Friday - Mar 22, 2019

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THE PROGNOSTICATOR: Week 14

Welcome my fantasy brethren to another edition of The Prognosticator, may it bring a little cheer. This time of the season we start looking at records, playoff implications and home and away records as it helps to identify who the teams are this season. Like every year, we have some contenders and pretenders, let’s find out who’s who. Enjoy the games!

 

Passing Rushing
Team Score Team Score
NO 285 NYJ 137
WAS 277 TEN 133
SD 272 BUF 127
OAK 270 DAL 124
TB 267 CIN 124
ATL 267 OAK 118
NYG 263 ARI 118
CIN 263 HOU 115
SEA 255 NO 113
CAR 255 PHI 112
ARI 254 ATL 112
DAL 253 KC 112
CHI 252 PIT 109
BAL 251 SF 109
KC 250 WAS 105
DEN 248 MIA 105
PIT 247 IND 103
NE 246 CLE 103
GB 246 JAX 102
LA 243 TB 102
PHI 242 CHI 100
DET 238 GB 99
CLE 237 CAR 98
NYJ 235 SEA 98
HOU 234 SD 97
SF 223 DEN 96
BUF 219 NE 96
JAX 216 MIN 94
TEN 216 DET 94
MIN 210 BAL 92
MIA 208 LA 90
IND 208 NYG 80

How to read the table: The table shows how a team will do Passing and Rushing in the upcoming week of the NFL. Red is HOT, Yellow is WARM, White is NORMAL, Light Blue is COLD and Dark Blue is FREEZING COLD. Play players from teams that are Red and Yellow, avoid players from teams that are Light or Dark Blue and expect average days from teams that are White.

All times are Eastern
 

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs – Thursday 8:25pm
This game has been played as I write this. After a nice long win streak on Thursday night, all good things must come to an end. The expectation was that the Raiders would continue their winning ways in a very tight contest and that was not to be. It was somewhat tight, but not as high scoring as predicted.

 

Favorite: Kansas City Chiefs by 3.5
Prediction: Oakland Raiders 30 – Kansas City Chiefs 27
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills – Sunday 1:00pm
The Bills are at home in a game that could be negatively influenced by the weather. When the weather gets bad, there’s nothing like a strong ground game to keep the chains moving. Both teams have exactly that with LeSean McCoy and Le’Veon Bell. But the outcome is obvious right? I mean, we all know that the team that has scored more points than the other this season is going to win this right? Oh wait.. the Bills have scored more points than the Steelers you say? Huh.

 

Favorite: Pittsburgh Steelers by 2
Prediction: Buffalo Bills 30 – Pittsburgh Steelers 23
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts – Sunday 1:00pm
I. Hate. This. Game. If you’ve been reading this season you know we just believe in the power of Luck when it comes to the Colts, then we rinse and repeat. This “strategy” has worked out really well for us but this game has more red flags than I care to admit. It’s a division game between two 6-6 teams. The Colts have been hot, winners of their last three and the Texans have stumbled, sometimes dramatically so. But the matchup is a tough one for the Colts as the Texans play hard on defense and their secondary is tough to beat. Where it all falls apart for the Texans is at the quarterback position but there have been small signs lately, very small signs, that Brock Osweiler may be coming around. On the ground, the Texans can always supply a heavy dose of Lamar Miller and because of it, they become one of the better 6-6 teams in the league. The Colts defense has not been good and that will show here as the Texans rough up the Colts at home. Or.. if you prefer, you can throw everything I just said away and just believe in the power of Luck as that my friends, has truly not been a bad strategy.

 

Favorite: Indianapolis Colts by 5
Prediction: Houston Texans 20 – Indianapolis Colts 13
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Arizona Cardinals at Miami Dolphins – Sunday 1:00pm
The Dolphins are at home coming off an embarrasing loss after being a team that was on the rise and winning tough games. The Cardinals are better than their 5-6-1 record indicates but there are signs that they have stopped playing and that the Cardinals will need to address some coaching changes in the off season as there is a disconnect between the players and the coaches and that chemistry needs to be restored. The Dolphins are 5-1 at home this season and the Cardinals are 1-4 on the road — that pretty much says it all.

 

Favorite: Miami Dolphins by 2
Prediction: Miami Dolphins 24 – Arizona Cardinals 23
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns – Sunday 1:00pm
The Battle for Ohio between the two cellar dwellers in the AFC North. It is easy to dismiss an 0-12 team that has the worst point differential in the league at -155. That just means they have scored 155 less points than they have let up this year (sorry if that was obvious.) In fact, only the Rams have scored less points than the Browns this season. What you have to realize though, is that there is more desperation in a winless team than a 4-7-1 team like the Bengals who are also going nowhere fast. Cincinnati is 1-3-1 in their last five and are 1-5 on the road this year. This game will be a lot closer than many give it credit just due to a desperate Browns team that is sick of losing. Fantasy wise, load up on your Bengals as they will play well here and stay away from your Browns but the Browns will keep it close.

 

Favorite: Cincinnati Bengals by 6
Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals 21 – Cleveland Browns 20
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Denver Broncos at Tennessee Titans – Sunday 1:00pm
What a great game this is. The Broncos have the defense but I’ll take the Titans on offense any day of the week, especially with DeMarco Murray and their terrific ground game. This is going to be a war. Tennessee on offense can run the ball and if the Broncos have a weakness on defense, it’s against strong running teams.  The Broncos over commit trying to get to the quarterback (it’s all about the strip sacks in Denver) and that opens up opportunity in the running lanes.  There is some concern over who plays at quarterback for Denver and either way, it’s not the best of situations. With Tennessee at home (which is a very challenging place to play for opposing teams) it’s enough to push the Titans over the edge and into the winners circle.

 

Favorite: Even
Prediction: Tennessee Titans 27 – Denver Broncos 24
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

About Tony Holm

Founder and President of FantasySharks.com. Five-time nominee for the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's Hall of Fame. Started publishing fantasy content on the web in 1993 and hasn't stopped yet.