreement will be a rough one. It will take perhaps even an entire lost season in 2021 to wake up everyone involved and it may come to that. Until everyone starts realizing it’s the game that they should protect and not their bank account balances, things will not change. 2021 will be when all these issues will be forced to the forefront and it will be nasty for all involved but from the pain and the pieces will come unity and more understanding and ultimately, it will have nothing to do with concussions if the NFL fails. It will be because of greed and a struggle for power if the game truly fails.
Passing Rushing
Team Score Team Score
SEA 297 DAL 159
PIT 280 JAX 146
NO 275 NYG 137
SF 275 CHI 134
TB 268 MIN 132
DET 264 NE 124
LAR 260 NO 124
DEN 249 LAR 123
ARI 235 GB 123
ATL 234 BUF 122
CLE 230 PIT 119
NYJ 230 NYJ 113
NE 225 TEN 111
HOU 225 HOU 109
MIN 222 IND 105
JAX 217 CLE 104
IND 216 CAR 104
TEN 210 SEA 100
CHI 208 ATL 99
WAS 205 LAC 97
NYG 204 DEN 96
DAL 203 SF 96
CAR 198 TB 91
MIA 198 ARI 90
CIN 193 WAS 79
LAC 192 MIA 78
BUF 179 DET 72
GB 178 CIN 68

How to read the table: The table shows how a team will do Passing and Rushing in the upcoming week of the NFL. Red is HOT, Yellow is WARM, White is NORMAL, Light Blue is COLD and Dark Blue is FREEZING COLD. Play players from teams that are Red and Yellow, avoid players from teams that are Light or Dark Blue and expect average days from teams that are White.

All times are Eastern

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals – Thursday 8:25pm
We had the final score as 23-17 which is a lot closer to a “football score” than 22-16, which it ultimately was. Russell Wilson had a good game but we expected a monster game after his last three weeks of putting up large fantasy scores.

 

Favorite: Seattle Seahawks by 5.5
Prediction: Seattle Seahawks 23 – Arizona Cardinals 17
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills – Sunday 1:00pm
The Saints on the road is disconcerting as they just haven’t been a good road team but we’ve all been waiting for the other shoe to drop on the Bills. Sure, it seems like they are getting a lot of their pieces back but I think we all know, deep down, it’s still the Bills and this was slated to be a rebuilding year for them. They are 5-3 and a perfect 4-0 at home but even the Jets have scored more points than they have. The one unit that has managed to get them this far has actually been their defense but that is starting to crumble down the stretch. You know the Bills team everyone was expecting this year? The team that would run LeSean McCoy like mad and flounders everywhere else? Expect that team on Sunday in a regression back to their norm. Big day coming up for your Saints, don’t neglect them.

 

Favorite: New Orleans Saints by 2.5
Prediction: New Orleans Saints 30 – Buffalo Bills 24
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts – Sunday 1:00pm
With all the troubles Indianapolis has had, it is no surprise that the Steelers are a heavy favorite. Fantasy wise, you play your Steelers in this and you enjoy their productive days but the plot twist that no one, and I mean NO ONE sees coming is just how gritty the Colts will play at home.

 

Favorite: Pittsburgh Steelers by 10
Prediction: Indianapolis Colts 23 – Pittsburgh Steelers 20
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans – Sunday 1:00pm
The Titans are tough to beat at home. The simple combination of their power running game, home field and some solid play from the Tennessee defense will be enough to get by the unraveling Bengals who should know by now that their coaching staff, quarterback and large swaths of their offense and defense will either be looking for work or will be wearing another jersey next year. You have to play A.J. Green and I may even endorse Tyler Kroft but beyond those two, it will be a bad day for your Bengals. It may not be a good day for those two either.

 

Favorite: Tennessee Titans by 5
Prediction: Tennessee Titans 24 – Cincinnati Bengals 17
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

About Tony Holm

Founder and President of FantasySharks.com. Five-time nominee for the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's Hall of Fame. Started publishing fantasy content on the web in 1993 and hasn't stopped yet.