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Survivor Pool Analysis – Week 7

In Week 7, nine of the 13 games have point spreads that lie around 3-points or less. This means there are plenty of toss ups on the schedule. However, there a few options that stick out that you should target. Check out the full game-by-game analysis.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON

Bucs @ Bears – This game is being played in London and both teams are taking different approaches. The Bucs left on Monday morning while the Bears will not leave until Thursday. We will have to wait and see how it affects each team. Stay away in survivor.

Redskins @ Panthers – The Panthers suffered their first loss ATS (against the spread) on Sunday as they failed to cover against the Falcons, despite having the lead entering the 4th quarter. Cam Newton threw three interceptions in the loss. I expect the team to rebound and pick up a win against the Redskins. Carolina is one of the toughest 1-5 teams in recent memory as they have played hard in every game. Nevertheless, this is a low scoring game decided by a field goal so I would avoid.

Chargers @ Jets – This is one of the more intriguing games of the week as the Chargers come off a bye and the Jets sit at 3-3 after a Monday night win. San Diego is a weak 4-1 in my opinion as their four wins are against mediocre opponents (Minnesota, Kansas City, Miami, @Denver) and have come by 7, 3, 10, and 5 points, respectively. Three of those four wins were also at home. When you look at the Jets, though, they have not been impressive either. I’m going to pick the Jets in this game as the Chargers come across the country for the early 1:00 game. Pass in survivor.

Seahawks @ Browns – Cleveland will take on Seattle in a game that doesn’t exactly scream excitement. Look elsewhere.

Texans @ Titans – Houston needs to get back on track. The loss of Mario Williams was crushing and they are likely without Andre Johnson for one or two more games. After starting 3-1, they have lost two straight and now have the Titans coming off a bye on the road. Luckily for the Texans, the division appears to be a two-team race with the Titans so a win this week could get them back on track. I like Tennessee at home, though, and will stay away from this game.

Broncos @ Dolphins – Will Miami pick up their first win of the season or will Tim Tebow be the hero for Denver? Stay away from 1-4 vs. 0-5 matchups in survivor.

Falcons @ Lions – Atlanta has not looked impressive through six games this season. They have rotated wins and losses for six weeks and travel to Detroit before the bye. I expect Detroit to re-focus after their loss last week, which I thought would happen after their emotional Monday night game, and get back to their winning ways. Shootout potential. There are better options for survivor.

Chiefs @ Raiders – All of a sudden, Kansas City can pick up a win and move to 3-3 on the season. I don’t expect Oakland to allow that to happen, but I would stay away from the AFC West divisional game.

Steelers @ Cardinals – Here’s my upset of the week. Ken Whisenhunt has faced his old team twice, once in the regular season where Arizona won, and the other was in Super Bowl XLIII, where Santonio Holmes clinched the Super Bowl for Pittsburgh. I think Arizona will be ready off the bye after their embarrassing loss to Minnesota in Week 5 to come home and play the Steelers tough. After this game, they have four of five games on the road, including Baltimore, Philadelphia, and San Francisco.

Rams @ Cowboys – This week is eerily similar to Week 5 when Seattle knocked off the Giants. It was the one game that stood out on the schedule where you said “no way will they lose at home.” The Cowboys are favored by nearly the same amount as the Giants were as well, but the main difference is that Dallas is 2-3 and is coming off a loss. New York was coming off two big road wins and had a let down at home. Don’t expect that to happen to the Cowboys as they should be your top selection this weekend.

Packers @ Vikings – I would wait until the Packers are home if you still have them. Use the Cowboys or look at the Sunday night game.

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Colts @ Saints – The Saints are another choice for Week 7 as they should rebound after the loss I expected them to sustain in Week 6. It was their third straight road game and they had won the previous two. Now they come back home and Drew Brees should pass for 300+ yards with a few touchdowns against the Colts, who have actually played decent in primetime this year.

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Ravens @ Jaguars – If the Ravens were home, this would be a different story. Since they are on the road, I am going to hold off until they are home.

SELECTIONS

The top selection this week is the COWBOYS followed by the SAINTS. If you have used both and are searching for a team, go with the Packers or Ravens. Even though those two are on the road, it is better than taking a home team where the game is a toss-up. Out of all of the toss-up games, my favorite would be the Raiders at home, but that’s my 5th option.

AVOID in WEEK 7

I would avoid the Steelers on the road for the reasons I gave above. You shouldn’t be thinking about that game anyway this week.

 

Good luck in Week 7!

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