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Week 15: End of the 14-game Schedule

Welcome to Week 15 of the
Brew Crew Corner. The holidays are around the corner and for the leagues that
have a 14-game season, the playoff start this week. I play in a number of
leagues. Some of these leagues have a 13-game schedule and also play in a few
that goes the full 14 games. I don’t have a preference one way or the other, although
I would say that a 13-game season has a small margin for error when trying to
make the playoffs. In general, you would need to win six games on average to
qualify for the playoffs in a 13-game season. During a 14-week campaign you
have an extra game to qualify. A big concern regarding a 14-game season is the
playoff factor of NFL teams that have secured a certain playoff spot. Players
like Peyton Manning drive owners crazy when they make it to the Super Bowl only
to have their stud quarterback sit the game out. This season owners of players
on the Colts, Saints and Vikings are getting nervous that they might be without
their playmakers for that ultimate game. The fact is both owners making it to
the championship game are facing the same situation. If you do have Drew Brees
or Adrian Peterson, then you should have addressed the possibility of missing
that player for the final game. You should have a handcuff for your running
back or a second quarterback to get you bye. After all, you have to be prepared
for the event that your player would be injured.

Let us take a look at the
teams that finished last season with a first-round bye. The Giants and Titans
followed by the Steelers and Panthers. For the quarterbacks, only Jake Delhomme
played an extended amount of time as the four combined to average six fantasy
points. For the running backs, Brandon Jacobs, DeAngelo Williams, Chris Johnson
and Willie Parker had a bit of a mix result as Williams and Parker posted good
stats while Johnson and Jacobs both sat out. At wide receiver,

Carolina’s Steve Smith and Muhsin Muhammad
combined for 38 fantasy points.

New
York
’s Steve Smith played little but Domenik Hixon
posted 16 fantasy points. It should be noted that Plaxico Burress was suspended
at the end of last season.

Don’t forget there are
games on Thursday, Saturday, Sunday and Monday this week. NICE!

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE

The chart color chart
below will show which teams have easy pass or run schedules as well as those
that have hard schedules over the next three games.

 

 

Team

Passing SOS

TB

27.33

GB

23.33

STL

23.33

SF

23

CLE

22.33

BUF

21.33

DET

21

NYJ

20.67

TEN

20.33

DEN

19.67

MIA

19.67

JAX

19.67

CHI

19.67

HOU

18.33

ARI

18

PHI

16.67

CAR

16

SD

15.67

NE

15.33

DAL

15

SEA

13.67

WAS

13.33

KC

13

OAK

12.67

BAL

12.67

PIT

12

NO

11.33

CIN

11.67

IND

10.67

NYG

8.67

MIN

7.67

ATL

4.33

 

 

 

 

 

Team

Rushing SOS

ATL

24.67

CLE

24

DEN

22.67

NE

22

NO

21.67

SF

20.67

JAX

20.33

CIN

20

MIN

19.67

IND

19

BUF

18.67

HOU

18.67

BAL

18.33

ARI

18

TB

18

NYG

17.33

DAL

17

OAK

16.33

DET

15.67

KC

15.33

TEN

15

STL

14.33

NYJ

14.33

SEA

13.33

WAS

12.67

CHI

11.67

SD

10.67

CAR

10.67

GB

10.33

MIA

9.33

PHI

9.33

PIT

7

 

 

HOT AND COLD

Teams records over the
past five games.

 

 

Team

Last 5

Indianapolis


Colts

5-0  

New
Orleans

Saints  

5-0  

San
Diego

Chargers  

5-0  

Green
Bay

Packers  

5-0  

Tennessee


Titans  

4-1  

Minnesota


Vikings  

4-1  

Philadelphia


Eagles  

4-1  

Miami


Dolphins  

4-1

Jacksonville


Jaguars  

3-2  

San
Francisco

49ers  

3-2  

Baltimore


Ravens  

3-2  

New
York

Jets  

3-2

Cincinnati


Bengals  

3-2  

Arizona


Cardinals  

3-2

Dallas


Cowboys  

2-3

Seattle


Seahawks  

2-3  

New England


Patriots  

2-3  

New
York

Giants  

2-3  

Denver


Broncos  

2-3  

Carolina


Panthers  

2-3  

Oakland


Raiders  

2-3  

Kansas
City

Chiefs  

2-3  

Washington


Redskins  

2-3  

Buffalo


Bills  

2-3  

Atlanta


Falcons  

1-4  

Chicago


Bears  

1-4  

Cleveland


Browns  

1-4

Detroit


Lions  

1-4  

Houston


Texans  

1-4  

St.
Louis

Rams  

0-5  

Tampa

Bay

Buccaneers  

0-5  

Pittsburgh


Steelers  

0-5  

 

 

Top 10 QB Last Three
Weeks

according to
Shark League scoring by average points per game

1. Drew Brees 27

2. Tony Romo 22.3

3. Jason Campbell 22

4. Philip Rivers 20

5. Aaron Rodgers 20

6. Brett Favre 18.7

7. Eli Manning 18.7

8. Peyton Manning 18.3

9. Matt Schaub 17.7 

10. Vince Young 17.7

Top 10 RB Last Three
Weeks

according to Shark League scoring by average points per game

1. Chris Johnson 32.3

2. Jamaal Charles 24.7

3. Adrian Peterson 22.7

4. Ray Rice 22

5. Thomas Jones 20.7

6. Frank Gore 20.3

7. Fred Jackson 19.7

8. Joseph Addai 19.3

9. Knowshon Moreno 19.3

10. Ricky Williams 18.7

Top 10 WR Last Three
Weeks

according to Shark League scoring by average points per game

1. Brandon Marshall 29.7

2. Andre Johnson 25

3. Miles Austin 24.0

4. Santonio Holmes 20.7

5. DeSean Jackson 20.5

6. Wes Welker 18.7 

7. Robert Meachem 18

8. Marques Colston 17

9. Anquan Boldin 15.7

10. Kenny Britt 15.7

Top 10 TE Last Three
Weeks

according to
Shark League scoring by average points per game

1. Antonio Gates
22.7 

2.

Dallas

Clark
17.7

3.

Vernon

Davis
17.7 

4. Jason Witten 17.3 

5. Fred Davis 16.7

6. Jermichael Finley 14.3

7. Tony Gonzalez 14.3

8. Bo Scaife 11.7

9. Brent Celek 11

10. Zach Miller 10.3

Top 10 K Last Three Weeks

according to Shark League scoring by average points per game

1. Jay Feely 15

2. Matt Prater 13

3. Rob Bironas 12.7 

4. Nate Kaeding 12.7

5. Ryan Longwell 12.3

6. David Akers 11.7

7. Lindell Lindell 11

8. Shayne Graham 10.7

9. Mason Crosby 9.3 

10. Kris Brown 9

Top 10 D/ST Last Three
Weeks

according to Shark League scoring by average points per game

1. Jets 20.3

2. Packers 18.7

3. Eagles 17.7

4. 49ers 17.3

5. Broncos 15

6. Bills 13

7. Panthers 13

8. Texans Def 12.7

9. Bengals Def 12

10. Chargers Def 11.7

The
Golden Mug Award

Awarded to the
fantasy player who came through for their team.

Brandon Marshall – 21 receptions,
200 yards, 2 TD. How a team has one guy put up these stats and still lose is a
mystery to me. It’s like Kobe Bryant dropping 60 points and the Lakers still
lose.

Marshall
set an NFL record as well as putting up the fantasy stats of two Wes Welkers.

Chris Johnson – 28 carries,
117 yards, 2 TD; 3 receptions, 69 yards, 1 TD. Johnson is playing out of his
mind right now and fantasy owners are riding him to a championship game. The
No. 1 pick in 2010 fantasy drafts? He’s making a pretty strong argument.

DeSean Jackson – 6 receptions,
178 yards, 1 TD. After sitting a week out with a concussion,

Jackson returned to play like he hasn’t
missed a snap. If your league rewards for return touchdowns you scored on

Jackson’s kick return.

Jackson’s play this
season leaves owners eager to get him next season when he’ll be in his third
season.

The Urinal
Cake Award

Awarded to the fantasy player who you would like to, well you know.

Randy Moss – 1 reception, 16 yards. The warning sign were there from the minute
Moss was sent home on that snowy day. Add to that the change to the offensive
plan to go with more short plays and you have an unmotivated Moss. Not what
owners need at this point in the season.

Arizona Cardinals offense
– 5 Fumbles, 2 INTs. This game was ugly on so many levels for the Cardinals
that couldn’t hold on to the ball. I ended up losing with the Cardinals defense
because the fumble by Beanie Wells set up a Frank Gore score which decreased
the points my unit had.

Mike Sims-Walker – 1 reception,
6 yards. Upon learning that Sims-Walker was active for this game, I inserted
him into the lineup only to receive the same amount of points as if he were
inactive. Sometimes, it’s better not to know the last minute change of a
player.

MATCHUPS

The matchups
I like this week for QB:

Donovan McNabb against
the 49ers. The 49ers played great defense against the Cardinals, but can they
do it two games in a row? The pass defense is ranked 27th with 243.6
passing yards yielded per game and have allowed 13 passing touchdowns. I expect
McNabb to play well and if Brian Westbrook returns he will have another option
on the field.

Kurt Warner against the
Lions. How do you bounce back from a horrible game? Play the worst pass defense
in the league. The Cardinals need to save face and lock up the division with a
win this week. They face a Lions team that is allowing 272.1 passing yards (32nd)
per game with 29 passing touchdowns given up.

The matchups
I like this week for RB:

Brandon Jacobs/Ahmad Bradshaw
against the Redskins. These teams met in Week 1, and Jacobs and Bradshaw
combined for 106 rushing yards. Now that Bradshaw is healthier, you will see
the Giants running game play better as they did last week against the Eagles.
Expect the Giants to have much success on the ground facing a Redskin team that
is allowing 117.5 rushing yards per game (22nd) with seven rushing
touchdowns allowed this season.

Knowshon Moreno against
the Raiders. In Week 3,

Moreno
carried the ball 21 times for 90 yards and a touchdown. This week he faces a
Raiders team that is back to JaMarcus Russell at quarterback, providing plenty
of opportunities for the

Denver defense to get
good field position allowing

Moreno
to run on a defense that is allowing 154.2 rushing yards a game (30th)
and has given up 20 rushing touchdowns (32nd).

The
matchups I don’t like this week for QBs:

Ben Roethlisberger
against the Packers. The Steelers have lost their last five games and losing to
the 1-11 Browns the way they did showed how much trouble this team is in. It
doesn’t get easier this week as they face a hot Packers team that hasn’t let up
on defense even with the loss of key players. The Packers are allowing 187 passing
yards a game (third) with 24 passing touchdowns allowed and 23 interceptions
(third).

Carson

Palmer against the Chargers. This
is going to be a big test to show where Palmer and the Bengals are this season
and how they are going to do down the stretch. The Chargers have won eight
straight games after starting 2-3. The Chargers defense is allowing 207.1 passing
yards a game (10th) with 19 passing touchdowns against them this
season. This is going to be one of those low-scoring games where the running backs
will decide the outcome.

The
matchups I don’t like this week for RBs:

LeSean McCoy/Brian
Westbrook against the 49ers. With Westbrook back in the fold, McCoy losses even
more playing time then he has over the last few weeks with Leonard Weaver
taking carries away. We don’t know in what capacity Westbrook will play either
as the Eagles could ease him back into playing time by limiting his touches.
Still they are facing a 49ers run defense that is coming off a big win against
a division foe. I think the passing game will be all the fire power the Eagles
will need in this game, which doesn’t leave much fantasy production for the running
back position. The 49ers run defense is allowing just 95 rushing yards a game (fifth)
with only 10 rushing touchdowns against them this season.

DeAngelo Williams/Jonathan
Stewart against the Vikings. The Panthers have lost tackle Jeff Otah and will
face the Vikings without their two starting lineman. Not good news for the
Panthers running backs that are facing a very tough defense. Williams has not
scored in his last four games and Stewart has one touchdown in his last four
games. The Vikings are allowing just 86.9 rushing yards per game (fourth) while
giving up just three rushing touchdowns this season (first).

Good luck to everyone in
Week 15. I’d like to give a special thanks to my wife as we are celebrating our
third anniversary this week. She has supported me every year that I have played
and wrote fantasy football.

Cheers

!

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