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Week 12: We’ve Got Options

Happy Thanksgiving and welcome to week twelve of the Brew Crew Corner. The hot topic this week is options. Not just options on the waiver wire but also the option play. Vince Young and the Titans have ran the option pretty effectively. Is the option play the new wild cat? With a QB like Young, the Titans can run the option and other teams will look to add the option to keep defenses of balance. Fantasy leagues are coming to an end but there are still new options making themselves available. Jason Snelling, Rock Cartwright and Danny Ware if they are still out there can help some teams that are on the bubble of making the post season.

THANKSGIVING MATCHUPS

The Packers at The Lions 12:30 PM

The Lions have lost 5 straight turkey days. The Lions are coming off a win last week against the Browns while the Packers got a win against the 49ers.

The Keys to the game: Injuries will play a big part on both sides. The Lions will be without Matthew Stafford and maybe Calvin Johnson. The Packers lost both Al Harris and Aaron Kampman.

Good Play for Packers: Aaron Rodgers, Greg Jennings, Donald Driver, Ryan Grant

Good Plays for Lions: Kevin Smith, Bryant Johnson

Prediction: Packers 38- Lions 17

The Raiders at The Cowboys 4:15 PM

The Cowboys have three straight Thanksgiving wins. The Cowboys struggled last week to beat the Redskins on 2 missed FGs. The Raiders have made a change at QB and are coming off a big win over the Bengals.

Keys to the Game: The Cowboys have scored just 14 points the past two games and they have no points the first 3 quarters of each game. If they start off slow again they could allow the Raiders to steal one on the road. Jason Witten is questionable.

Good Plays for the Raiders: Zack Miller, Justin Fargas

Good Play for the Cowboys: Marion Barber, Miles Austin

Prediction: Raiders 20- Cowboys 17

The Giants at The Broncos 8:20 PM

Both these teams have a lot in common this season. Both teams have started the season hot. Both teams have had a 4 game losing streak and both teams have lost their division lead to another team in the division. The difference is that the Giants are coming off a win that help stop the bleeding while the Broncos are still looking to get back on track.

Keys to the Game: Both teams have lost players on defense. The team will need its role players to step up and pick up the slack.

Good plays for Giants: Brandon Jacobs, Mario Manningham, Danny Ware

Good Plays for Broncos: Knowshon Moreno, Brandon Marshall

Prediction: Giants 22 – Broncos 13

Top 10 QB’s Last Three Weeks

according to Shark League scoring by average points per game

1. Aaron Rodgers 23.0

2. Kurt Warner 22.3

3. Eli Manning 21.5

4. Tom Brady 21.3 

5. Brett Favre 21.0

6. Matthew Stafford 20.3

7. Matt Schaub 19.5

8. Peyton Manning 19.3

9. David Garrard 19.0 

10. Donovan McNabb 18.7

Top 10 RB’s Last Three Weeks

according to Shark League scoring by average points per game

1. Chris Johnson 34.7 

2. Steven Jackson 30.0

3. Maurice Jones-Drew 24.7 

4. Ray Rice 24.7

5. Jason Snelling 24.5 

6. Frank Gore 24.3 

7. Adrian Peterson 24.0

8. Michael Turner 23.0 

9. Joseph Addai 22.7

10. DeAngelo Williams 22.0

Top 10 WR’s Last Three Weeks

according to Shark League scoring by average points per game

1. Randy Moss 26.7

2. Sidney Rice 26.5

3. Larry Fitzgerald 25.0

4. Wes Welker 23.3

5. Terrell Owens 22.5 

6. Anquan Boldin 21.0

7. Mike Sims-Walker 20.7

8. Reggie Wayne 20.7

9. Brandon Marshall 19.0 

10. Hines Ward 19.0

Top 10 TE’s Last Three Weeks

according to Shark League scoring by average points per game

1. Greg Olsen 18.0

2. Kevin Boss 16.5

3. Tony Gonzalez 16.3

4. Vernon Davis 15.3 

5. Brandon Pettigrew 14.3

6. Dallas Clark 14.0 

7. Tom Santi 14.0

8. Visanthe Shiancoe 14.0

9. Kellen Winslow 13.0

10. Jermichael Finley 12.0  

Top 10 PK’s Last Three Weeks

according to Shark League scoring by average points per game

1. Billy Cundiff 21.0

2. Rob Bironas 13.0

3. Stephen Gostkowski 12.3

4. David Akers 11.3

5. Dan Carpenter 11.0

6. Ryan Succop 10.7

7. Lawrence Tynes 10.5 

8. Olindo Mare 10.0

9. Robbie Gould 9.7

10. Sebastian Janikowski 9.5

Top 10 D/ST’s Last Three Weeks

according to Shark League scoring by average points per game

1. Titans Def 16.7

2. Saints Def  16.0

3. Bengals Def  15.3

4. Raiders Def  13.5

5. Ravens Def  13.0 6

6. Steelers Def  13.0

7. Chiefs Def  12.0

8. Patriots  36 12.0 

9. Vikings Def  12.0

10. Packers Def  11.3

10 Struggling Players Last Three Weeks

according to Shark League scoring by average points per game

1. Knowshon Moreno 8.7

2. Miles Austin 8.3

3. Chad Ochocinco 8.3

4. Ahmad Bradshaw 7.5

5. Falcons Def 7.0

6. Marques Colston 6.7

7. Braylon Edwards 6.0

8. Torry Holt 5.7

9. Darren McFadden 4.0

10. Mark Clayton 1.3

The Golden Mug Award

Awarded to the fantasy player who came through for their team.

Ricky Williams- 22 car for 119 RuYDs 2 RuTDs and 1 ReTD. With Ronnie Brown out for the season, Williams carried the team on his back and ran over the Panthers. Williams despite sharking time with Brown is the 8th ranked RB in fantasy leagues.

Wes Welker- 15 rec for 192 ReYDs, 1 car for 11 RuYDs. Although Welker did not score, he more than made up for it with receptions and yardage. In a PPR league, Welker outscored any WR in week 11.

Terrell Owens- 9 rec for 197 and 1 ReTD. Who was that man running all over the field. For those who have suffered all season, this was the one bright game if you even started him. Still, it’s hard to think that Owens had his best game as a Bill and they still lost.

 

The Urinal Cake Award

Awarded to the fantasy player who you would like to, well you know.

Roy Williams-  ZERO with 4 targets. The Cowboys offense had a hard time putting drives together but Williams can’t get open and can’t get up to grab passes. One football expert simply stated that williams lacks leg strength to be effective.

Jeremy Shockey- 2 rec for 17 ReYDs 0 ReTDs. Shockey’s yardage has dropped for 4 straight weeks and he has just one TD since week one. As high powered an offense as the Saints have, he should have better numbers than these.

Brandon Marshall- 3 rec for 26 ReYDs 0 ReTDs. Marshall had let down last week after having two huge games in week 9 and 10. With the team on a 4 game losing streak, he will need to pick up his game to save the Broncos season.

MATCHUPS

The matchups I like this week for QBs:

Matt Ryan against the Buccaneers. The Falcons are on a skid and they are looking forward to this game to turn things around. Ryan has fallen out of the top 10 QBs recently and is currently the 15th best QB in fantasy leagues. This week he faces a Bucs team that is allowing 29.4 points per game (31st) with 209.4 PaYDs (14th) and has given up 22 PaTDs (30th). The Falcons need a win to keep in the wild card chase.

Aaron Rodgers against the Lions. Detroit won last week and no longer have the worst record in the league but they are still last in the division and last in the league in passing defense. The Lions give up 30.1 points per game (32nd) with 275.3 PaYDs (32nd) and 24 PaTDs (31st). In Rodgers first game against the Lions he threw for 358 yards and 2 PaTDs.

Carson Palmer against the Browns. Palmer has been a decent fantasy QB as he is ranked 13th. He faces a woeful Browns team that just lost to the Lions. The Bengals are coming off a disappointing loss themselves and will look to increase their lead in the division as Baltimore and Pittsburgh also play this week. The last game against the Browns Palmer threw for 230 yards and 2 TDs. The Browns defense is allowing 26.3 points per game (30th) with 247.1 PaYDs (26th) and 15 PaTDs.

The Matchups I like this week for RBs:

Joseph Addai against the Texans. Addai is having a nice and quiet fantasy season this year as he is currently the 7th best RB in fantasy leagues. He is running well and the Colts offense is clicking. He’ll be facing a Texans team coming off a tough Monday night loss. The Texans defense is allowing 120.6 RuYDs (22nd) and 13 RuTDs. They have also given up 11 runs over 20 yards.

Ryan Grant against the Lions. Grant is starting to run like a starting RB and had a very strong game last week. He gets another matchup against the Lions on Thanksgiving. The Packers will be able to move the ball well and Grant will be in the mix for a lot of touches. The Lions defense is allowing the post points per game in the league with 30.1. They also give up 116.2 RuYds (20th) with 9 RuTDs and 13 runs over 20 yards.

Adrian Peterson against the Bears. While Chris Johnson and Maurice Jones-Drew have grabbed the RB spot light, the buzz around Adrian Peterson has been quiet. Peterson is currently the #3 RB in fantasy leagues. He’s 3rd in RuYDs with 999 and second with 11 RuTDs. He and Chris Johnson are the only RBs with more than ten 20+ yard runs. look for Peterson to keep pace with the top RBs this week against a Bears defense that is allowing 122.3 RuYDs (23rd) with 9 RuTDs.

The matchups I don’t like this week for QBs:

Ben Roethlisberger against the Ravens. Roethlisberger practice but check the news often in case they insert Dennis Dixon. The Ravens have been up and down lately and need a win bad as they have lost both games to the Bengals and play the first of two meetings against the Steelers. The Ravens pass defense is allowing 217.9 PaYDs (17th) with 11 PaTDs. These teams always play close games so expect a though outing for whichever Steelers QB starts.

Jay Cutler against the Vikings. The Bears have lost 3 straight and 5 of the past 6 games and Cutler has been partly to blame for it.  He has 18 INTs to just 15 TDs and faces a Vikings team that is playing well and would love to have him continue playing poorly. In last week’s game he threw 3 bad passes that could have easily been TDs. The Vikings defense is allowing 231.5 PaYDs (21st) with 14 PaTDs.

Jake Delhomme against the Jets. The Panthers have mounted a resurgence on offense but their playoff chances are almost gone. They face a Jets team that is also fighting to remain in the playoff hunt. The Jets defense is allowing 182.9 PaYDs (4th) with only 7 PaTDs. They have only allowed 3 passing plays over 40 yards.

The matchups I don’t like this week for RBs:

Matt Forte against the Vikings. Forte struggled against the Eagles last week. he is currently 9th among fantasy RBs but is 22nd in RuYDs. He faces a Vikings team that is allowing just 85.5 RuYDs (3rd) with only 3 RuTDs (T2nd). With the struggles of Jay Cutler, Forte will find it hard to get yards.

Steve Slaton against the Colts. Slaton has been dealing with fumbling issues and lost his starting job. He was limited last week but still found the endzone. He faces a tough Colts team that is rolling right now. The Colts defense is allowing 107.6 RuYDs (13th) with 7 RuTDs and just 3 runs over 20 yards.

Rock Cartwright against the Eagles. Cartwright got an opportunity to prove he can contribute with Clinton Portis out and Ladell Betts going down with an injury. This week he has a hard matchup as the Eagles will force the Redskins to beat them through the air. The Eagles defense is allowing 104.3 RuYDs (10th) with 7 RuTDs.

Good luck to everyone in week twelve. 

Cheers!

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