Friday - Jan 15, 2021

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Stand By Your Man

So you are fed up with Chris Johnson?
Join the club. The masses of fantasy owners that overpaid or kept Johnson in keeper leagues are realizing that there is just one option left. While some speculators have suggested that Javon Ringer is the guy emerging, It’s just talk. The option I am referring to is starting him. He has very little trade value at this point and you don’t need to tip your hat to the fact that you’ve lost the faith. What are you going to do?

Chris Johnson at some point is going to take a handoff or screen pass and eventually end up in the end zone. It will happen soon. He may give up a few carries to Ringer but it’s still going to be a 60/40 split until he shows the fire that got him the starting gig. I don’t like the production either but no one in there right mind would trade for him right now. You simply can’t get the value out of him. If the housing market was in the toilet would you try to move your home at way less than you paid? It is and you make the decision to stick it out because it’s a long term investment. You don’t realize a loss until you sell.
So don’t sell.

I am not an optimist. I see things for their worst. This situation is at the rock bottom. Some of us remember when running backs held out and they didn’t get their deal.

If there was a movie made about such a player, It would be called the Ericct Rhett story. Rhett was a young running back who had two very solid seasons in 1994 and 1995, rushing for 2,217 yards, and 18 touchdowns for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Rhett thought he deserved more money, sat out, and rotted while the Buccaneers did nothing about it.  It ruined his career. He was never the same back afterwards.

If we were to cast the lead role in this movie, Chris Johnson would play the lead role but there may be an understudy in case Johnson couldn’t finish. It’s a cruel world that we live in. Johnson got his big money contract, and now everyone expects the results that go with it.

Here’s how the rest of the schedule looks minus the playoffs: (all totals based on 1 pt for 20 yards rushing/receiving, 6 points for TDs)

WEEK         OPPONENT                     Fantasy Points to RB                                                    

Week 9         CIN                              9.14                                                                                                                          

Week 10     @CAR                            15.75                                                                                                                           

Week 11     @ATL                              8.86                                                                                                                              

Week 12        TAM                             12.00                                                                                                                         

Week 13     @BUF                              11.86                                                                                                                          

Week 14     NOR                                10.13                                                                                                                                

Week 15     @IND                              13.38

Okay, now breathe folks. There is light at the end of the tunnel. Be patient, as Johnson has been overworked in the last two years. Chris Johnson has touched the ball 768 times in the last two years between rushing and receiving. That workload is too much for any back in my opinion. I expected that there might be a market correction on CJ2K and it happened.

Let’s face it, I would have kept him regardless going into this year because of the upside. I don’t believe that he is done and with the favorable upcoming schedule it gives us all a little hope. I’m standing firm on keeping him in your lineup.

Forget the critics that say that Ringer is the guy.  I put no stock in that and refuse to believe that a guy that has a 3.49 yards per carry average is going to steal the job. Although he replaced an ineffective Johnson last week, It may just be the fire that Johnson needs to get back on track. It’s Johnson’s job to lose folks and despite the slow start, I am confident that he gets it going sooner rather than later.

I am starting him this week without reservation. I have noticed that Matt Hasselbeck has taken a beating this season. So it’s very unfair that the blame should be shouldered all by Johnson.

If you think that he can’t do it, you owe it to yourself to move him after he makes a reappearance. My trade deadline has past. I am a Chris Johnson owner and will think long and hard about his future this off season, but I’ll be damned if I am going to let him go for nothing without getting some value. In the meantime, I am just going to keep plugging him in because he still has that second gear that most running backs wish that they had and he will get the carries.

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