Monday - Jan 21, 2019

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Survivor – Week 10

I have a few rules, or guidelines really, that I take into account each week when making selections. I am not afraid to select a road team. Road teams win 40 percent of the time – that is about 100 wins per season that you are leaving on the table. Eliminating them as a selection puts you at a disadvantage from the start. I do, however, avoid divisional games at all costs. Now I know what you are thinking – “a team wins a divisional matchup 50 percent of the time. Eliminating them as a selection puts you at a disadvantage from the start.” I disagree. Divisional games are far too unpredictable. Lastly, I am not in the business of saving the strong teams for later in the season. You won’t have a chance to use them if you gamble with a loser early on.

 

Top Picks

Green Bay (vs. Detroit) – The Packers are undefeated at home and the Lions are winless on the road. I know this is a divisional game, but these two teams are clearly trending in opposite directions.

St. Louis (vs. Chicago) – Despite their Week 3 loss to the Steelers, the Rams have looked extremely strong at home. Their defense ranks in the top 5 and the Bears are one of the worst teams that St. Louis will face this year.

 

Feeling Lucky

Philadelphia (vs. Miami) – I don’t feel great about this. If you are desperate, the Eagles look like a solid choice because their defense should be the difference on Sunday.

 

Avoid

Carolina (@ Tennessee) – Trap game? The Panthers have been impressive over the past two weeks, to say the least. Roughly a third of all selections this week are picking the Panthers.

About Jordan Gingery

Jordan dreams of a world where kickers and defenses are picked in the last two rounds of fantasy drafts and the Carolina Panthers win the Superbowl every year. As a Fantasy Football Staff Writer at Fantasy Sharks, he is responsible for the weekly Survivor article during the regular season and is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA). When he is not giving advice and helping people win their fantasy champions, he can be found brewing his own beer... and drinking it!