Sunday - Apr 21, 2019

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THE PROGNOSTICATOR: Week 13

Welcome my fantasy brethren to another edition of The Prognosticator, may it rule the roost. Thanks everyone for giving me some time to handle some family business the last two weeks. Some things, you just can’t plan for. I’m back in the seat, so let’s get on with the show!

 

Passing Rushing
Team Score Team Score
TB 303 BAL 155
LAR 299 DEN 152
ATL 271 HOU 152
IND 270 CAR 145
NO 267 TEN 142
KC 266 KC 138
PHI 265 BUF 138
MIN 263 SEA 134
DET 259 SF 126
DAL 252 NO 126
DEN 251 WAS 126
PIT 249 GB 124
WAS 248 LAC 122
SF 247 CHI 121
HOU 245 JAX 120
CIN 243 IND 116
CLE 233 DET 115
CHI 233 ARI 115
BUF 227 OAK 111
OAK 226 CLE 111
CAR 225 MIA 109
NE 223 NE 107
SEA 218 PIT 107
NYG 216 PHI 107
TEN 216 TB 106
GB 214 DAL 102
JAX 213 LAR 102
NYJ 210 NYJ 99
LAC 208 CIN 93
ARI 205 MIN 89
BAL 200 NYG 89
MIA 173 ATL 89

How to read the table: The table shows how a team will do Passing and Rushing in the upcoming week of the NFL. Red is HOT, Yellow is WARM, White is NORMAL, Light Blue is COLD and Dark Blue is FREEZING COLD. Play players from teams that are Red and Yellow, avoid players from teams that are Light or Dark Blue and expect average days from teams that are White.

All times are Eastern

New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys – Thursday 8:20pm
The Dallas Cowboys are a different team today than they were just three weeks ago. What has changed is that instead of predictably just handing the ball off to Ezekiel Elliott they are now leveraging Amari Cooper and the rest of the receiving game. It finally makes Dallas a better team just because they aren’t as predictable as they once were. The downside for fantasy players however, is that Ezekiel Elliott‘s value has taken a bit of a hit lately and against the Saints, it won’t get any better. The Saints are most susceptible when trying to defend the pass and Dallas will try to exploit their secondary.

 

Favorite: New Orleans Saints by 7.5
Prediction: New Orleans Saints 37 – Dallas Cowboys 24
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins – Sunday 1:00pm
The lines makers haven’t caught up to Buffalo yet and still discredit them as a bad team and while neither one of these teams would be considered good, it’s the Bills that are better than many give them credit for. Like last week, we had the Bills winning outright which was an upset and the Bills won. There’s nothing different here as the Bills will run the ball exceedingly well with LeSean McCoy and they will battle their way to victory. Steer clear of your Dolphins this week, there will be nothing of value to play in any of your lineups.

 

Favorite: Miami Dolphins by 5.5
Prediction: Buffalo Bills 21 – Miami Dolphins 20
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals – Sunday 1:00pm
If Cincinnati had both Andy Dalton and A.J. Green available, they would be able to compete in this game but with Andy Dalton gone for the year and A.J. Green questionable, it is going to be an uphill climb for the Bengals. Denver will be able to run the ball with authority so do not forget about Phillip Lindsay in this one.

 

Favorite: Denver Broncos by 4.5
Prediction: Denver Broncos 24 – Cincinnati Bengals 23
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars – Sunday 1:00pm
The wheels have come off in Jacksonville. Blake Bortles will be holding a clipboard and their star running back Leonard Fournette will be serving his one-game suspension for fighting. The only play from the Jacksonville side would be Carlos Hyde as while it’s not a cream puff matchup, there should be opportunity, particularly when you consider that the game plan will feature more running plays to try to keep the pressure off the quarterback.
Indianapolis should have played a lot better last week in a close game against Miami and are the superior team here. Expect a lot of Andrew Luck to all of his receivers including tight end Eric Ebron who no longer will need to compete for targets with Jack Doyle going on the IR. Marlon Mack too could work in a pinch if you are looking for a flex play this week to round out your lineup but he may be sidelined with a concussion though he did practice Thursday.

 

Favorite: Indianapolis Colts by 4
Prediction: Indianapolis Colts 31 – Jacksonville Jaguars 23
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Chicago Bears at New York Giants – Sunday 1:00pm
Neither team will play all that well offensively. Chicago will keep the Giants on their heels as Eli Manning will struggle to find any sort of time to throw with the relentless Chicago pass rush. You play Saquon Barkley and Odell Beckham, they’re too good not to but it’s going to be a difficult week for both. The Bears will confuse the New York defense by spreading the ball around to everyone. It will reduce the fantasy potential of the Chicago offense but as a team, they will play well enough to win, leaving very little doubt as to who the better team was.

 

Favorite: Chicago Bears by 4.5
Prediction: Chicago Bears 33 – New York Giants 24
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

About Tony Holm

Founder and President of FantasySharks.com. Five-time nominee for the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's Hall of Fame. Started publishing fantasy content on the web in 1993 and hasn't stopped yet.