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Surviving Week 6

The underdogs stormed through and drowned survivor hopefuls in Week 5. I continue to warn you to stay away from road teams and divisional matchups until it is extremely necessary. Those who listened and took Indianapolis last weekend are still alive. It doesn’t get easier as we move along so check out my entire game-by-game analysis for the Week 6.

Previous Selections:

Week 1 – New York Giants – WIN

Week 2 – Green Bay Packers – WIN

Week 3 – New England Patriots – WIN

Week 4 – New Orleans Saints – WIN

Week 5 – Indianapolis Colts – WIN

On to the games …

Sunday Games

Chargers @ Rams – I warned you last week about San Diego on the road, especially in the division. However, this game I expect them to play well from start to finish. The Rams suffered a big loss with Mark Clayton done for the season. He was Sam Bradford’s No. 1 target and that loss will hurt. Expect the Chargers to put up some points again. I don’t like selecting road teams, but as we get further into the season, there are fewer choices. Chargers are an option.

Chiefs @ Texans – Kansas City impressed me last weekend in Indianapolis. It could be that the Colts are not the same juggernaut they were, but the Chiefs are playing confident and have some weapons on that team. This is a good matchup in the AFC as these are some new faces atop their respective divisions.

Ravens @ Patriots – Avoid in survivor. Week 1 without Randy for the Patriots. I like Baltimore on the road in this one.

Saints @ Buccaneers – Beware of the road teams. New Orleans may have eliminated you last week and that definitely has opened people’s eyes. I don’t expect many to be taking the Saints this week on the road, especially in a divisional matchup.

Falcons @ Eagles – NFC matchup that you should stay away from. This one is virtually a pick ‘em and a tough one to choose.

Lions @ Giants – This could be a trap game for the Giants as they come off two big wins with great defensive performances. In Week 7, they travel to Dallas on Monday Night Football so hopefully they are not looking ahead. I would rather take the home Giants rather than any other road team this week, though.

Seahawks @ Bears – Seattle is 2-8 after the bye week since 2000. Chicago appears to have Jay Cutler back for this game. Seattle is a completely different team away from home and the Bears offensive line issues won’t be glaring in this game. Chicago handled the Carolina Panthers easily on the road last week without their starting quarterback so I am confident they will handle Seattle at home this week. Potential choice.

Dolphins @ Packers – Perfect timing for the Dolphins to face the Packers who are dealing with a ton of injuries this weekend. Avoid this game in survivor. I like the Dolphins for the win.

Browns @ Steelers – The return of Ben Roethlisberger starts this weekend and expect him to be a little inconsistent early. The good thing for Pittsburgh is they will be facing Cleveland and although they are a divisional rival which can play them tough, Colt McCoy may be starting for the Browns. The Steelers are an option this week, but it may be wise to wait and see with Roethlisberger.

Jets @ Broncos – The Jets are flying high at 4-1 and now travel to Denver to take on the Broncos. The Monday Night winner is 1-3 the following week this season. Denver has a great passing attack and the Jets could be without Darrelle Revis this weekend. The Jets should be focused before heading into the bye, but I expect this one to be close.

Raiders @ 49ers – The 49ers have been the sexy pick in the NFC West the last few years and have nothing to show for it. With Kurt Warner leaving the Cardinals, a new head coach in Seattle and a rookie quarterback starting in St. Louis, the 49ers had their best chance to take over the division in 2010. However, they failed to do so and sit at 0-5. I cannot pick a team that hasn’t won a game, even though they are close to a touchdown favorite. It’s hard to believe an 0-5 team is that big of a favorite.

Cowboys @ Vikings – Everyone is talking about the battle between these 1-3 teams this week. The loser will be 1-4 and pretty much done while the winner may be able to gather some confidence as creep back into the hunt.

Sunday Night Football

Colts @ Redskins – Washington is coming off a big home win against the Green Bay Packers while the Colts look to stay above .500 after there win over the Kansas City Chiefs. I like the Colts to win here close, but expect the Redskins to play tough defense in a raucous atmosphere on Sunday night in D.C.

Monday Night Football

Titans @ Jaguars – Divisional matchup on Monday night. The primetime games have not disappointed thus far. Tennessee had an impressive win last week when Dallas was in a near must-win situation at home, but have the Jaguars been a fluke? We will find out on Monday night. Give me the Titans, but watch out these home teams on Monday Night Football.

SELECTION: I am going with the
BEARS at home against Seattle. Seattle is 0-2 on the road this season and their opponents have outscored them 51-17. Matt Hasselbeck has not thrown for more than 250 yards in a game yet this season and their leading rusher has not cracked 70 yards in a game. Chicago showed they could play without their starting quarterback last week, albeit against Carolina, but a 23-6 win on the road is still noteworthy. As I previously mentioned, the Seahawks are 2-8 after the bye since 2000. The Bears come home to the windy city after two weeks on the road and pick up a win.

Other options: Steelers, Giants

Caution: Road teams = Jets, Titans. Save the Jets for later down the road and don’t risk the road team on Monday night, especially in a divisional game.


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