Wednesday - Feb 19, 2020

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SPREADING CHEDDAR: The One Stop Gambling Shop – Week 11

There is a NEW SECTION OF THE WEBSITE that is solely dedicated to betting. You will find a comprehensive model that not only aims to highlight inefficiencies in Spreads and Over/Under lines but will also provide a bookmaker that is offering the bet with the most lucrative odds.

I will post my favorite picks from the model and sprinkle in some Player Prop bets to keep it spicy. If the mood strikes, you can expect some parlays to carry through the entire weekend as well.

Season Results: +20 Units
Overall Record: (64-56-0)
Week 10 Results: -38 Units

Spreads:

15U: Carolina -4 (-110) vs. Atlanta – Let’s not overact to last weeks win against the Saints. Were the Saints bad or were the Falcons great? A little bit of both, but these anomalies don’t last. The Falcons still have one of the worst defenses in the league and Christian McCaffrey will have a field day.

10U: Minnesota -10 (-110) vs. Denver – The Vikings established themselves as one of the top teams in the NFL after defeating the Cowboys last week. The Broncos were impressive with the third Allen against the Browns, but the Vikings are a whole different ball of wax.

Moneyline Parlay:

15U: (-106)

  • Dallas (-315) @ Detroit – The Lions are without Matthew Stafford for a second straight week and the depleted running back stash will be led by Paul Perkins. This is a must win game for the Cowboys if they are serious about making the playoffs.
  • Kansas City (-210) @ Los Angeles Chargers – The Chargers offensive line will have their hands full on Monday night. Phillip Rivers will be under constant pressure and the inefficient offense will not be able to keep pace with the Chiefs.

Over/Under:

15U: Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago : Under 40 (-110) – There is a lot to be desired from this prime time game, but efficient offenses are on the forefront. Two elite defensive lines against two abysmal offensive lines is a recipe for a low scoring game.

10U: Philadelphia vs. New England : Under 45 (-110) – This game will not be a high flying rematch from the Superbowl a couple of years ago. The Eagles will be without Alshon Jeffery and maybe even Jordan Howard, leaving a struggling Carson Wentz without a lot of help.

10U: Oakland vs. Cincinnati : Over 48 (-110) – The Bengals are now in the driver seat for the 1st overall pick. There is not a lot of talent on this team, but they can put about 10 points while giving up 60 on any given week.

Player Props:

15U: Zach Pascal Receiving Yards Over 40.5 (-115)Jacoby Brissett returning is a monstrous upgrade for the Colts entire offense. T.Y. Hilton and Parris Campbell are out which lends most of the looks to going Pascal’s way.

10U: Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Over 12.5 (-115) – Against the Bengals, all Jacobs needs is one catch to pay out.

10U: O.J. Howard Receiving Yards Over 34.5 (-115) – Howard’s targets are continuing to climb after returning from injury and he is beginning to be incorporated on more plays. The Buccaneers rank in the top 5 for passing yards and they will need to throw the ball more than ever against the Saints.

10U: Leonard Fournette Rushing Yards Over 76.5(-115) – Fournette is averaging 92 yards per game and there has been no sign of him slowing down anytime soon.

About Jordan Gingery

Jordan dreams of a world where kickers and defenses are picked in the last two rounds of fantasy drafts and the Carolina Panthers win the Superbowl every year. As a Fantasy Football Staff Writer at Fantasy Sharks, he is responsible for the weekly Survivor article during the regular season and is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA). When he is not giving advice and helping people win their fantasy champions, he can be found brewing his own beer... and drinking it!