Monday - Jan 18, 2021

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THE PROGNOSTICATOR: Week 7

Welcome my fantasy brethren to another edition of The Prognosticator, may it sooth the savage beasts. There are some interesting choices this week as there are a number of games that sound like they could be good sources of fantasy production but ultimately won’t be. It is a minefield this week, be careful. I’m not a big DFS player, far from it, but I have been putting in a lineup each week, playing in just a few 50/50’s and Double Ups. I do it just for fun — a tank of gas costs me more than what I’ll play in a week in DFS but it has been a tremendously successful year. I’ve only had one week where I didn’t manage to double up so I’m roughly at 5X what I started with. Now I can fill my tank twice!! This week is just so screwy that after careful consideration, I’m going to sit this one out. What makes it tricky is all the stats that will come out of the Atlanta/New England game and the fact that it is the Sunday Night game. The way the games are grouped by time in DFS, really messes everything up this week with that night game being such a cherry game for stats. The early games are a desert wasteland, I don’t like using just two games and submitting a prime-time lineup so to make sure you have some of the Patriots/Falcons matchup you need to dilute your choices and pick from many more games. It opens you up to some sharp unpredictability so in a nutshell, I’m riding this one out.
Passing Rushing
Team Score Team Score
ATL 291 JAX 140
TB 267 DEN 132
WAS 262 MIN 129
NE 260 KC 126
LAR 249 IND 122
DAL 247 ATL 118
KC 242 DAL 118
PHI 240 NO 117
SEA 238 SEA 116
BUF 233 MIA 113
JAX 233 OAK 112
NO 232 PHI 110
GB 226 CHI 110
NYJ 224 NYG 108
SF 224 TEN 108
CLE 221 SF 106
ARI 218 PIT 105
OAK 216 BUF 104
TEN 215 BAL 104
NYG 215 NE 102
MIN 214 CLE 101
CAR 213 CIN 101
DEN 206 CAR 100
PIT 201 GB 95
CIN 190 WAS 94
LAC 188 NYJ 93
BAL 188 TB 85
MIA 187 LAR 77
IND 185 ARI 72
CHI 184 LAC 67

How to read the table: The table shows how a team will do Passing and Rushing in the upcoming week of the NFL. Red is HOT, Yellow is WARM, White is NORMAL, Light Blue is COLD and Dark Blue is FREEZING COLD. Play players from teams that are Red and Yellow, avoid players from teams that are Light or Dark Blue and expect average days from teams that are White.

All times are Eastern

Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders – Thursday 8:25pm
The expectation for a close and high scoring game was there, including an Alex Smith bounce back. Derek Carr exploding like he did however, was a bit unforeseen.

 

Favorite: Kansas City Chiefs by 3
Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs 30 – Oakland Raiders 27
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills – Sunday 1:00pm
The Bills are at home, Tampa Bay has been giving up loads of yards in the air and Jameis Winston may or may not go. It all points to a difficult game for Tampa. Ryan Fitzpatrick does make an adequate fill-in however as he is one of the better backup quarterback options in the league. No matter whom is starting at quarterback, play your Buccaneer receiving game as it will do well here. It’s the Bills however that get the last laugh with a good game from Tyrod Taylor.

 

Favorite: Buffalo Bills by 3
Prediction: Buffalo Bills 24 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts – Sunday 1:00pm
Even if Leonard Fournette can’t go, Chris Ivory will pick up the pieces. The Jaguars believe and they’ll look good proving it. Jacoby Brissett has played admirably in Andrew Luck‘s absence but the Jaguars are going to be a tough team to handle. Allen Hurns plays well, as does the Jaguars ground game. Frank Gore also does a Monty Python reprisal and reminds us that he’s not dead yet.

 

Favorite: Jacksonville Jaguars by 3
Prediction: Jacksonville Jaguars 30 – Indianapolis Colts 23
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins – Sunday 1:00pm
This will be a tightly contested division game with the Jets emphasizing their passing game and Luke McCown as Miami pushes the ball through Jay Ajayi. Many are predicting big things for the Dolphins passing offense this week, I am not one of them. Stick with Ajayi and get your entire Jets passing game in including Austin Seferian-Jenkins.

 

Favorite: Miami Dolphins by 3
Prediction: Miami Dolphins 21 – New York Jets 20
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns – Sunday 1:00pm
The Tennessee ground game is the only moving part to this game that deserves a mention. DeMarco Murray may or not go, if he does not, then Derrick Henry makes a must-start. The rest of the usual fantasy players will struggle in this one.

 

Favorite: Tennessee Titans by 5.5
Prediction: Tennessee Titans 24 – Cleveland Browns 20
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

About Tony Holm

Founder and President of FantasySharks.com. Five-time nominee for the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's Hall of Fame. Started publishing fantasy content on the web in 1993 and hasn't stopped yet.