Saturday - Jan 23, 2021

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HITTING PAYDIRT: Week 15 – Saturday Special

Welcome back to Hitting Paydirt, a weekly article that looks at the touchdown scorers this week. When looking for touchdown scorers, value is important. Some sites offer in-game betting on touchdown scorers so if you can hold off on taking a star player like Aaron Jones at -230 to score, wait until late in the first quarter or second quarter to place a bet at a better number if he is still scoreless.

I have listed touchdown scorers and other value plays. You should not bet the same amount per player and depending on your book, you may also be able to parlay some of these. I’ll use the lines from DraftKings and Fanduel. Be sure to shop your books for the best lines as they can be drastically different from site to site. The best price from each site is listed next to each player as of Saturday at noon.

We have two Saturday games that kick off this weekend with some fantasy studs. Let’s see if we can choose some winners for anytime TD’s and some first TD specials.

Buffalo Bills @ Denver Broncos (Total = 49.5)

Anytime Touchdowns

Stefon Diggs -105
Josh Allen +140
Cole Beasley +165
Noah Fant +320

First TD Longshot: Isaiah McKenzie 35/1 (Draftkings) – Buffalo is always running trick plays and doing different things on offense so I’ll take a longshot for McKenzie to score first.

Fanduel Same Game TD Parlays

(2) Player: (TE Special) Dawson Knox & Noah Fant pays +1544 ($100 wins $1544)
(3) Player: KJ Hamler, Josh Allen, Cole Beasley pays +2498 ($100 wins $2498)

I hate to take players less than even money, but Stefon Diggs is nearly at that price and is owed some touchdowns in the last few games of the year. He has 100 receptions, but just 5 of them for touchdowns. Beasley has a tremendous matchup with the Broncos secondary banged up. Fant should be back as the main TE this week after an illness in last week’s game.

Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers (Total = 52.5)

Anytime Touchdowns

D.J. Moore +200
Robby Anderson +200

First TD LongshotEquanimeous St. Brown 66/1 (Draftkings) – He is a longshot for a reason, but has seen some targets over the last few weeks. Lunch money type of bet…

Fanduel Same Game TD Parlays

(3) Player: D.J. Moore, Davante Adams, Jamaal Williams pays +1611 ($100 wins $1611)
(4) Player: D.J. Moore, Mike Davis, Davante Adams, Robert Tonyan +3081 ($100 wins $3081)

If Curtis Samuel sits, that definitely adds a big boost to Robby Anderson and D.J. Moore. You can get +200 on each WR this week on DraftKings.

From the Packers side, you cannot bet Davante Adams pregame to score a touchdown anymore. You need to wait to bet live on Fanduel. Last week, he was -230 pregame, but you could have bet him as low as -130 before he scored on his long touchdown catch. He is actually lower at -190 this week, but just hope he doesn’t score the Packers first touchdown (yet again) – you will be able to find odds around even money or better.

Bonus Saturday College Football Picks

  • Notre Dame +10.5 vs Clemson
  • Tulsa +15 vs Cincinnati
  • Iowa State +6 vs Oklahoma

That’s the Saturday slate for Week 15. Follow @nicky_stats on twitter for the rest of Week 15’s football plays or any other live picks. Good luck this weekend…

About Nick Pagliuca

Nick has been competitively playing fantasy sports for over 15 years and has been very active in sports betting analysis. Nick participates mainly in fantasy football and offers gambling advice on all major sports.