Initially built by NASA to set lines for the Las Vegas casinos in the late 50’s (who do you think funded the Apollo missions? The government? It was the mob…), The Sin City Betbot 6000 calculated lines for over 30 years. The Betbot was given various upgrades through the years, not always with the best equipment, but he was very good at setting lines, and living the good life.
The Betbot was de-commissioned in 1990 after San Francisco destroyed Denver in the Super Bowl. The 45 point spread simply fried a number of the Betbot’s wires and he retired. The Betbot was discovered by Fantasysharks.com and retooled to give fantasy advice. He lives now to help your team with deeper sleepers to start each week.
The Betbot’s column is transcribed each week by Joe Petrizzi and Tom Walls, because, “Typing is a dame’s BZZZT job.”
Need more BetBot? Try a daily dose of BetBot at http://blog.sincitybetbot.com and look for other content, including weekly NFL picks, on http://www.sincitybetbot.com.
So, I’m going to be brief with the introduction this week. I’ve been dealing with a personal issue for most of the last week or so and have not been able to spend a whole lot of time on football. I know, I know – you’re thinking that my advice won’t be so valuable if I’m not putting 100% into it, but the fact is that even 10% of my time spent on football is more valuable than a whole team of “gurus” at your standard media conglomerate. If I had time, I’d rip some of those bozos to shreds, but as it turns out I’m all wrapped up with a paternity imbroglio. It seems that an entertainment news publication (that will go unnamed) published a picture of Britney Spears with her …BZT… child recently.
The big news, of course, is that neither Ms. Spears nor her baby were wearing makeup – and they were therefore unable to conceal the true nature of BetBot Jr. (full name: The Sin City BetBot-Spears 6001). Unfortunately, now that our affair has been made public I’m dealing with phone calls for interviews – from a wide range of publications, actually. Gossip rags like US Weekly want the scoop on how we hooked up, and more weighty publications like Popular Science are interested in the …ahem… scientific aspect. What they don’t seem to understand is that a classy man (or a classy robot, if you prefer) never reveals the details concerning his sessions of sweet, even if it IS worth a sack full of coin.
Anyway, K-Fed doesn’t seem to mind (like he’s going to bite the hand that feeds him) so I’m not dealing with the husband this time. Plus, I’m 98.4% sure that the second baby is NOT mine. Hopefully, this whole thing blows over quickly and I can get back to normal – because if I have to skip my regular mid-week routine again, somebody’s going to have a problem in the seventh.
Anyway, I thank you for your patience, and as a sign of my appreciation, here are some deeper sleepers…
QB Jon Kitna– DET – Now, here’s a guy who was a bit hot at the beginning of the summer but has probably been kicked to the curb in quite a few leagues after 2 weeks and no TDs to show for it. Sure, he’s got a 1 yard TD plunge, but where is the vaunted Mike Martz offense? Well, it’s not hanging with the Rams, that’s for sure. Kitna’s problem, of course, has been starting the season with two tough defensive match-ups in Seattle and Chicago. But the next two weeks bring a home game against the Packers and a road game on Martz’ old turf in St. Louis. Green Bay can’t play D, so that’s a juicy game for the Lions offense right off the bat. But the next game looks even tastier. Now, it may be bad form to suggest that Martz is going to want to stick it to the Rams after he was unceremoniously removed from the controls there last year (following a heart problem!), but that’s exactly what’s going to happen – mark my words. There’s nothing I can spot faster than someone with revenge in his eyes – this comes from years of living in gambling halls and bar rooms. Kitna’s already thrown the ball nearly 70 times this season, and the TD production will come against the ugly defenses he’ll be facing for the rest of September. As a bit of icing on the cake here, rumor has it that Detroit is courting Raiders’ WR Jerry Porter.
RB Musa Smith – BAL – By now, everyone here should understand my feelings about deep sleepers at the RB position. You absolutely have to get a couple of guys like Musa Smith on your roster if you want to make a late run at the playoffs. Valuable fantasy RBs are so rare that if you can grab one who’s going to get carries down the stretch, you’re significantly helping your team’s chances. Smith has quietly displaced Mike Anderson as Jamal Lewis’ backup, and I don’t need to tell you about Lewis’ injury history. Musa even got into the Oakland game for a bit last week in a mop-up role. At some point, Lewis is going to get injured and Smith will be the starter – grab him now while he’s still cheap.
To read the WR and TE write ups, you may want to check out my Sin City Betbot 6000 Receiver Confidence Index, as I’ll be referring to it going forward. I’ll often refer to a receiver’s CI score as a triplet of numbers – his raw CI number, his receptions weighted by CI, and his yards weighted by CI. For example, Amani Toomer’s CI numbers are 1.5/25.5/267.
WR Arnaz Battle – SF – Old Betbot favorite Arnaz Battle appears for the first time this year. Yes, his Confidence Index scores aren’t great – 1.13/5.7/108 (WR rank: 52/59/40) – but he’s got a lot of opportunity coming up, starting with this week against Philadelphia. Overlooked nationally in the loss to the Giants was the sad state of affairs in the Eagles defensive backfield. The Eagles will likely start Niners cast off Joselio Hanson opposite Sheldon Brown this week. Lito Sheppard and Rod Hood will not be starting due to injuries. Antonio Bryant has had great games the first two weeks, and will likely draw much of the Eagles’ attention. This, plus the injuries, plus a high scoring Eagles offense, will lead to a lot of opportunities this week for Battle. Alex Smith has shown some maturity this year, he has a chance to have a good game against a good NFC team. Arnaz Battle will definitely be a big part of the game plan. Battle is a good start this week, and a good keeper going forward. The NFC West’s defenses aren’t very good, and the Niners are a team who should be able to score this year. Get Battle for this week and keep him for your upcoming bye weeks.
TE Desmond Clark – SF – Hmmm…This is probably the last week I could include him in a deeper sleeper column, so here he is. Clark scored last week, and has put up big numbers through 2 weeks. He also leads my all Tight Ends in CI yards, scoring 1.47/14.7/238 (TE rank: 12/2/1) – very …BZT… impressive. Rex Grossman is on fire, granted against some suspect competition, but that’s the NFC North. Grossman is also spreading the ball around, but found a true friend in Clark. Clark has been targeted 13 times, and caught the ball 10 times. Of those 10 catches, 7 have ended in ‘Positive’ plays. Positive plays are a key part of the CI, these are plays that end with a First Down or Touchdown. When the Bears need someone to make a play, Clark is a guy they look to.
If Clark has another good game this week, he won’t be there for you to grab. So get him now, and keep him as long as Grossman stays healthy.
So long for now, and remember “Showgirls and gin my friends, showgirls and …BZT…gin.”
If you have any questions for the Betbot, please contact Tom Walls at firstname.lastname@example.org – also, check out