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Home / Commentary / STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE: Good/Bad Matchups – Week 13

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE: Good/Bad Matchups – Week 13

I sincerely hope all the Sharks had a fun and relaxing Thanksgiving. We are now into what is most likely the last week of the regular season for most folks, so it’s literally do-or-die week for some of you. The great news is that we are out of the bye weeks, so we all have all our best players at our disposal (man, I really missed Kansas City and the Los Angeles Rams last week …). Let’s go ahead and jump into some quarterbacks and tight ends who have good and bad matchups for Week 13.


Good Matchups

Case Keenum, Denver (at Cincinnati)

You just need to ask yourself one question each week if you’re streaming quarterbacks: Who is facing Cincinnati (best matchup for opposing quarterbacks)? Well, this week we get to see Keenum dismantle their pass defense. I know what you’re thinking, as you never thought someone would write or say something like that in your lifetime. Denver has also upset the Los Angeles Chargers and Pittsburgh in back-to back weeks, so the team’s confidence is high. I recommended Baker Mayfield here last week, and he did not disappoint, as he tossed four touchdowns against Cincinnati in Week 12. I know it just doesn’t seem right, but stream Keenum if you’re desperate this week (don’t be shocked when you see that he threw for three touchdowns in Week 13 …)

Lamar Jackson, Baltimore (at Atlanta)

Jackson hasn’t looked great throwing the ball in his starts this year, but he has a nice baseline in that he is rushing the ball at an otherworldly pace. In his past two games, he has 190 yards rushing with one rushing touchdown. That’s a nice floor. Now he gets the fourth-easiest matchup for opposing quarterbacks when he faces Atlanta’s porous defense. Drew Brees just threw for four touchdowns against Atlanta on Thanksgiving night, and none of those were to his best receiving options (that kinda sucked for us fantasy folks …). Jackson is a great play this week.

Bad Matchup

Tom Brady, New England (vs. Minnesota)

I’m not saying to sit Brady, but just to temper your expectations. Minnesota has been the toughest matchup for opposing quarterbacks on the season and that was on full display in Week 12. Aaron Rodgers could only muster up 198 passing yards to go along with one touchdown. That’s just not going to get you into the playoffs, Sharks. Tom Brady hasn’t exactly been the stud we are used to seeing this year, so this shouldn’t come as much of a surprise to you all. If you need a high-upside play for a playoff push in your league, you may want to look elsewhere.

Tight Ends

Good Matchups

Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay (vs. Carolina)

We now know that O.J. Howard was placed on Injured Reserve (ugh …), and we saw first-hand what that means for Brate. Brate scored a touchdown in Week 12, and I like his odds to keep that going against Carolina in Week 13, as Carolina is the second-most generous matchup for tight ends. Hopefully you picked him up last week, but if not, hopefully he is still on your waiver wire (I’d bid aggressively …). Play Brate with confidence in Week 13.

Dan Arnold, New Orleans (at Dallas)

Arnold has taken over Ben Watson’s occupation as the most valuable New Orleans tight end right before our eyes. He quietly tied Michael Thomas with the lead in targets in Week 12 (6), and he turned that into 45 yards and a touchdown. In Week 13, Arnold gets the fifth-best matchup for tight ends when New Orleans faces off against Dallas. Dallas was just gashed by the Washington tight end duo to the tune of 148 yards and a touchdown. Arnold needs to be on your radar if you’re struggling at the tight end position.

Bad Matchup

Chris Herndon, New York Jets (at Tennessee)

As I state every week, it’s hard to sit any tight end with any value. That being said, Tennessee is the hardest matchup for opposing tight ends, which leads me to believe that Herndon may have some trouble in Week 13. Herndon has been hot of late (I recommended here last week that you play him), as he caught seven of his eight targets in Week 12 for 57 yards. That being said, New England is a plus matchup for tight ends whereas Tennessee is the stingiest. You get the point …

A Look Ahead to Week 14 …

For Week 14, Ryan Tannehill gets the seventh-best matchup for opposing quarterbacks when he faces New England. He did throw for two touchdowns and no turnovers against Indianapolis in Week 12. Josh Rosen gets the eighth-best matchup for quarterbacks when he faces Detroit, but that’s only if you’re REALLY desperate. David Njoku finally came back to life in Week 12, and he has the second-best matchup for opposing tight ends in Week 14 when he faces Carolina. Hopefully his and Baker Mayfield’s connection stays hot. Antonio Gates cooled down in Week 12, but he gets the third-best matchup for opposing tight ends when he faces Cincinnati in Week 14.

Best of luck to you all in Week 13. I hope you all make the playoffs and ultimately win your league(s). You can utilize the Fantasy Sharks Strength of Schedule tool yourself to find good and bad matchups for any part of the upcoming season (and any other position). As always, don’t hesitate to ask me any and everything regarding fantasy football on Twitter (my Twitter handle can be found below). Until next time, Sharks!

About Ryan Black

Ryan is a fantasy football enthusiast who specializes in redraft and dynasty leagues. He lives in Yorktown, VA with his beautiful wife and three kids. Feel free to ask him any and everything regarding fantasy football on twitter. It's all about winning that fantasy football championship, Sharks!