Sunday - Jan 17, 2021

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HITTING PAYDIRT: Week 13

Welcome back to Hitting Paydirt, a weekly article that looks at the touchdown scorers this week. When looking for touchdown scorers, value is important. Some sites offer in-game betting on touchdown scorers so if you can hold off on taking a star player like Aaron Jones at -200 to score, wait until late in the first quarter or second quarter to place a bet at a better number if he is still scoreless.

I have listed touchdown scorers and other value plays. You should not bet the same amount per player and depending on your book, you may also be able to parlay some of these. I’ll use the lines from DraftKings and Fanduel. Be sure to shop your books for the best lines as they can be drastically different from site to site. The best price from each site is listed next to each player as of Saturday at noon.

Anytime TD Scorers

Myles Gaskin +130 (Dolphins) – Dolphins top rusher.

T.J. Hockenson +250 (Lions) – Best Lion red zone threat due to injuries.

Keelan Cole +290 (Jaguars) – Good matchup in the slot.

Darren Waller +125 (Raiders) – Low price, but should be big vs. Jets.

Henry Ruggs +290 (Raiders) – He’s been close the last two weeks with a good matchup.

Davante Adams -155 (Packers) – Wait until the game kicks off and get a better price live on Fanduel. If you would rather get plus money, parlay Jones and Adams pays +190.

Travis Kelce -115 (Chiefs)Tyreek Hill got all of the love last week. Expect a big game from Kelce this week. Nearly even money on a Kelce TD seems like it is stealing…

Mecole Hardman +400 (Chiefs) – I think Hardman has good value at this number despite the Chiefs getting healthier at WR with Watkins back.

Same Game Parlay

Las Vegas Raiders

  1. Ruggs +290 & Richard +210 pays +1329
  2. Ruggs +290 & Waller +125 pays +1329

Kansas City Chiefs

  1. Kelce -115, Bell +190, Hardman +400 pays +3237
  2. Kelce -115, Watkins +210, Hardman +400 pays +3831

Bonus Plays for Sunday’s Games

Most Passing Yards (Sunday only) on Fanduel Sportsbook

Patrick Mahomes +900 – cashed last week (at halftime of the KC game) with Mahomes at +1000 so going back to the well here. We will know what we need to be the leader as he is the last game of the day.

First TD scorer (1PM games) on Fanduel Sportsbook

I wanted to take Henry Ruggs, but he is not listed so I will throw some lunch money on Michael Thomas +4500.

Highest Scoring Team on Fanduel Sportsbook

Kansas City Chiefs +650 – I hate to be chalky, but I like knowing the number we need to reach in the Sunday night game. I also don’t love any other team to put up a big number so +650 for a team needing to score around 35 points will prove to be great value.

Lowest Scoring Team on Fanduel Sportsbook

Houston Texas +2900 – Too good of a number to pass up against one of the best defenses in the NFL. Not to mention, they just lost their best offensive weapon in Will Fuller.

That’s the full slate for Week 13 other than the  Monday and Tuesday night games. Follow nicky_stats on twitter for the primetime football plays or any live picks. Good luck this weekend…

About Nick Pagliuca

Nick has been competitively playing fantasy sports for over 15 years and has been very active in sports betting analysis. Nick participates mainly in fantasy football and offers gambling advice on all major sports.