There is one word in fantasy football that looms above all others as the most important in the game. One concept that is the most critical. One notion that is the most vital to fantasy success.
That word is not beer. That’s the most important word in life — especially in 2020.
In fantasy football, there’s nothing more important than value.
Over the past two seasons, a lot of leagues were won with Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes(2018) and Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson (2019) under center. But the true value of those players didn’t lie in the pile of fantasy points they amassed. It came from the fact that both were drafted either as low-end weekly starters — or even backups.
That’s how fantasy leagues are won — not by stars who simply live up to their draft slot, but by players who blow their average draft position (ADP) out of the water.
Those players are the true stars of fantasy football — the All-Value All-Stars, if you will.
And based on the ADP data at Fantasy Football Calculator, the following players are excellent candidates to earn that status in 2020.
Matthew Stafford, QB, Detroit Lions (ADP: 112.9, QB13)
Stafford’s 2019 season was a forgettable one — the 32-year-old missed half the season with a back injury. But as Cory Bonini reported for The Huddle, that injury has caused many fantasy managers to forget the rip Stafford was on before going down.
“Through eight games last year, Stafford unexpectedly sat as one of the most prolific fantasy football quarterbacks,” Bonini said. “He averaged 25.9 fantasy points per outing, on pace for 4,998 yards, 38 touchdowns and only 10 interceptions. The extrapolated stat line would have placed Stafford as the No. 3 quarterback finisher on the year, just three points behind No. 2.”
Stafford has mostly been durable throughout his career — last year was the first time the former No. 1 overall pick missed time since the 2011 season. In Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones, Stafford has a quality duo of receivers at his disposal. And it’s not at all difficult to imagine Detroit playing from behind with regularity in 2020.
Stafford offers legitimate Top 5 fantasy upside — with a QB2 price tag.
Devin Singletary, RB, Buffalo Bills (ADP: 46.1, RB25)
Fantasy managers who had high expectations for Singletary’s rookie season with the Buffalo Bills were left disappointed in 2019 — the third-round pick failed to gain 1,000 total yards and finished outside the Top 30 running backs in points per reception (PPR) fantasy points. However, as Tristan Cockroft wrote at ESPN, the youngster picked up steam over the second half of the season.
“Things were looking up for Singletary during the second half of an otherwise forgettable 2019, as he averaged 16.4 carries per game and 4.6 yards per carry with 30 total targets in his final eight regular-season contests, then managed 134 yards from scrimmage in the Wild Card round,” he said. “With Frank Gore gone, Singletary should see easily at least that much usage and arguably more; and with Allen unlikely to repeat his 2019 rushing success, the Bills should really shift more of their rushing focus to the second-year back. Zack Moss does loom as a potential goal-line vulture, but Singletary should put forth high-end RB2 value for an RB3’s price.“
For what it’s worth, Singletary’s per-carry average for the season was a very respectable 5.1 yards a pop, and he ranked inside RB2 territory over the season’s second half. A sizable bump in usage in 2020 is more than a little likely given the truncated offseason and the fact the Bills were sixth in rushing attempts last year.