Thursday - Apr 25, 2019

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The Prognosticator – Week 3

Week 3 Fantasy Forecast 

Team

Rushing

Passing

Against

ARI

114

212

STL

ATL

160

165

NO

BAL

138

199

CLE

BUF

100

179

NYJ

CAR

138

168

TB

CHI

117

188

MIN

CIN

91

207

PIT

CLE

52

160

BAL

DEN

120

219

NE

DET

81

214

GB

GB

91

232

DET

HOU

99

218

WAS

IND

69

251

JAX

JAX

135

231

IND

MIA

140

209

TEN

MIN

98

228

CHI

NE

129

203

DEN

NO

96

219

ATL

NYG

94

214

SEA

NYJ

97

211

BUF

PHI

89

251

SF

PIT

127

218

CIN

SEA

106

183

NYG

SF

127

208

PHI

STL

88

209

ARI

TB

128

195

CAR

TEN

91

166

MIA

WAS

139

223

HOU

Red – Hot!

Yellow – Warm

White – Room Temp

Lt. Blue – Cold

Dk. Blue – Frigid

 

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings Sunday 1:00p

Da Bears are most certainly the monsters of the midway. They’re off to a crushing start after scoring tons of points and giving up next to dust in the first two weeks of the season. The actual numbers? 60 points for, 7 against – aye carumba.

One big problem though, this is a division game, the Bears are on the road, against the other 2-0 team in the division, versus a team that always plays them tough, no matter the records, stats or trends. Bears vs. the Vikings has been a war lately with the home team winning the last 8 meetings.

The difference in this game will be the sudden ineffectiveness of the Bears passing game vs. the surprising effectiveness of the Vikings passing game. Look for a couple of big pass plays to Troy Williamson as he is turning into gold for the Vikings. The Bears still dominate on D and win the battle on the ground, but the Vikings hang with them just because of what they can expose up top.

Vikings 24 – Bears 23

Washington Redskins at Houston Texans Sunday 1:00p

The Redskins are due and a Job Gibbs team will respond this week against a Texans team that has some problems in their lines. Look for the Redskins to lay one on the Texans as Clinton Portis comes back with a bang and they even get the passing game warmed up too.

The Texans are going to be OK in the air with Eric Moulds and Andre Johnson running the patterns but the Samkon Gado era in Houston is going to have to wait another week, or two.

Redskins 30 – Texans 21

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Sunday 1:00p

What a pivotal game. Essentially, the winner moves on, the loser can start to kiss their season goodbye. The Panthers are simply the best 0-2 team in the NFL and the Buccaneers have more holes than an insect infested tree. The Buccaneers will put it together this season but it will be too little too late. Just watch, Chris Simms can make it happen, it’s just going to take longer in 2006 than anyone predicted.

The story for fantasy owners out of Carolina this past week was, “Hey! I started DeShaun Foster, what are you doing to me?!?!?” The word out of Carolina is, don’t worry, DeShaun is still our starting RB. OK then, riddle me this then – if he’s your starting RB and you put in the rookie you have high hopes for, for the entire second half, how is DeShaun Foster a starting fantasy RB? I mean, hello? Is there anyone home? Let me try and clear up how this is going to shake out this weekend and what it means for the future of the Panthers running game.

First, the Panthers running game is gold and is one you want to try and have working for you in fantasy. One of two scenarios will happen this week and it’s why you need to hold on to Foster:

DeShaun Foster will run wild, after being effectively benched in the second half last week, Foster will respond with one of the better rushing performances of the weekend.

DeAngelo Williams will once again look like the better RB and will move Foster to a situational RB as Williams takes the reigns for good.

One of those two scenarios will happen on Sunday and I actually think it will be #1.

Panthers 24 – Buccaneers 19

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions Sunday 1:00p

I know a lot of the media outlets have been steering you away from Brett Favre this weekend but, when the dust clears, he ends up being one of the top 5 QB’s of Week 3 in Passing Yards though I do not expect more than 1 or 2 TD passes. I know that Favre has had a tough go of it in Detroit the past couple of times but guess which team Brett Favre has thrown for more yards against? In his entire career? Yup, the Lions. Donald Driver and Brett Favre both get my endorsement as guys you should have in your lineup.

The Lions keep saying they’re good, keep guaranteeing victories, yet.. I know the world is predicting a big day for the Lions but I’m going the other way. The Mike Martz play-book is one of the most complicated in the NFL and it will take a lot longer than Week 3 for the Lions to digest it. They certainly have a lot of the pieces to make it go and Roy Williams will have an incredible second half, however, this game will be an uphill battle. As the Lions are home and the Packers are the Packers due to their inexperience, the Lions will eek by the Pack. Brett Favre and company will put the ball up a ton all day long.

Lions 20 – Packers 17

Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins Sunday 1:00p

Come on now. Oklahoma, even with the officiating, could beat the Titans. Ronnie Brown goes super nova in this one. Ignore all other players in this contest, they don’t belong in your lineup.

Dolphins 27 – Titans 13

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers Sunday 1:00p

What a great game as the combatants in this one will leave it all on the field. The Bengals know they’re good and being able to pick up where they left off from last season, is a large exhale for this club. As a Chad Johnson owner in a number of leagues, “Chad, shut up already, stop painting a target on your scalp every week for the opposition to head hunt. I need you for a lot more weeks than 1-3 so snap out of the taunting and let your play on the field do the talking. Do we understand each other?”

The Steelers are stung and will not come out flat in this one after what happened against Jacksonville. This Steelers D is dominating and a better unit than last year. The Bengals will have their hands full.

The difference maker in this game will be Willie Parker as he gets back on track. The Steelers put together a fundamentally sound game of football and declaw the Bengals.

Steelers 33 – Bengals 23

 

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts Sunday 1:00p

This weekend is just chock-full of games that are worth watching. The Jaguars were dominant against the defending Super Bowl champs, just dominant. They had some of the pieces last year, particularly on defense, but this year they found some help in the offensive line and that is paying handsomely.

The Jaguars will have a big day and will run it up on the Colts D, primarily on the legs of Fred Taylor but the young and talented WR corp will also contribute.

Expect the Colts to pass a ton and stumble mightily on the ground. Only the Browns will have a worse running game on Sunday.

The Colts are hot but there are only two, maybe three teams that can beat the Colts. The Patriots, Steelers and .. Jaguars.

Jaguars 30 – Colts 27

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills Sunday 1:00p

There really won’t be much to speak of in this one. The only considerations are Willis McGahee from the Bills, but do not expect a big day, and portions of the Jets receiving group. Chad Pennington will have a tough time throwing for 300 yards this week, expect around 200 yards and if Laveranues Coles is healthy, you could start him in a pinch.

Bills 29 – Jets 28

 

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns Sunday 4:05p

Domination. This won’t be close from the opening bell to the final round. The Ravens will run Jamal Lewis senseless and when he’s getting a breather on the sideline, Steve McNair will be working short passes underneath to Todd Heap.

The Browns will be terrible. Charlie Frey, meet Ray Lewis.

Ravens 33 – Browns 17

St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals Sunday 4:15p

The Rams are having trouble with the new play book and it makes you wonder if switching philosophies was such a good idea after all? The greatest show on turf was called that for a reason. Keep in mind that Kurt Warner came from the Rams after much success with them. The Rams will not impress once again as Stephen Jackson doesn’t find much room to roam and Marc Bulger continues to struggle with the offense, though they will have some small successes up top as things start to click.

The Cardinals won’t shine in any one area but will win due to balance. Edgerrin James brings just enough to be a good complement. The Cardinal passing game is stud loaded, though the Rams slow them down just a bit. You start your Cardinals but do not expect a big day from them, rather, expect an average day that doesn’t help or hurt you.

Cardinals 23 – Rams 20

 

Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers Sunday 4:15p

The 49’ers are going to put some pressure on the Eagles. I know many are looking at this game as a lay up for the Eagles but something is very different about these 49’ers this year. Remember that the ‘way’ of the NFL is to make bad teams good and good teams bad, over time. Unlike baseball, the NFL strives for parity. The 49’ers for a number of years now have only had one direction they could possibly go in, and that is up. It is inevitable that they will rise one day, as like I’ve stated, it is how the NFL is geared. Watch out for the 49’ers becuse once they believe they can do it, they just may. Frank Gore once again should be in your lineup.

Donovan McNabb has risen from the ashes and put a smile on many a fantasy players face. Mine included. This week, he’s as much a lock as Peyton Manning is. Do not leave him on your bench.

49’ers 27 – Eagles 21

New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks Sunday 4:15p

That’s right! The 49’ers win!! Sorry, I figured you haven’t fully recovered from the last game write up.

Giants at Seahawks? Come on?!? Keep the good times coming NFL because at this point, I’m happier than a flea on a no legged dog.

Neither team will actually impress as this will be a football game. The Giants will have more success upstairs than downstairs and I worry about Tiki Barber‘s ability to produce this week. The Seahawks will struggle a little more up top, as they will have trouble with the Giants pass rush, but will perform well enough on the ground with Shaun Alexander to help move the chains.

Seahawks 23 – Giants 20

Denver Broncos at New England Patriots Sunday 8:15p

Stop it. The night game is Broncos/Patriots? Are you kidding me? The Broncos ALWAYS play the Patriots tough and this will be no exception. Usually, when you see a Broncos game on the Patriots schedule you think, “uh oh.” The Broncos will move the ball and as per their style of play, will run the ball right at the Patriots and will be able to. Jake Plummer will help move the chains with a name we haven’t heard much from yet, Javon Walker but the Broncos keep it on the ground and do it well.

The Patriots, match the Broncos with exactly the same thing. A lot of power running with Corey Dillon (check injury report) and Laurence Maroney. If Dillon can’t go, Maroney makes a very nice start and should be in your lineup.

While last week’s Pennington vs. Brady prediction was spot on, with the statement that if given the choice I’d start Pennington over Brady, this week isn’t so obvious. They’ll be close, very, very close, but I’ll give Pennington the nod once again by a couple of yards.

Patriots 30 – Broncos 20

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints Monday 8:30p

Everywhere I turn I see how the Falcons will win this game and they’re just too much for the Saints. Yes, the Falcons will run Warrick Dunn wild and when Dunn isn’t running, Michael Vick will be, and sure, the Falcons will be able to contain the Saints running game forcing Drew Brees to try and beat them. Yes the Falcons have a better offense, defense, special teams and water boys but there’s one major problem.

They’ve grossly under estimated the power of the human spirit.

Saints 24 – Falcons 21

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