Wednesday - Jan 16, 2019

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Survivor – Week 8

I have a few rules, or guidelines really, that I take into account each week when making selections. I am not afraid to select a road team. Road teams win 40 percent of the time – that is about 100 wins per season that you are leaving on the table. Eliminating them as a selection puts you at a disadvantage from the start. I do, however, avoid divisional games at all costs. Now I know what you are thinking – “a team wins a divisional matchup 50 percent of the time. Eliminating them as a selection puts you at a disadvantage from the start.” I disagree. Divisional games are far too unpredictable. Lastly, I am not in the business of saving the strong teams for later in the season. You won’t have a chance to use them if you gamble with a loser early on.

 

Top Picks

Seattle (@ Dallas) – The Seahawks appear to have found their groove. Dez Bryant may return this week for the Cowboys, but Tony Romo will definitely not. The Seahawks top-10 defense and top-15 offense slots them right outside the top-5 overall, while the Cowboys are on the opposite side of the spectrum.

Arizona (@ Cleveland) – Only the Patriots are ranked higher than the Cardinals in overall team efficiency which is backed by a top-5 offense and defense. Josh McCown has looked OK at times, but not good enough to pull out a win against lesser teams.

 

Feeling Lucky

Atlanta (vs. Tampa Bay) – The less than impressive Falcons barely squeaked out a victory last week against the slightly more unimpressive Titans team. The Falcons are 6-1 given their easy schedule, and while the Buccaneers are nothing special, this game is far from a lock.

 

Avoid

St. Louis (vs. San Fransisco) – The Rams are by far the most popular pick this week with 39% (that’s crazy!). Save them for future weeks and hope this pick knocks out a majority of your remaining pool. Oh yeah – divisional game.

 

About Jordan Gingery

Jordan dreams of a world where kickers and defenses are picked in the last two rounds of fantasy drafts and the Carolina Panthers win the Superbowl every year. As a Fantasy Football Staff Writer at Fantasy Sharks, he is responsible for the weekly Survivor article during the regular season and is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA). When he is not giving advice and helping people win their fantasy champions, he can be found brewing his own beer... and drinking it!