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Survivor Pool Analysis – Week 13

We are entering the final month of the season with just five weeks left. Check out the full game-by-game analysis for Week 13 and which playoff aspiring teams should be avoided in Survivor Pools this weekend.

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Philadelphia Eagles at Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is always a tough place to play and the Eagles have plenty of injury concerns on this short week. Avoid.


SUNDAY AFTERNOON

Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills
The Bills have completely fallen off and will host Tennessee, which had a nice comeback win last weekend. Tennessee is too up-and-down for me to pick them on the road, but I think Buffalo’s losing ways will continue.

Kansas City Chiefs at Chicago Bears
– The Bears are without Jay Cutler for the remainder of the regular season, but they still have Matt Forte and their vaunted defense to propel them in their playoff push. The Chiefs have their own quarterback issues. You have to like Chicago at home in this one.

Oakland Raiders at Miami Dolphins
The Raiders now lead the AFC West after collecting three wins in a row. Miami will have 10 days of rest entering this game. This should be a hard-fought battle. Avoid this one.

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers
The Bengals will try to pick up a win against a team they look up at in the AFC North. They have already lost to Pittsburgh at home, as well as the Ravens in Baltimore. Ten wins would likely get them into the playoffs, and assuming they can handle the St. Louis Rams and Arizona Cardinals, they will have to pick up a win this week, against Houston, or against Baltimore in Week 17 to ensure a playoff berth. Pass.

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns
The other AFC North teams will battle it out in Cleveland. I expect this one to be a low-scoring game that Cleveland keeps close for three quarters, but Baltimore ends up squeaking one out – similar to the Cincinnati win over Cleveland last week. Look elsewhere if you can.

New York Jets at Washington Redskins
I will never choose the Redskins with John Beck under center, but would consider it with Rex Grossman as their quarterback. I am not saying Grossman is the answer, because he is far from it, but he provides the team with a chance to win at times. The Jets should be able to handle Washington, but I would not risk them on the road unless it was necessary.

Atlanta Falcons at Houston Texans
The Texans would love to pick up a win against a quality opponent with the injury problems they have had this season. However, I will not touch this game from either side.

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This NFC South matchup should be avoided. I would probably go with the home team if I were forced to choose.

Denver Broncos at Minnesota Vikings
Can the Broncos continue their winning ways? It will be easier for them if Adrian Peterson does not suit up. Look elsewhere.

St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers
– If you have the 49ers, you can use them against the lowly Rams this week.

Dallas Cowboys at Arizona Cardinals
This is a big trap game for the Cowboys, which have escaped the last two weeks with field goal wins. The line in Vegas is a touchdown and I think Arizona will cover the number, but I am not sure if the Cardinals have what it takes to win. Dallas is now alone in first place in the NFC East and can put the New York Giants away the following week so they may be looking ahead. Pass on the road team.

Green Bay Packers at New York Giants
The Giants have lost three straight and now will host Green Bay as the Packers look to keep the undefeated season alive. I would rather bet with the Packers at home, so I will pass.

Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots
– The point spread in this game is three full touchdowns, which tells you all you need to know about these two teams this season. If you have the Patriots, they’re an option.


SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Detroit Lions at New Orleans Saints
The Saints put on a clinic in the dome on Monday night and they should find similar success in primetime this week. However, the Lions’ offense may be able to keep up with New Orleans better than New York was able to. If I needed an option I am not completely against taking the Saints since your options may be limited in Week 13, but there are better choices.


MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

San Diego Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars
San Diego has now lost six games in a row, which is one of the most mind-boggling stories of the NFL this season. You cannot put any trust into the 4-7 Chargers as they head to Jacksonville this Monday night. The Jaguars have already knocked off Baltimore at home this season on ESPN. Pass.


SELECTIONS

New England Patriots, San Francisco 49ers and Chicago Bears are your Top 3 options this weekend. If you do not have any of them available, the next best selection would be the New Orleans Saints. After that, I like the New York Jets followed by the Tennessee Titans. Go with the home teams first, though.

AVOID

Dallas – Dallas has New York in Week 14 with the division on the line, meaning the Cowboys could be looking ahead. They also have squeaked out two straight comeback wins with field goals and eventually that may catch up with them. They should still win, but I wouldn’t trust the road team.

Baltimore – Baltimore has played close games with some mediocre teams this season (Arizona, Jacksonville and Seattle). The Ravens lost on the road to the Jaguars and Seahawks, but were able to steal a win at home against Arizona. This could be another close game and it is a divisional road game.

Good luck in Week 13!

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