Saturday - Nov 16, 2019

Home / Commentary / SPREADING CHEDDAR: The One Stop Gambling Shop – Week 6

SPREADING CHEDDAR: The One Stop Gambling Shop – Week 6

There is a NEW SECTION OF THE WEBSITE that is solely dedicated to betting. You will find a comprehensive model that not only aims to highlight inefficiencies in Spreads and Over/Under lines but will also provide a bookmaker that is offering the bet with the most lucrative odds.

I will post my favorite picks from the model and sprinkle in some Player Prop bets to keep it spicy. If the mood strikes, you can expect some parlays to carry through the entire weekend as well.

Starting Bank Roll: 1000Units
Current Bank Roll: 966Units
Overall Record: (31-29-0)
Week 5 Results: -18Units

Spreads:

15U: Seattle -1.5 (-110) @ Cleveland – It has been clear that the Browns’ offense is struggling, but the real problem is the inability to make adjustments. Is it Baker Mayfield? Is it Freddie Kitchens? These teams are trending in different directions and Russell Wilson is making a case for MVP consideration.

10U: Miami +3 (-110) vs. Washington – The Redskins should not be favored over any team. A line of -3 for a road team suggests that they would be a 9 point favorite at home. The Dolphins are coming off a bye while the Redskins just fired their coach. There isn’t much to warrant the Redskins being favored.

10U: Los Angeles -3 (-110) vs. San Francisco – The Rams are in an interesting spot this season. Their offense has not been living up to expectations, but they are beginning to figure things out. If not winning, they are staying close in games as they adjust to how defenses are now playing their offense.

Over/Under:

10U: Kansas City vs. Houston : Over 55 (-110) – Are you ready for the DeAndre Hopkins revival? Hopkins has seven touchdowns in four career games against the Chiefs. Both teams are missing key defensive players and this score will resemble something like the Texans game last week.

10U: Green Bay vs. Detroit : Under 47 (-110) – The Packers and Lions are sporting two of the most improved defenses from last year. The Packers will be without Davante Adams which means this game will be fought on the ground.

Player Props:

15U: Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Over 83.5 (-115) – The Cowboys are looking to bounce back in a big way and the Jets are going to suffer because of it. Elliott has been as good as ever, but without the touches in recent games. Touches for Elliott will not be a problem this weekend.

15U: Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Over 57.5 (-110) – The Cardinals are the worst in the league at defending against tight ends. 58 yards is attainable for Hooper against most teams.

15U: D.J. Chark Receptions Over 4.5 (+135) – Chark has seen a steady increase in targets and has a whopping 37 through the first five games. He has had at least 4 receptions in every game this year and will be an integral part of the Jaguars offense as he continues to build rapport with Gardner Minshew.

10U: Will Fuller Receiving Yards Over 66.5 (-110) – Lets not let expectations get too out of whack, but everything is aligning for Fuller to have another productive game. He is healthy, Kenny Stills is not, and this will be a high scoring game against the Chiefs with a lot of passing.

10U: Baker Mayfield Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 (+100) – The Seahawks defense isn’t quite what it used to be. As inefficient as the Browns have been, Mayfield has had opportunities to put the ball in the endzone.

10U: Josh Rosen Passing Yards Over 199.5 (-110) – Rosen has been right around 200 passing yards the last two weeks and the Redskins are the worst defense he will face to date.

10U: Marquise Goodwin Receptions Over 2.5 (+100) – The Rams will be a tough matchup and the 49ers may find themselves behind, which should result in more passes. George Kittle is banged up and might even miss this game which will pave the way for other pass catchers.

10U: Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Under 75.5 (+135) – Henry has been had a fine year thus far, but the Titans offensive line has been getting progressively worse each game. Mariota has been sacked 22 times through five games and the ground game will suffer if the Titans are in a hole.

About Jordan Gingery

Jordan dreams of a world where kickers and defenses are picked in the last two rounds of fantasy drafts and the Carolina Panthers win the Superbowl every year. As a Fantasy Football Staff Writer at Fantasy Sharks, he is responsible for the weekly Survivor article during the regular season and is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA). When he is not giving advice and helping people win their fantasy champions, he can be found brewing his own beer... and drinking it!