Wednesday - Nov 13, 2019

Home / Commentary / SPREADING CHEDDAR: The One Stop Gambling Shop – Week 9

SPREADING CHEDDAR: The One Stop Gambling Shop – Week 9

There is a NEW SECTION OF THE WEBSITE that is solely dedicated to betting. You will find a comprehensive model that not only aims to highlight inefficiencies in Spreads and Over/Under lines but will also provide a bookmaker that is offering the bet with the most lucrative odds.

I will post my favorite picks from the model and sprinkle in some Player Prop bets to keep it spicy. If the mood strikes, you can expect some parlays to carry through the entire weekend as well.

Starting Bank Roll: 1000Units
Current Bank Roll: 1037Units
Overall Record: (52-44-0)
Week 8 Results: +32Units

Spreads

15U: Carolina -3.5 (-110) vs. Tennessee – The Panthers received a monstrous wake up call in San Francisco last week as they got run over by Tevin Coleman. The good news is that the Panthers have a knack for bouncing back after big losses, especially when they travel back home. The Panthers have covered the spread in 13 of their last 14 home games following a road loss.

15U: Green bay -3.5 (+100) @ Los Angeles Chargers – The Chargers were finally on the right side of a close game in Week 8. I discussed the mismatch of the Bears defensive line compared to the Chargers offensive line last week, and the Chargers employ the same disadvantage this week. The difference in this game? Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense. Good luck trying to contain that.

10U: Philadelphia -4 (-110) vs. Chicago – David Montgomery had 27 rushing attempts and trounced the Chargers for 135 yards on the ground. The Eagles employ one of the best rushing defenses in the league, and their wins have come when they shut down the run and force teams to throw the ball.

10U: Seattle -5 (-110) vs. Tampa Bay – This will be the Buccaneers 5th straight road which is rivaling the Raiders for one the most grueling trips a team has ever done. The Seahawks haven’t covered a spread in three weeks and the line is reflecting that.

Over/Under

10U: Cleveland vs. Denver : Under 39.5 (-110) – There is a lot to dislike about this game, but the logic is simple. Good defenses against bad offenses who turn the ball over results in low scoring.

10U: Jacksonville vs. Houston : Under 46 (-110) – The Jaguars last three games have gone under 46 points and that trend will continue on Sunday. Both teams are dedicated to the run, even when it is ineffective.

Player Props

15U: Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards Under 74.5 (-115) – “What is dead may never die, but rises again harder and stronger”. Peterson has impressively averaged 5 yards per carry over the previous two games against the Vikings and 49ers defenses. While Case Keenum wasn’t lighting the world on fire, Dwayne Haskins is a clear downgrade and it will be easier to scheme against Peterson.

15U: Odell Beckham Receiving Yards Under 57.5 (-105) –  Chris Harris will be on Beckham this game; he has continued to show that he is an elite the league. Harris has held T.Y. Hilton, Keenen Allen and Devante Adams to a COMBINED 128 receiving yards.

10U: David Montgomery Rushing Yards Under 50.5 (-115) – Was last week an anomaly for Montgomery? Probably. Montgomery has struggled behind the Bears’ weak offensive line all season and the Eagles will be one of the toughest matchups they have faced so far.

10U: Carlos Hyde Rushing Yards Over 66.5 (-115) – The Texans want to feed Hyde and the running game and he will trudge his way to 67+ yards, it just may take him 20 carries to do it.

10U: Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Over 24.5 (-115) – The Bucs run defense has not been getting enough credit all season. The Seahawks should handle this game with ease, but Wilson may need to get creative to move the chains.

10U: Brandon Allen Total Completions 19.5 (-105) – Allen is stepping into a tough matchup with the Browns defense and the Broncos will lean on the run game in order to alleviate the constant pressure he will be under. Do we really need another Allen at quarterback anyway?

About Jordan Gingery

Jordan dreams of a world where kickers and defenses are picked in the last two rounds of fantasy drafts and the Carolina Panthers win the Superbowl every year. As a Fantasy Football Staff Writer at Fantasy Sharks, he is responsible for the weekly Survivor article during the regular season and is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA). When he is not giving advice and helping people win their fantasy champions, he can be found brewing his own beer... and drinking it!