Saturday - Dec 7, 2019

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SPREADING CHEDDAR: The One Stop Gambling Shop – Week 13

There is a NEW SECTION OF THE WEBSITE that is solely dedicated to betting. You will find a comprehensive model that not only aims to highlight inefficiencies in Spreads and Over/Under lines but will also provide a bookmaker that is offering the bet with the most lucrative odds.

I will post my favorite picks from the model and sprinkle in some Player Prop bets to keep it spicy. If the mood strikes, you can expect some parlays to carry through the entire weekend as well.

Season Results: +27 Units
Overall Record: (73-67-0)
Week 12 Results: +31 Units

Spreads

15U: Tennessee +1 (-110) at Indianapolis – T.Y. Hilton and Marlon Mack are out again this Sunday. While Ryan Tannehill is a new man and Derrick Henry continues to steamroll defenses, the bottom line is that Indianapolis is a completely different team, and not at their best without Hilton and Mack.

10U: Green Bay -6.5 (-110) at New York Giants – The Giants turn the ball over more than any other team in the league besides Tampa Bay. Their offensive line is partly to blame, and they will be severely outmatched this week.

10U: Los Angeles Chargers -3 (-110) at Denver – Drew Lock will be activated this week and there is a real chance that he will get the start. Denver is only averaging 16 points per game, and Lock is unlikely to increase that number.

Moneyline Parlay

15U: (+221)

  • Carolina Panthers (-500) vs Washington – Christian McCaffrey will continue to feast. Washington is giving up an average of 137 yards per game on the ground.
  • New England (-169) at Houston – Houston is just an average team by most metrics; it has struggled mightily this season against teams far worse than New England.
  • Seattle (-145) vs Minnesota – Both teams are poised to make the playoffs. A win not only solidifies a berth, it almost guarantees that you will get to face the winner of the NFC East in the first round of the playoffs. My money is against Kirk Cousins on the road in primetime.

Over/Under

10U: Miami vs. Philadelphia : Under 42 (-110) – There is a lot to be desired in this game, which include both offenses. Zach Ertz is on the verge of missing this game which will all but halt an already putrid Philadelphia passing game.

10U: Pittsburgh vs. Cleveland : Over 39 (-110) – The Cleveland defense misses Myles Garrett in a huge way, which is to be expected. Pittsburgh made a change at quarterback, which probably doesn’t matter, but 39 is too low for a rematch between these two teams that got a lot of publicity in their last meeting.

Player Props

15U:  Jimmy Garoppolo Passing Yards Under 249.5 (-115) – Garoppolo can’t play Arizona every week. If you take out those two games, he is only averaging 220 yards and now faces the third-best pass defense in the league.

15U:  Jack Doyle Receiving Yards Over 31.5 (-115)T.Y. Hilton is out again and Doyle is the security blanket that Jacoby Brissett needs.

10U:  Tevin Coleman Rushing Yards Over 37.5 (-115) – San Francisco runs the ball more than any other team and will want to control the game as much as possible. Matt Breida is questionable again, which just means more run for Coleman.

10U:  Sam Darnold Interceptions Under .5 (-115) – Darnold has only thrown one interception in his last three games and Cincinnati is the softest matchup of the bunch.

About Jordan Gingery

Jordan dreams of a world where kickers and defenses are picked in the last two rounds of fantasy drafts and the Carolina Panthers win the Superbowl every year. As a Fantasy Football Staff Writer at Fantasy Sharks, he is responsible for the weekly Survivor article during the regular season and is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA). When he is not giving advice and helping people win their fantasy champions, he can be found brewing his own beer... and drinking it!