Tuesday - Apr 23, 2019

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Survivor – Week 4

I have a few rules, or guidelines really, that I take into account each week when making selections. I am not afraid to select a road team. Road teams win 40 percent of the time – that is about 100 wins per season that you are leaving on the table. Eliminating them as a selection puts you at a disadvantage from the start. I do, however, avoid divisional games at all costs. Now I know what you are thinking – “a team wins a divisional matchup 50 percent of the time. Eliminating them as a selection puts you at a disadvantage from the start.” I disagree. Divisional games are far too unpredictable. Lastly, I am not in the business of saving the strong teams for later in the season. You won’t have a chance to use them if you gamble with a loser early on.

Top Pick

Buffalo (vs. New York Giants) – Eli Manning hasn’t throw an interception yet this year, but that is likely to change this Sunday as Buffalo has the eighth-most efficient pass defense. Karlos Williams has looked impressive in limited action and the offense will not miss a beat if LeSean McCoy sits out.

Feeling Lucky

Oakland (at Chicago) – It is clear that Chicago has already thrown in the towel this season. Oakland is young and on the road, and despite Alshon Jeffery looking to return, Chicago is still sporting the worst defense in the league.

Arizona (vs. St. Louis)  Arizona is averaging a whopping 42 points per game this season and is positioned for big things as long as Carson Palmer can stay healthy. It depends which St. Louis team shows up, but remember St. Louis was an “Avoid” in Week 1 when the team upset Seattle.

Atlanta (vs. Houston) – Atlanta would be a “Top Pick” if Arian Foster is not playing. The Atlanta defense is something to be desired, especially in the running game.

Avoid

San Diego (vs. Cleveland) – San Diego is desperately trying to run the ball and have Melvin Gordon make an impact. Despite having the sixth-most carries by running backs through three weeks, the offensive line ranks in the bottom third for run blocking. Cleveland is also allowing a combined 110 yards per game to the opposing teams’ top 2 wide receivers.

About Jordan Gingery

Jordan dreams of a world where kickers and defenses are picked in the last two rounds of fantasy drafts and the Carolina Panthers win the Superbowl every year. As a Fantasy Football Staff Writer at Fantasy Sharks, he is responsible for the weekly Survivor article during the regular season and is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA). When he is not giving advice and helping people win their fantasy champions, he can be found brewing his own beer... and drinking it!