Monday - Jun 24, 2019

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Tag Archives: Guest

RISK ASSESSMENT: Upside Players With Downside

RB Chris Carson SEA

Having a monopoly over the Seattle backfield is equal to a first round running back this year... Rashaad Penny has a real chance to take volume from Chris Carson (and maybe even the starting role eventually) but the current ADP of both players allows massive upside especially when drafted together.

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GUT CHECK: Players To Target


Every season, there are players that we in the fantasy football industry identify as players that are “our guys.” Each fantasy football player has their own “guys” that they will be targeting in every draft they participate in. Other fantasy ...

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This is a list of 100 simple, yet interesting stats heading into the 2018 season. While these aren’t exactly “next level advanced statistics,” I still found them to be intriguing. 1. The Dallas Cowboys are 19-6 in games where Ezekiel ...

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WIDE RECEIVERS: 30+ Year-Old Potential


In 2015, there were two Top 10 wide receivers over 30. In 2016, there was one. In 2017, there was one. If you remove Larry Fitzgerald from the conversation you have Brandon Marshall and Jordy Nelson as the only 30-plus wide receivers to have a Top 10 season in points per reception (PPR) league format over the last three years.

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DRAFT FOCUS: 4th-Year Players


Todd Gurley had a season for the ages in 2017. He finished as the best fantasy running back in just about every scoring system out there. His usage in the receiving game is something that was not expected but was a pleasant surprise... He’s one of the safest fantasy options out there and will be the backbone of many fantasy teams this season.

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TOP-10: 2018 Bounce Back Players


Every year there are players that don’t live up to the preseason hype, whether it be because of injuries, coaching, or the roster situation around them (specifically at QB for skill players). Every year there are also a handful of ...

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BUY/SELL: ADP Studs and Duds


Weapons. Say it with me… weapons. That is exactly what Eli Manning is surrounded by in the New York Giants offense this season. From Odell Beckham Jr. to Sterling Shepard to Evan Engram and Saquon Barkley. Eli has never had this much talent around him in his entire 14-year career.

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DRAFT BUSTS: Early Rounds


The most common phrase around a draft is “You can’t win your draft in the early rounds but you can lose it.” It’s true and it’s something you should be worried about. Last year if you took Adrian Peterson or Jamaal Charles in Round ...

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RB Adrian Peterson Saints

Peterson a bust? Really!? Why yes, yes really. Why he is currently being drafted in the fourth round (ahead of the likes of Joe Mixon and Eddie Lacy) is beyond me. His highest yard total from last year was 31 whopping yards.

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Weapons, weapons and more weapons! The Titans have now added Eric Decker to go along with first round selection Corey Davis. Mariota took a big leap last year posting double digit fantasy points in 10 contests despite subpar receiving options.

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5 UP 5 DOWN: Running Backs


If Ameer Abdullah is healthy he is the lead back in Detroit and can be a dynamic runner. If you draft him as a RB3 and he does get hurt your level of investment won’t be high so it is a low-risk, high-reward situation.

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Terrance West has proven he can be a viable option when given opportunity, posting six double-digit outings last season. He could be an excellent loaner RB3 for the first four weeks of the season especially at this price.

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Tight End Hunter Henry San Diego Chargers

Drafting running backs and wide receivers is tough. Necessary, but tough. There’s a whole slew of strategy in drafting certain running backs and wide receivers early in the draft. Either you get who you want, or scramble to find someone ...

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FANTASY BUSTS: Rounds 1 – 3


I would much rather have Michael Crabtree at his current average draft position (Round 4, Pick 10). I still love Amari Cooper in dynasty formats, but you’re overpaying for a WR2 (and an inconsistent one, at that) in the second round in redraft leagues this year.

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FIVE UP FIVE DOWN: Quarterbacks

Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger Pittsburgh Steelers

The retirement talk this off season was a very real conversation Big Ben was having. Roethlisberger takes a beating every year and just keeps on going. This is one of his best qualities from a fantasy stand point. It also appears to be finally sneaking up on him.

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HANDCUFFS: Running Back

RB Kareem Hunt Kansas City Chiefs

Kareem Hunt is an interesting case because of how well Spencer Ware did last season and the confidence that the Chiefs front office has in him by releasing Charles and claiming Ware as their guy. What makes the Hunt Handcuff scenario interesting is that Kansas City traded UP in the draft to grab Hunt, meaning they have big plans for the Toledo RB.

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VALUE PLAYS: Running Back


I understand why people are scared off of Mark Ingram because of Adrian Peterson in the wings but I just don’t see him being a huge factor. He didn’t go to New Orleans to be the lead running back, he went because no one else wanted him as a lead running back and New Orleans took a flyer on him as a backup.

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Remember this guy? When Ameer Abdullah was coming out of college there was a ton of hype surrounding him and rightly so. I distinctly remember watching a preseason game in 2015 where Abdullah put such a nasty move on a defender that his average draft position rose 12 spots that week alone!

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Odell Beckham dominated red zone targets once again. Beckham's 21 looks were fourth in the league, but he only hauled in nine of those passes (42.9%) after catching 11 of 18 (61%) in 2015. Overall, New York attempted 30% fewer passes in the red zone compared to 2015, so Beckham's target share was actually much higher.

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Larry Fitzgerald led the NFC West in Red Zone Targets Inside the 20 yard line and was actually more involved in the red zone in 2016 than he was in 2015. Fitzgerald got two more looks and seven more yards inside the 20, but his touchdowns fell in half- from eight to a mere four.

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With the addition of Adrian Peterson during the offseason, the Saints looked to provide Mark Ingram with a suitable backup to replace Tim Hightower, maybe even someone with whom to split time. And did they? Sure, as when Peterson is healthy he is a monster.

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I typically would never advise taking a quarterback this early but when I look at the players going around the same time as Brady, its clear to me that "TB12" is the safest play. You are typically building the core of your team in the first 3 rounds and nailing these early picks is vital.

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How in the world is last year’s TE2 going so late!? Blasphemy! The reindeer lead all tight ends in targets last year with a whopping 132. Sam Bradford showed a willingness to get Rudolph the ball all year, and he ended the season with 83 catches, 840 yards and seven touchdowns. I think he prances along that reception total, but with room for more in the yards and the touchdown department..

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Given the fact that all aside from Blount contribute in the passing game, it’s safe to say the tools are in place for a second-year leap. Currently going in the 11th round of mock drafts, Carson Wentz could be a great draft day value. Just be sure to pair him with a solid QB2.

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FANTASY SLEEPERS: Way Too Early Edition


You’re probably thinking about how awful he was last year, right? He only threw 18 touchdowns on the entire year. How awful! The key here is that he did throw for 4,206 yards last season, and that’s with the injuries to Giovani Bernard, Tyler Eifert, and A.J. Green. If those three can stay healthy (don’t forget about the valuable additions of John Ross and Joe Mixon) look for Dalton’s touchdown total to jump.

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Watt is coming back from multiple surgeries and has been regarded as the top IDP or top DL in leagues for the past 2-3 years. This just cannot stand. Khalil Mack and Alec Ogletree both have a giant chance to outscore him hands down and Khalil Mack is being classified as a DE as of now. While I am sure the Watt can still produce good numbers for you, I implore everyone to not pay the king's ransom that he has been going for in the past and use your resources more wisely.

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MEAT & POTATOES: Defensive Backs


Growing up in the mid-west we were pre-programmed to love the sport of football and the kitchen appliance, the crock pot. In my opinion, nothing is better than a big bowl of stew on our cold Ohio nights during the ...

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MOCK DRAFT: First Post-Draft Mock


I was just happy the Cleveland Browns didn’t mess up the first overall pick. Well done, Cleveland! I know I’m not alone when I say this, but once the NFL draft is over, I just want to do a mock draft. It’s always interesting to see what the draft has done to Average Draft Positions (ADPs). Honestly, I can’t wait another second...

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ROOKIE CLASS: Round 1 Fantasy Outlook

RB Leonard Fournette Jacsonville Jaguars

He is probably going to be the 1st rookie off the board in all formats. With all the pieces the Jaguars have added this year, LSU product Leonard Fournette should finish as an RB1 in fantasy somewhere in the Top 15 across all league formats. With the Jaguars seemingly dedicated to the run this year, it will be Fournette that will get those reps..

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NFL DRAFT: 2017 Awards

San Francisco 49'ers 2017 Draft

Rookie GM John Lynch killed it in his first draft. Not only did San Francisco acquire two consensus top-15 picks (Solomon Thomas & Reuben Foster), but they also are set up nicely for next year's draft after obtaining additional 2nd and 3rd round picks...

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ROOKIE CLASS: Season Analysis

QB Mitch Trubisky Chicago Bears

While it is unlikely that coach John Fox throws the newbie into the fire right off the bat, the North Carolina product would still have little-to-no fantasy value. Chicago’s offense has a serious dearth of play-makers, especially with the off-season loss of wide receiver Alshon Jeffery. In essence, there are very few Chicago players worth owning for the 2017 season, which includes likely starting quarterback Mike Glennon.

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NFL DRAFT: 2-Round Mock Draft


As I sit in the airport on my way to the NFL Draft in Philadelphia, I wrote my 2017 Mock Draft (with enough time to do 2 full rounds, thanks Frontier Airlines!) and I include some highly anticipated trades. With ...

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