Thursday - Apr 18, 2019

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The Prognosticator – Week 5

Welcome my fantasy brethren to another edition of The Prognosticator, may it calm the storm. It’s a busy week for me here at Progno central trying to get this out in airports and on airplanes so please excuse the brevity.
Passing Rushing
Team Score Team Score
NO 291 GB 128
ARI 278 BAL 122
HOU 276 JAX 121
WAS 274 PIT 119
SD 271 ARI 117
DEN 268 KC 113
NE 263 CHI 113
BAL 259 WAS 112
NYG 253 HOU 110
TB 253 CIN 108
ATL 250 SD 108
CLE 249 SEA 107
SEA 248 BUF 107
CHI 243 STL 105
TEN 243 NYG 104
CIN 242 IND 101
PHI 241 SF 100
IND 240 DAL 98
SF 238 CLE 97
PIT 237 PHI 97
GB 236 ATL 96
DAL 225 TB 95
DET 223 OAK 93
OAK 221 NO 90
KC 220 TEN 87
JAX 214 DEN 86
STL 195 NE 79
BUF 188 DET 77

 

How to read the table: The table shows how a team will do Passing and Rushing in the upcoming week of the NFL. Red is HOT, Yellow is WARM, White is NORMAL, Light Blue is COLD and Dark Blue is FREEZING COLD. Play players from teams that are Red and Yellow, avoid players from teams that are Light or Dark Blue and expect average days from teams that are White.

All times are Eastern
 

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans – Thursday 8:25pm

Unfortunately for the Colts, they seem to be in disarray. Defensively they’re not that good and offensively they just don’t have the supporting cast of characters that they need to be able to compete. Many of their off-season acquisitions were just terrible moves and it makes you wonder if the Colts have lost their touch. I have always admired them for the teams they’ve managed to build. This year? Not so much.

Arian Foster back and getting into football shape is just the boost this team needs. A running game will cure many of their woes.

Favorite: Houston Texans by 1
Prediction: Houston Texans 33 – Indianapolis Colts 27
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Seattle Seahawks at Cincinnati Bengals – Sunday 1:00pm
Both teams are fairly evenly matched but right now, I wouldn’t want to play Cincinnati. A lot of the pieces are working for them. This game away from Seattle evens things out quite dramatically. The Lions should have won last week and that was in Seattle which shows that while the Seahawks are certainly a very good team, they also most certainly can be beat. Expect decent fantasy days all around in this one with the best matchup in the game occurring when the Bengals run the ball.
Favorite: Cincinnati Bengals by 1.5
Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals 34 – Seattle Seahawks 27
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Buffalo Bills at Tennessee Titans – Sunday 1:00pm
The Bills at times look to be an exercise in futility. Their running game, what they’ve built their offense around, looks to potentially be handed over to Anthony Dixon this week.  Injuries have hurt them in various ways. The Titans are coming off a bye week and have had two weeks to prepare for the Bills’ arrival. This will be a tough game for the Bills to win, even if they are favored. Expect this game to be more about defense as there really won’t be too many fantasy points scored in this one.
Favorite: Buffalo Bills by 3
Prediction: Tennessee Titans 34 – Buffalo Bills 27
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

Chicago Bears at Kansas City Chiefs – Sunday 1:00pm
This will turn into a ground and pound statement game by both teams. Jamaal Charles and Matt Forte roll well here. Jeremy Maclin may not have the same success this week, rather, it’s the Bears in the air that will look better.
Favorite: Kansas City Chiefs by 9.5
Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs 33 – Chicago Bears 24
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles – Sunday 1:00pm

The Eagles have so many talented running backs that it looks like a fantasy roster filled with the same perils. You know those weeks where you have a handful of running backs that look great but can only start two and invariably, you always start the wrong two as others go wild on your bench? Welcome to the Eagles’ predicament. The Saints have not been good against the run so you should expect, as long as the game plan is good, for the Eagles to want to try and pound the ball down low but quite honestly, Chip Kelly seems to have some “do-or-die” type plan each week and whether it makes sense or not doesn’t really seem to matter.

On the Saints side, expect a HUGE day for Drew Brees as the Saints get their giddy-up on in the air. Do not miss out.

Favorite: Philadelphia Eagles by 5.5
Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles 31 – New Orleans Saints 27
Category Advantage
Rushing
Passing
Offense
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnovers

About Tony Holm

Founder and President of FantasySharks.com. Five-time nominee for the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's Hall of Fame. Started publishing fantasy content on the web in 1993 and hasn't stopped yet.