Wednesday - Jan 16, 2019

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THE PROGNOSTICATOR: Week 17

Welcome my fantasy brethren to another edition of The Prognosticator, may it give one last pearl. There are still a few Week 17 playoff games and for all the complaining and negative opinion on Week 17 playoff games, most that complain don’t actually play in one. I’m in one and I think it’s an interesting challenge in a way. When Week 17 counts, you learn to prepare for that week ahead of time which adds another level of complexity to the league. Realize that both opponents face the same challenges making it an even contest. I could argue that being able to win in Week 17, accounting for the increased difficulty and overcoming all the extra challenges, maybe does indeed produce a true champion of the league over someone who just starts Todd Gurley every week.

 

Passing Rushing
Team Score Team Score
PIT 285 BAL 130
JAX 270 ARI 129
ATL 261 BUF 126
TB 253 NO 125
LAC 253 NE 124
NE 247 NYJ 124
SF 246 IND 124
DET 244 CLE 121
NO 242 HOU 120
PHI 238 MIA 119
BAL 236 ATL 119
WAS 231 CAR 116
CIN 229 OAK 116
GB 229 GB 115
LAR 228 TEN 115
KC 227 NYG 111
MIN 215 DEN 111
DEN 212 MIN 110
MIA 211 KC 107
CAR 209 LAR 107
DAL 206 DAL 107
HOU 201 TB 107
CLE 201 DET 105
NYG 200 PIT 104
ARI 197 PHI 104
TEN 196 SF 103
BUF 192 LAC 103
IND 191 JAX 102
OAK 186 CHI 97
SEA 175 CIN 97
NYJ 173 WAS 91
CHI 172 SEA 81

How to read the table: The table shows how a team will do Passing and Rushing in the upcoming week of the NFL. Red is HOT, Yellow is WARM, White is NORMAL, Light Blue is COLD and Dark Blue is FREEZING COLD. Play players from teams that are Red and Yellow, avoid players from teams that are Light or Dark Blue and expect average days from teams that are White.

All times are Eastern
 

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts – Sunday 1:00pm
In their stadium, the Colts will want this one more. Expect both teams to keep the ball on the ground but for the carries to be spread around.

 

Favorite: Indianapolis Colts by 4
Prediction: Indianapolis Colts 20 – Houston Texans 13
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

New York Jets at New England Patriots – Sunday 1:00pm
The Jets know that their only chance at beating the Patriots will come if they can run the ball. No other scenario wins them this game. They also know that the only thing they actually can do somewhat well is run the football. Another nice day is on the way for Bilal Powell. You just have to ask yourself, “Why on earth didn’t the Jets just run Powell as the workhorse all season long as those of us in fantasy expected back in August? Why??” The Patriots do what the Patriots do, they win, guaranteeing that the AFC will have to go through Foxboro yet again.

 

Favorite: New England Patriots by 15.5
Prediction: New England Patriots 31 – New York Jets 13
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers – Sunday 1:00pm
Even the Steelers expect the Patriots to throttle the Jets and the Steelers may pull players early if the Patriots score gets out of hand. I suspect the Patriots and Jets score will be well known to the Steelers as the game progresses. Expect a big number from Roethlisberger as the Steelers keep this one in the air as they jump out to a commanding lead early. The Browns have an advantage when they run the ball but they may not be able to run if the score gets out of hand as quick as it should.

 

Favorite: Pittsburgh Steelers by 13.5
Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers 33 – Cleveland Browns 14
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Washington Redskins at New York Giants – Sunday 1:00pm
Anything that involves the Redskins passing game makes a nice start here. The rest will struggle.

 

Favorite: Washington Redskins by 3.5
Prediction: Washington Redskins 24 – New York Giants 17
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

About Tony Holm

Founder and President of FantasySharks.com. Five-time nominee for the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's Hall of Fame. Started publishing fantasy content on the web in 1993 and hasn't stopped yet.