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Surviving Week 11

The byes are over and we are back to a full slate of games. Unlike last year where it seemed like there were many people advancing deep into the season in survivor pools, it appears as if most pools will end before Week 17. Check out my game-by-game analysis to ensure you won’t be the one that gets eliminated before then …

Week 1 – New York Giants – WIN

Week 2 – Green Bay Packers – WIN

Week 3 – New England Patriots – WIN

Week 4 – New Orleans Saints – WIN

Week 5 – Indianapolis Colts – WIN

Week 6 – Chicago Bears – LOSS

(I will begin giving multiple options for future weeks after my first loss.)

Week 7
1. Saints – L /
2. Ravens – W /
3. Chiefs – W

Week 8
1. Jets – L /
2. Chiefs – W / 3. Rams – W

Week 9
1. Packers – W /
2. Vikings – W

Week 10
1. Buccaneers – W /
2. Colts – W /
3. Giants – L

On to the games…

THURSDAY NIGHT

Bears @ Dolphins – Big game for both teams as Tyler Thigpen makes the start for Miami. Avoid in survivor.

SUNDAY

Raiders @ Steelers – Pittsburgh needs to rebound after a bad loss at home to New England. They step off the stage after two straight primetime games and face Oakland on Sunday afternoon. They’re a deep option, but not your best bet.

Texans @ Jets – The Jets have squeaked out two close road victories the past two weeks and come home to face a reeling Houston team. However, both of the Jets’ losses this season have come at home. I still make them an option for Week 11.

Ravens @ Panthers – The Ravens are a possible choice on the road this week, but with so many other possible picks, I would hold off on Baltimore if you have them and go with a home team.

Redskins @ Titans – The Titans are coming off a bye and a couple losses. They have not won since Oct. 24 so I imagine they will be hungry against the Redskins, who are on a short week. Tennessee could be a play this week.

Lions @ Cowboys – I would hold off on Dallas after that big victory last week. I want to see them play another decent game before risking a selection on them. The only thing that is going for Dallas that could make them a choice is the Lions’ 25-game consecutive road losing streak. Streaks have to end sometime though, and the way 2010 has gone for Dallas, nothing would surprise me.

Packers @ Vikings – Green Bay comes off a bye and enters Minnesota where I think the Vikings will give the Packers all they have. It is tough to pick the Vikings considering everything going on there, but I think they’ll rebound off that road loss where they were a popular selection and pull a home upset Sunday.

Bills @ Bengals – The Bills are coming off their first win, but Cincinnati has not played well this season. Skip.

Browns @ Jaguars – Jacksonville is still breathing in the AFC South after their dramatic win against Houston last Sunday. They cannot afford to slip up if they want to contend in the division.

Cardinals @ Chiefs – Kansas City will try to rebound after they have dropped a couple games. They host Arizona in Arrowhead and they should be able to get the ground game going and enjoy a win against Arizona. Potential pick.

Seahawks @ Saints – The Saints are a quality choice off the bye against Seattle, who is not the same team away from home despite their big win against divisional rival Arizona.

Falcons @ Rams – The Rams nearly pulled the upset last week in my “game to avoid.” I’m going to tell you to pass on Atlanta this week as well. They are coming off a long break with their last win coming at home against Baltimore, but something tells me this one will be a three-point finish.

Buccaneers @ 49ers – The Buccaneers travel from East to West and San Francisco is playing better with Troy Smith at quarterback. I like San Francisco to keep it rolling.

Colts @ Patriots – Manning vs. Brady doesn’t get old.

SUNDAY NIGHT

Giants @ Eagles – Avoid this Sunday night game for the division lead in the NFC East.

MONDAY NIGHT

Broncos @ Chargers – San Diego comes off the bye and will begin the second half of the season looking to repeat their customary second-half run. They find themselves right in the mix of the AFC West, but a loss could make the race even tighter. Look for Denver to stay with San Diego in a shootout as they have the weapons to do so.

SELECTIONS: There is a lot to choose from this week with eight teams being at least a six-point favorite this weekend. You know there will likely be at least one or two of those teams to go down, so let’s analyze the options. Pittsburgh is tricky because they are not playing well of late and Oakland is. Baltimore is on the road. Dallas has been an anomaly all season. San Diego is playing a divisional game against a team that has the same offensive firepower. That leaves the New York Jets, Tennessee, Kansas City and New Orleans. I’d use the Jets as my last choice of those four, but you can go any way on those three. I don’t see Tennessee, only a small losing streak, falling at home to the Redskins, who are falling apart so I’ll make them my No. 1 pick.

TEAMS TO AVOID:
Atlanta. You know how I feel about road teams, and the Rams are much improved this season.
Dallas. Read my analysis on this game. It’s been that crazy of a season for “Big D” that a loss to Detroit at home wouldn’t shock me.

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