Thursday - Mar 21, 2019

Home / Commentary / Week 11: Preparing for the Playoffs

Week 11: Preparing for the Playoffs

Welcome to Week 11. We are just a couple of weeks away from the fantasy playoffs which will begin in Week 13 for some and Week 14 for others. Shark leagues begin playoffs in Week 13 and I am currently in second place in my division with a 7-3 record. I’m still holding strong to first place in our Staff DC league with a nine-point lead.

Every league is set up different so you have to check what your waiver and trade rules are. Chances are that some leagues have stopped waiver pickups as early as Week 10. Other leagues might allow add/drops throughout the playoffs. In any case, make sure to adjust your roster now because you don’t want to end up short players at a position because of an injury. Could you imagine you are an owner that had
Aaron Rodgers

and
Jay Cutler

on the roster and now have to worry about trying to pick up a starting quarterback with the problem of deciding to hold on to Rodgers or Cutler in a redraft league?

At this point in the season you will see a number of trades happen. In redraft leagues, many of the owners that are still in the playoff hunt are targeting the teams that are clearly out of the playoffs. Some of these teams have 1-2 studs and have little else to offer because if they did, they would have a better record. I have two opinions on this scenario. The first – if you can make a trade that will help you secure a playoff spot and help you win I am all for it. However, the second part is that often in some leagues you will start to see ridiculous trades. The kind where the owner with the 1-9 record is giving up
Calvin Johnson

and
Reggie Bush

for
Roddy White

and Rashad Jennings. Clearly not an even trade, but you see it all the time in leagues. Hopefully, the leagues that these trades happen in have a way of voting on the trade or have the commissioner step in.


The Golden Mug Award

Awarded to the fantasy players who came through for their team.

Rishard Matthews – 11 receptions, 120 yards, 2 TD. Matthews will be a big waiver wire addition this week. Matthews benefited from the coverage
Mike Wallace

received from
Darrelle Revis

. Could Matthews be a one-week wonder? I think he will have up-and-down games. With the way Miami is struggling to run the ball the Dolphins are forced to throw 40 times a game and Matthews could see a ton of targets. This week against San Diego, Miami could throw it a lot.

Demaryius Thomas – 7 receptions, 108 yards, 3 TD. It is hard to believe that this is Thomas’ first 100-plus yard game since Week 1. It seems as if his stats are down this season but he is still on pace to finish with 1,400 receiving yards and could set a career-best for touchdowns. He’s currently one touchdown away from tying his touchdown total of 10 set last season. He has tough matchups the next four weeks as he faces Kansas City twice and Tennessee.

Brandon Marshall – 7 receptions, 139 yards, 2 TD.
You love when the matchup is favorable and your guy plays lights out against the matchup. Even with
Jay Cutler

out of the lineup, Marshall can still make plays with
Josh McCown

under center. Marshall has two tough matchups coming up against Baltimore and St. Louis. He then has Minnesota and Dallas to start the fantasy playoffs in Weeks 13 and 14.


The Urinal Cake Award

Awarded to the fantasy players who you would like to, well, you know.

Marvin Jones – 1 reception, 2 yards. Remember how just three weeks ago Jones was the hot receiver to have? He had scored in three straight games and then had four touchdowns against the New York Jets. Well, since then, he hasn’t done much and last week he was thrown to seven times and caught just one pass.

Colin Kaepernick – 11/22, 91 yards, 4 rushes, 16 yards. This is Kaepernick’s worst game of the season and seventh game where he failed to pass for 200 yards. The Carolina defense was a tough matchup but now that
Vernon Davis

is out, Kaepernick doesn’t have anyone to throw to. Not a good situation facing the New Orleans Saints this week on the road.

Vincent Jackson – 3 receptions, 28 yards. The Miami defense did well by limiting Jackson’s production, but it is now two weeks in a row for Jackson where he has eight fantasy points total in those games combined. The schedule is favorable the next two weeks as he faces Atlanta and Detroit but he has a tough early playoff matchup against Carolina, who held him to 79 yards and no touchdowns in Week 8.



MATCHUPS

Good quarterback matchups this week

Carson Palmer at Jacksonville.
Last week Palmer had a decent outing against a tough Houston pass defense throwing for 241 yards with two touchdowns and one interception. The Jaguars won last week for the first time but still give up 28 fantasy points to
Ryan Fitzpatrick

coming off the bench for an injured
Jake Locker

. The Jaguars are giving up an average of 24.6 fantasy points a game to opposing quarterbacks and are allowing an average of 230.5 passing yards per game (13th) this season with 18 touchdowns allowed to only four interceptions this season. Key stat for this defense is that opposing quarterbacks have run for five touchdowns this season.


Nick Foles against Washington.

Foles put up almost half the points he did the previous week, but it was still good for 24 fantasy points. This week Foles will face the Redskins, who the Philadelphia Eagles beat in the season opener. In his six games, Foles is averaging 23.6 fantasy points. On the season, the Redskins have given up four games of more than 340 passing yards and have allowed multiple touchdowns in six games this season.
Christian Ponder

was starting to put up fantasy points last week on the Redskins before an injury forced him out of the game. Washington is 26th in the league allowing an average of 274.8 passing yards per game with 19 touchdowns yielded this season.

Sleeper Pick of the Week:
Ryan Tannehill against San Diego. The offensive line for the Miami Dolphins has been awful and it cost them a win against the winless Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week. The team finished with two net rushing yards for the whole game. Tannehill, however, has been consistent all season long. He hasn’t put up great numbers but in six of his nine starts this season he has scored exactly 16 fantasy points. His other three starts went for 18, 18 and 14 fantasy points, which averages to about 16.7. So Tannehill is a safe bet to post 16 points this week but he could get you more against the Chargers, who are allowing an average of 279.6 passing yards a game (28th) with 14 touchdowns allowed this season.


Good running back matchups this week



Andre Brown against Green Bay.

I expect Brown to be a top-10 running back this week because I think the New York Giants are going to run the ball as much as they can and control the clock. We have seen how different the Packers are without
Aaron Rodgers

running the offense, which will lead to more three-and-outs. In the past two weeks
Matt Forte

rushed for 125 yards and a touchdown while
LeSean McCoy

put up 155 yards. Brown will get 100-plus yards in this game.


Le’Veon Bell against Detroit.

Bell has averaged 19.3 fantasy points over the past three games and has a good opportunity to catch a ton of passes out of the back field. This is going to be one of the higher-scoring games this week and I’m starting all the players that I have on both teams. Career day for Bell.

Sleeper Pick of the Week:
Brian Leonard against Atlanta. Last week Leonard came into the game with
Bobby Rainey

after
Mike James

fractured his ankle. Leonard carried the ball 20 times while Rainey carried just eight times. Compare this situation to the Falcons when
Steven Jackson

was out. They ran the ball with
Jason Snelling

and
Jacquizz Rodgers

. Same approach for Tampa Bay. It might not be the ideal starter you wanted but you could get 8-10 points or more out of this.


Bad quarterback matchups this week

Philip Rivers at Miami. Rivers put up a mediore 14 fantasy points last week against Denver’s 30th-ranked pass defense. This week he will have a tougher time against the Miami Dolphins, who have given up just nine touchdowns passing all season. Four of the 9 touchdowns were given up to
Drew Brees

in Week 4. The Dolphins have held fantasy quarterbacks to 15 points or fewer over the past four games with just two passing touchdowns allowed in that time. This is the first week I will not start
Keenan Allen

.

Tom Brady at Carolina. Brady posted his best game of the season in Week 9 before the team’s bye. He posted as many fantasy points as he scored over the previous three games and was averaging only 10.5 fantasy points from Weeks 5-8. I don’t like Brady’s matchup this week against the Panthers, who have been dominant against quarterbacks this season and held
Colin Kaepernick

to just 91 passing yards last week. The Panthers have not allowed a multiple touchdown game all season and are fourth in the NFL allowing 201.3 passing yards per game on average with just seven touchdowns allowed versus 13 interceptions this season.

Andy Dalton against Cleveland. This is Dalton’s second game against the Browns this season, and in the first game he was shut out of the end zone, finishing with just 10 fantasy points. Expect Dalton to struggle in this game as he has been up-and-down all season. Last week his ‘Hail Mary’ touchdown was lucky as he was ineffective all game.
A.J. Green

was held to just 51 yards in the game against Cleveland and could be in for another quiet week. The Browns are allowing an average of 217.4 passing yards per game (10th) with 13 touchdowns yielded this season.


Bad running back matchups this week

C.J. Spiller/Fred Jackson against the New York Jets. Spiller and Jackson are in a complete timeshare as Spiller is getting on average nine carries to Jackson’s 13 over their last four games played. In Week 3, Jackson did have some success running the ball against the Jets as he rushed for 72 yards but only had seven carries. Spiller didn’t play as well as he rushed for just nine yards on 10 carries in that game. The Jets have not allowed a running back to rush for more than 50 yards since the game against the Bills. They Jets are No. 1 in the NFL against the run, allowing an average of 73.8 rushing yards with five touchdowns allowed this season.

Ray Rice at Chicago. The volume of touches were there for Rice last week but he still only rushed for 30 yards. He did get six receptions for 26 yards, which helps in points per reception leagues. As a Rice owner, it has killed me to see him putting up such poor numbers. Especially when the potential is there to have a big game like he did in Week 5 when he had 32 fantasy points against a good Miami defense. Stat wise, it looks as if the Bears matchup would be good for Rice as they have allowed 100-plus yards in four of the past six games but you can’t trust this Ravens offense to produce.

Pierre Thomas against San Francisco. Last week’s game against Dallas was a fantasy gold mine for the New Orleans back field. All three running backs played well as Thomas,
Darren Sproles

and
Mark Ingram

scored. Ingram entered the game with 50 total yards on the season and ended up with 145 with a touchdown. Not going to happen this week as the 49ers are a tougher matchup. The 49ers have yet to allow a 100-yard rusher all season and are allowing an average of 105.1 rushing yards per game (12th) with eight touchdowns allowed this season. Expect the Saints to do any scoring through the air.

FanDuel

Week 11 is here, which is the final week to buy into the FFFC Super Qualifier. I’ve played a number of tournaments in hopes of making it to Vegas but the closest I came to finishing first is 11th place a few weeks back. I’ll work at it next year. Last week
Tavon Austin

and the St. Louis defense were key to a lot of lineups. I had more misses than hits as
Dez Bryant

,
Vernon Davis

and
Cam Newton

came up short for me. The biggest killers were
Jake Locker

,
Keenan Allen

and the Tennessee defense/special teams. So far the play against the Jaguars has not produced any big fantasy games.

This week I am reserved from playing Arizona against Jacksonville. I may use the Cardinals in a few lineups but that is about it. The last two weeks produced seven points for the Titans and 12 points for the 49ers. I will be playing
Case Keenum

,
Cecil Shorts

,
Andre Brown

and
Ben Tate

. Value guys I like are Marquise Goodwin and
Brian Leonard

.


Sign Up Here – $300,000 Sunday Bomb

Week 11: Every win over the next three or four weeks is vital for making the playoffs or securing that top seed. Try not to over manage and play the guys that have carried you through the season.

Follow @BrewCrewCorner

 

Cheers! undefined undefined
undefined
undefined undefined undefined

Welcome to Week 11. We are just a couple of weeks away from the fantasy playoffs which will begin in Week 13 for some and Week 14 for others.

About Fantasy Sharks

FantasySharks.com began in 2003, disseminating fantasy football content on the web for free. It is, or has been, home to some of the most talented and best known fantasy writers on the planet. Owned and operated by Tony Holm (5 time Fantasy Sports Writer Association Hall-of-Fame nominee,) Tony started writing fantasy content in 1993 for the only three fantasy football web sites in existence at the time.