Tuesday - Feb 25, 2020

Home / Commentary / SPREADING CHEDDAR: The One Stop Gambling Shop – Week 15

SPREADING CHEDDAR: The One Stop Gambling Shop – Week 15

There is a NEW SECTION OF THE WEBSITE that is solely dedicated to betting. You will find a comprehensive model that not only aims to highlight inefficiencies in Spreads and Over/Under lines but will also provide a bookmaker that is offering the bet with the most lucrative odds.

I will post my favorite picks from the model and sprinkle in some Player Prop bets to keep it spicy. If the mood strikes, you can expect some parlays to carry through the entire weekend as well.

Season Results: +91 Units
Overall Record: (84-75-0)
Week 15 Results: +52 Units

Spreads

15U: New England -10 (-110) at Cincinnati – New England is caught up in another possible cheating scandal at the perfect time. Riding a two-game losing streak, Tom Brady and company find themselves in a perfect spot against league-worst Cincinnati. New England -20 would even deserve our consideration.

10U: Seattle -6 (-110) at Carolina – Carolina is in disarray and a change at the top is not helping anything. History is on the side of Seattle as well, covering the spread nine times in its last 10 games following a loss.

Moneyline Parlay

20U: (+114)

  • New Orleans (-417) vs. Indianapolis – New Orleans hasn’t lost back-to-back home games since the beginning of 2016.
  • San Francisco (-526) vs. Atlanta – Every game counts for San Francisco with Seattle right on its heels.
  • Green Bay (-222) vs. Chicago – Chicago has been barely squeaking by some of the worst teams in the league over the past few weeks and now travel to Green Bay. Mitchell Trubisky has been fine recently, but he hasn’t faced a defense this good in over six weeks.

Over/Under

10U: Arizona vs. Cleveland: Under 49.5 (-110) – These two teams both rank in the Top 5 for number of penalties committed through 14 weeks. A lot of penalties with inefficient offenses is a recipe for a sloppy, low scoring game.

10U: Oakland vs. Jacksonville : Under 47 (-110) – These teams rank first and third in penalties committed! I was going to highlight how Derek Carr is afraid to throw the ball more than 10 yards down the field, but we will stick with the exorbitant amount of penalties.

Player Props

15U: Christian McCaffrey Rushing + Receiving Yards Over 125.5 (-115) –  McCaffrey has eclipsed this mark in all but three games this year. He may not win the MVP, but the record for most yards from scrimmage is still within reach. If the season ended today, he would rank second all time behind O.J. Simpson for the percentage of team yards at 45 percent.

10U: Kyle Allen Passing Yards Under 252.5 (-115) – This is more of a matchup play than anything else. While Carolina will most likely be down in this game, it won’t be as easy to throw for Allen as it has in previous weeks.

10U: Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Over 59.5 (-115) – Green Bay is a better team when Jones gets the ball and despite the low amount of carries, he continues to thrive while breaking off long runs.

10U: Allen Robinson Receiving Yards Over 69.5 (-115) – Robinson is quietly putting together a fantastic season despite the shortcomings at quarterback with which he has to deal.

About Jordan Gingery

Jordan dreams of a world where kickers and defenses are picked in the last two rounds of fantasy drafts and the Carolina Panthers win the Superbowl every year. As a Fantasy Football Staff Writer at Fantasy Sharks, he is responsible for the weekly Survivor article during the regular season and is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA). When he is not giving advice and helping people win their fantasy champions, he can be found brewing his own beer... and drinking it!