Initially built by NASA to set lines for the Las Vegas casinos in the late 50’s (who do you think funded the Apollo missions? The government? It was the mob…), The Sin City Betbot 6000 calculated lines for over 30 years. The Betbot was given various upgrades through the years, not always with the best equipment, but he was very good at setting lines, and living the good life.
The Betbot was de-commissioned in 1990 after San Francisco destroyed Denver in the Super Bowl. The 45 point spread simply fried a number of the Betbot’s wires and he retired. The Betbot was discovered by Fantasysharks.com and retooled to give fantasy advice. He lives now to help your team with deeper sleepers to start each week.
The Betbot’s column is transcribed each week by Joe Petrizzi and Tom Walls, because, “Typing is a dame’s BZZZT job.”
Need more BetBot? Try a daily dose of BetBot at http://blog.sincitybetbot.com and look for other content, including weekly NFL picks, on http://www.sincitybetbot.com.
I apologize for the short intro this week, as my good friends at the United Nations requested that I intervene on the North Korea matter. In case you haven’t heard, the Koreans reported that they successfully detonated a nuclear device, which set off a rapid chain of events. First, Korea called China to warn them in advance, I suppose so the Chinese could strap down their glassware. China called the U.S., who called the UN, who then called me. Not to use the third person, but why call the …BZZZT… BetBot? For one, I can translate speech in over 200 languages, so they keep me on speed dial in case of emergency. More importantly, I’m a people person…er…robot. I’ve spent most of the last century dealing with cranky gamblers and pit bosses on power trips. I know how to find common ground with even the most temperamental types of people, and sometimes they bring me in to break the ice before unusually dicey diplomatic negotiations. Well, who’s crankier or on a bigger power trip than Kim Jong-il? I’m the kind of personality that can adjust to the situation and get talks moving before this whole “I’ve got big guns” pissing match gets started. Plus, I do a killer Stalin impersonation.
On to the latest deeper sleepers:
QB – Jason Campbell – WAS – Say what? I’m recommending the backup QB for the Redskins just 2 weeks removed from Mark Brunell’s 300 yard game against Jacksonville? Campbell’s not even on the active roster most weeks. Look, you can read any fantasy column on the web and find out that you should be picking up Charlie Frye or Jon Kitna, but I touted them weeks ago, so if you want them they’re probably already on your team. In fact, if you’re in a league where Kitna and Frye are still available, this column probably isn’t for you. Maybe you’d prefer to watch an overproduced fantasy show on network TV. Go ahead; waste your time while my readers treat you like Mark Foley treats …BZT… congressional pages. Now, about Campbell…we have every reason to believe that he’ll be starting for the Redskins down the stretch. First, Brunell is old and will likely get replaced due to injury and/or ineffectiveness. Seriously, he has all the warning signs – inconsistent production, failure to get the ball deep, immobility – all he needs now is an endorsement from the head coach and we can start the countdown to retirement. Second, the Redskins are 2-3 and bringing up the rear in their division. So they also look like a pretty good candidate to give Campbell a shot this season as they fade from contention. Is it too early to write Washington off in week 5? Sure. But you keep a guy like Campbell on your radar, and if Brunell can’t right this ship, you look to make the move.
RB – Justin Fargas – OAK – Look, man – I lay it out for y’all to play it out. This is the second week in a row I’m recommending a Raider. Not only will do I get a set of steak knives, I also get a free visit from my psychiatrist. Fargas is only a backup, and it’s not like Lamont Jordan is going anywhere with his contract. Let’s not read too much into last week – everybody runs on the 49ers. But with all of the loafers in Oakland who apparently don’t want to play, Fargas looks like he gives a damn. At some point this season, the Raiders will admit that their team has no chance. Guys like Jordan who are already signed to fat contracts are going to start nursing injuries and spending more time rehabbing than practicing. Hungry youngsters in their walk year like Fargas are going to pick up the slack. Just to make this pick a bit juicier, Oakland spends the stretch run against weak rush defenses like Houston, Cincinnati, and St. Louis. Plus, owning Fargas means you get to break out the Huggy Bear quotes for trash talking, and that’s worth the price all by itself.
To read the WR and TE write ups, you may want to check out my Sin City Betbot 6000 Receiver Confidence Index, as I’ll be referring to it going forward. I’ll often refer to a receiver’s CI score as a triplet of numbers – his raw CI number, his receptions weighted by CI, and his yards weighted by CI. For example, Andre Johnson’s CI score is 1.44/43.2/590.
WR – Kelley Washington – CIN – The Bengals had a bye last week, teams with byes the week before are always ripe for the picking when it comes to deeper sleepers. This is simply because any good performances are now two weeks old and fantasy football owners have short memories. This is also because owners probably stayed away from guys who would normally interest them two weeks ago because of that upcoming bye.
I want to make sure you guys remember Kelley Washington, though. Chris Henry is still suspended for the next two games, and Washington is his replacement. Get him now. If you have to start more than 2 WRs, start him with confidence.
As I say in my Confidence Index write up, for receivers, it’s all about opportunity. And Washington is doing pretty well when given the chance. Washington is ranked 7th among WRs for in Confidence Index with a CI line of 1.65/14.8/189. He’s been targeted only 11 times, but he has 7 positive plays (either a first down or touch down) on those 11 opportunities. Yes, the Bengals have a couple tough match ups the next two weeks (Tampa Bay and Carolina), and yes he is the #3 WR – but that’s the sort of match up I like. These defenses will not be keying on Washington, so he can grab a couple receptions while defenses ask where 85 is at (ocho cinco).
TE – George Wrightster – JAX – I talked about rookie Marcedes Lewis in my pre-season outlook. I believe that he will be a very good TE in a system and QB that rewards TEs. He’s hurt now, however – and George Wrightster is making the most of his opportunity filling in for him.
Wrightster is in his fourth year, and certainly is no household name. He is, however, someone to pick up in the short term to help you through the upcoming bye weeks. Wrightster is 15th in CI Yards (and 7th in CI Receptions) among all TEs. His CI line isn’t too shabby at 1.06/18.1/150. Wrightster happened to score last week, which means he may be in a little bit of demand, but I’m betting he is readily available in your league. Pick Wrightster up if your current TE is disappointing you or for the aforementioned bye week. Once Lewis gets back on the field, this is a guy you probably don’t want to start, but you can ride him until then.
So long for now, and remember “Showgirls and gin my friends, showgirls and …BZT…gin.”
If you have any questions for the Betbot, please contact Tom Walls at firstname.lastname@example.org – also, check out