Tuesday - Feb 25, 2020

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SPREADING CHEDDAR: The One Stop Gambling Shop – Week 10

There is a NEW SECTION OF THE WEBSITE that is solely dedicated to betting. You will find a comprehensive model that not only aims to highlight inefficiencies in Spreads and Over/Under lines but will also provide a bookmaker that is offering the bet with the most lucrative odds.

I will post my favorite picks from the model and sprinkle in some Player Prop bets to keep it spicy. If the mood strikes, you can expect some parlays to carry through the entire weekend as well.

Season Results: +58Units
Overall Record: (60-48-0)
Week 9 Results: +21Units

Spreads:

15U: Tampa Bay -4.5 (-110) vs. Arizona – There are two broader matchups at play between the Buccaneers and Cardinals. David Johnson and Kenyan Drake will be splitting time against one of the leagues best rush defenses, while Mike Evans and Chris Godwin get to run wild against one of the leagues worst pass defenses.

15U: New Orleans -13.5 (-110) vs. Atlanta – I am surprised that Dan Quinn survived the Falcons bye week. The Saints are back to full strength with Drew Brees and Alvin Kamara back in the lineup. This spread should be at least 5 points higher.

10U: Carolina +5.5 (-110) @ Green Bay – The Packers are coming off a loss that is similar to what the Panthers faced two weeks ago. Both teams have playmakers on offense and defenses that rank in the top 10. The last team to have the ball will win this game by less than a touchdown.

 

Over/Under:

10U: Dallas vs. Minnesota : Under 48.5 (-110) – These teams have some pointed similarities that will lend itself to a lower scoring game. The Vikings and the Cowboys both excel at stopping the run on defense, while relying heavily on their running backs to move the ball.

10U: San Francisco vs. Seattle : Under 47 (-110) – Not many teams have been able to keep Russell Wilson in check, but if any team can, it’s the 49ers. A key factor will be ball control and long drives to keep Wilson on the sidelines.

10U: Tennessee vs. Kansas City : Under 50 (-110)Patrick Mahomes is back this weekend, but that doesn’t necessarily mean this game is going over. Ryan Tannehill is still on the other side of the field.

 

Player Props:

15U: Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Over 81.5 (-115) – Stud defensive tackle Linval Joseph has already been ruled out for this game, who was the Vikings best hope for slowing down Elliott.

15U: Baker Mayfield Interceptions Under .5 (+187) – Yes, yes… you read that right. I know, Mayfield already has more than a seasons worth of interceptions through the half way point. This is more about game script and great odds. The Bills can’t stop the run and the Browns will lean on Nick Chubb to control the game.

10U: Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Under 225.5 (-115) – This wager is in line with the prop bet above. The Bills pass defense is elite and Mayfield will be handing the ball off more than throwing it.

10U: David Montgomery Rushing Yards Under 67.5 (-115) – Montgomery is getting more touches, but still not doing much with them. He has only eclipsed 67 rushing yards on one occasion this season.

10U: Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Under 50.5 (-115) – Andrews has cooled down after a hot two game start to the season. Nick Boyle has been getting more snaps than Andrews in recent weeks as well.

10U: Joe Mixon Receptions Over 2.5 (+145)Ryan Finley is getting the start this weekend and Mixon will be his security outlet on passing plays.

About Jordan Gingery

Jordan dreams of a world where kickers and defenses are picked in the last two rounds of fantasy drafts and the Carolina Panthers win the Superbowl every year. As a Fantasy Football Staff Writer at Fantasy Sharks, he is responsible for the weekly Survivor article during the regular season and is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA). When he is not giving advice and helping people win their fantasy champions, he can be found brewing his own beer... and drinking it!