Top 5 Pick ‘Em
Season Record: 1-3-1
Houston +6.5 (@ Cincinnati)
The Bengals and Texans matchup has always been a historically low scoring affair. Only once in the past four regular season meetings has either team eclipsed 20 points (the Bengals scored 22 points in 2014), with the last two games ending 12-10 and 10-6. Furthermore, the Texans haven’t even lost in Cincinnati since 2005.
Tennessee -2.5 (@ Jacksonville)
The Jaguars found a recipe that can work in Week 1. They took the ball out of Blake Bortles’ hands and rushed a whopping 65% of plays. Unfortunately, the Titans defense was ranked #2 in 2016 against the run.
Atlanta -3 (vs. Green Bay)
It’s rare to see the Packers getting points, but it’s warranted when they are on the road in Atlanta. During the last 12 road games in September, Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have only covered the spread three times. While it may not be the trouncing we saw last year in the NFC title game, Matt Ryan has amassed an impressive stat line against the Packers in the past two meetings (seven touchdowns, 0 interceptions, 680 yards).
Minnesota +6.5 (@ Pittsburgh)
The Vikings are 3-1 against the spread in the last four times they’ve traveled to Pittsburgh. For non-conference games, the Vikings are historically better than any other team at covering the spread.
Chicago +7 (@ Tampa Bay)
In the last three years, only one team covered fewer spreads at home than the Buccaneers. The Bears were impressive in Week 1 after almost pulling off an upset win against the reigning NFC Champion Falcons.
Top Survivor Pick
Oakland (vs. New York Jets) – Unfortunately, the Raiders will be by far the most popular pick this week which usually should raise some red flags as there are a lot of eggs in one basket. On the other hand, this is one of the few weeks of the season where the Raiders will be a viable Survivor option so here is your chance to use them.
Seattle (vs. San Francisco) – This is a divisional game. The Seahawks have plenty of soft matchups in the coming weeks and are better used later in the season.