Tennessee at home vs Seattle: The Seahawks offense is an absolute mess right now. They currently have the 29th ranked passing offense in the league. To put that into perspective, the Jets, Jaguars, and Colts are all ranked ahead of the Seahawks in average passing yards per game. They also are traveling cross country and playing on the road against a good Titans team. Taking into consideration how bad the Seahawks offensive line has looked, you can expect a big game from both Brian Orakpo and Jurrell Casey. Like last week where I pointed out that the Baltimore Ravens have a favorable fantasy playoff schedule, Weeks 15 and 16 the Titans have the 49ers and the Rams.
Both Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco at San Francisco: Traditionally the Thursday night games tend to be defensively dominated games and this week appears to be no exception. Both teams have run heavy offensive attacks and very weak passing games. Jarred Goff looked like his old self last week against the Redskins. He had a QB Rating of only 31.3 with just 224 yards passing. As bad as Goff was, Brian Hoyer somehow was worse, failing to pass for even 100 yards. Having both of these quarterbacks face off on short rest is an invitation to start the opposing defense.
New England at home vs Houston: Bill Belichick is known for shutting down rookie quarterbacks and while this isn’t the best Patriots defense in recent memory, Bill will be ready. With no tight end to speak of and not much coming from the running game, the Texans do not have the personnel to exploit the weak linebackers of the Patriots. One thing Belichick does exceptionally well is taking away a teams best offensive player. If the Patriots can shut down DeAndre Hopkins, who else will be able to score for the Texans? The Patriots are the epitome of a streaming defense and this is a week you want to play them.
Indianapolis at home vs Cleveland: This could be another game where you can stream both defenses but lean the home team in this one just because it is at home. The knock on DeShone Kizer entering the draft was that he was going to need some tie to develop and in true Browns fashion, they did the opposite and threw him to the wolves. Last week was an absolute mess for the Browns offense. Kizer started the game but left due to headaches (and who wouldn’t playing for the Browns). Adding to Kizer’s struggles is that the Browns have not been able to run the ball well at all. While I don’t expect much from the Colts offense (which is equally as bad as the Browns) the Indy defense will have a good game.
Carolina Panthers at home VS New Orleans Saints (DK $2,600/FD $4,500)
For the second week in a row I am betting against Drew Brees and the Saints offense. The Panthers have the number one offense in the league and at those prices they are a steal. The Saints are not the same offense as they have been in years past and can be shut down by a defense as good as the Panthers.
San Francisco 49ers at home vs Los Angeles Rams (DK $2,900/FD $4,400)
I already said why I like the 49ers this week but in DFS the value is just too much to pass up. When you look at the fact that the Rams are going for $3,500 on DK and $4,900 on FD you can see how good of a value play the 49ers are this week. These two are going to have similar stats this week and I would rather spend that $500 on another position and reap the benefits.