Sunday - Aug 18, 2019

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Survivor – Week 11

I have a few rules, or guidelines really, that I take into account each week when making selections. I am not afraid to select a road team. Road teams win 40 percent of the time – that is about 100 wins per season that you are leaving on the table. Eliminating them as a selection puts you at a disadvantage from the start. I do, however, avoid divisional games at all costs. Now I know what you are thinking – “a team wins a divisional matchup 50 percent of the time. Eliminating them as a selection puts you at a disadvantage from the start.” I disagree. Divisional games are far too unpredictable. Lastly, I am not in the business of saving the strong teams for later in the season. You won’t have a chance to use them if you gamble with a loser early on.

 

Top Picks

Seattle (vs. San Francisco) – Week 11 is tough given all of the divisional matchups and teams on bye. Yes, the Seahawks are the most popular pick this week and they are indeed playing a divisional opponent. The 49ers rank out as the worst team in the NFL through 10 weeks and Seahawks will not let this game slip away.

Carolina (vs. Washington) – While the Panthers keep rolling, the Redskins don’t get the joy of playing the Saints every weekend. The Panthers have the 3rd best defense and a slightly surprising top 10 offense with the cast at wide receiver.

 

Feeling Lucky

Dallas (@ Miami)Tony Romo will make his long-awaited return on Sunday to face the Dolphins. Although 2-7, the Cowboys soft division has left the door open for a late season run. Fun but useless stat of the week: Romo is undefeated this year.

 

Avoid

New England (vs. Buffalo) – Rex Ryan coached teams have always played well against the Patriots and this is arguably one of the best. The game in Week 1 was very close and the Bills have more of an identity now. The Patriots are a much better pick over the next few weeks.

About Jordan Gingery

Jordan dreams of a world where kickers and defenses are picked in the last two rounds of fantasy drafts and the Carolina Panthers win the Superbowl every year. As a Fantasy Football Staff Writer at Fantasy Sharks, he is responsible for the weekly Survivor article during the regular season and is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA). When he is not giving advice and helping people win their fantasy champions, he can be found brewing his own beer... and drinking it!