Monday - Sep 21, 2020

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RED ZONE TARGET ANALYSIS: Week 15

Semi-Finals time for most of us and it is only going to get harder from here. One mistake can ruin your season and no one wants to be the person that makes it right to the end but can’t finish the race. This week I want to focus on whom is scoring in the red zone. Opportunities are great but at this point in the season, we are all looking for results. I am going to highlight a few players who have averaged the most red zone touchdowns over the last three weeks.

WIDE RECEIVER RED ZONE OPPORTUNITIES

ANK PLAYER TEAM SCORING OPPORTUNITIES REDZONE OPPORTUNITIES
OPPS TDS OPPS TDS
1 CAR 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
2 GBP 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0
3 WAS 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0
4 LAC 1.7 1.0 2.0 1.0
5 SFO 2.0 1.0 1.3 1.0
6 NOR 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
7 JAC 1.3 1.0 1.3 1.0
8 LAC 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.7
9 BUF 0.7 0.7 1.7 0.7
10 MIN 1.3 0.7 1.3 0.7

Devin Funchess has been very inconsistent lately, so that may scare some people away from starting him this week. I am going to go with Funchess because of the situation. The Panthers are still alive for a playoff spot but are also in must-win mode. They are also facing the New Orleans Saints on Monday night this week. The Saints have a great defense against the run but can be beaten by the pass. I expect that the Saints are going to attempt to shut down the Panthers rushing attack and force Cam Newton to beat them with the pass. This will lead to several opportunities for both Devin Funchess and D.J. Moore.

Speaking of teams in win now mode, the Vikings are certainly one of those teams. Thielen is coming off of his worst two weeks of the year and the Vikings are going to need him to show up for this game. Kirk Cousins is a much better quarterback than he has shown in his last few games and his under-performance has contributed to Thielen’s struggles. The Dolphins are a good ” get better” game because while also fighting for their playoffs lives, they are just not as good as Minnesota.

Two players I am staying away from are Dante Pettis and Davante Adams. If we have learned nothing from the last few weeks it’s that both Seattle and Chicago have very good defenses. Both defenses absolutely shut down their opponents last week in what could have been tough games. The Bears held the Rams to 6 points while the Seahawks only allowed 7 to the vikings. With both San Fran and Green Bay having nothing to play for, I am staying far away from these two wideouts.

RUNNING BACK RED ZONE OPPORTUNITIES

RANK PLAYER TEAM SCORING OPPORTUNITIES REDZONE OPPORTUNITIES
OPPS TDS OPPS TDS
1 CAR 5.7 2.0 8.0 2.0
2 JAC 4.0 1.5 4.5 1.5
3 NEP 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
4 CLE 1.7 1.3 3.0 1.3
5 PHI 1.5 1.0 1.5 1.0
6 LAR 2.5 1.0 4.0 1.0
7 PIT 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0
8 KCC 1.0 1.0 3.0 1.0
9 ARZ 1.3 1.0 1.3 1.0
10 DEN 1.7 1.3 1.7 1.0

Leonard Fournette is not having a good season. Most of us drafted him early and he has been a bust this year for when he was drafted. Between multiple injuries and poor decisions you just can’t count on him to produce. Also after what I saw last week from the Jaguars, I believe this team has the “stink of quitters” written all over them. I am not playing any Jaguar for the rest of the year and that includes Fournette. I know the data shows that WHEN he plays he is Avg. 1.5 touchdowns a game on 4.5 attempts but I think it is fool’s gold.

Another thing that is clear is that Sony Michel has not figured out how to punch it in from inside the 5-yard line. The Patriots have employed James Devlin as their goal line back and he has been a consistent touchdown vulture over the last few weeks. If you are desperate and need a player to plug in for this week, I like Devlin better than some other names on this list like Sproles, Ridley, or Edmonds because I think he has a very well defined role in the offense. I also think he is a sure bet to get a touchdown given the situation the Patriots are in. This is a must win game if the Patriots want home field advantage and I never bet against Brady/Belichick in must win games.

About Michael Carline

Mike is an avid fantasy football player and competes in keeper leagues that are open year round. He is an elementary school teacher by trade so we can only assume that he must also have the patience of a Saint. We hope you enjoy his viewpoint.