Sunday - Feb 17, 2019

Home / Commentary / Week 9: The Ugly Side of Fantasy

Week 9: The Ugly Side of Fantasy

Welcome to the Week 9 edition of the Brew Crew Corner. Last week we reached the fantasy mid-season and looked at the top players through seven weeks. Now that Halloween is over we can look at another horror in the making and that is the players that we expected to be tops in the league but have disappointed so far this season.

Below is a list of fantasy players drafted in the Top 20 at quarterback, running back and wide receiver as well as the Top 10 tight ends that are ranked lower at their position through eight weeks of the fantasy season. There are players such as Peyton Manning and Jamaal Charles that are out for the season, but like it or not, they are still a bust in my book because you invested a high draft pick to get that player.

ADP (Pos) Quarterback TM Current Rank (+/-)
10 Peyton Manning IND 63 (-53)
8 Matt Ryan ATL 15 (-7)
5 Philip Rivers SD 10 (-5)
6 Tony Romo DAL 11 (-5)
2 Michael Vick PHI 5 (-3)
11 Josh Freeman TB 14 (-3)
7 Matt Schaub HOU 9 (-2)
1 Aaron Rodgers GB 2 (-1)
3 Tom Brady NE 4 (-1)
ADP (Pos) Running backs TM Current Rank (+/-)
5 Jamaal Charles KC 74 (-69)
14 Peyton Hillis CLE 35 (-21)
18 Felix Jones DAL 38 (-20)
4 Chris Johnson TEN 20 (-16)
7 Rashard Mendenhall PIT 23 (-16)
17 DeAngelo Williams CAR 33 (-16)
15 LeGarrette Blount TB 30 (-15)
8 Maurice Jones-Drew JAX 13 (-5)
2 Arian Foster HOU 6 (-4)
12 Steven Jackson STL 16 (-4)
18 Jahvid Best DET 14 (-4)
9 Michael Turner ATL 12 (-3)
3 Ray Rice BAL 5 (-2)
ADP (Pos) Wide receivers TM Current Rank (+/-)
1 Andre Johnson HOU 39 (-38)
13 Mike Williams TB 44 (-31)
17 Santonio Holmes NYJ 40 (-23)
18 Brandon Lloyd STL 34 (-16)
9 Reggie Wayne IND 24 (-15)
11 Miles Austin DAL 25 (-14)
14 Dez Bryant DAL 28 (-14)
7 Vincent Jackson SD 20 (-13)
2 Roddy White ATL 14 (-12)
10 DeSean Jackson PHI 22 (-12)
4 Larry Fitzgerald ARI 11 (-7)
6 Hakeem Nicks NYG 10 (-4)
18 Marques Colston NO 21 (-3)
15 Brandon Marshall MIA 17 (-2)
ADP (Pos) Tightends TM Current Rank (+/-)
8 Marcedes Lewis JAX 38 (-30)
1 Antonio Gates SD 27 (-26)
4 Dallas Clark IND 18 (-14)
2 Jermichael Finley GB 10 (-8)
5 Vernon Davis SF 13 (-8)
9 Kellen Winslow TB 15 (-6)
6 Owen Daniels HOU 7 (-1)

The Golden Mug Award
Awarded to the fantasy player who came through for their team.

Steven Jackson– 25  carries for 159 yards and two touchdowns with four receptions for 32 yards. Jackson had his best fantasy performance since he put up 149 yards and a score back in Week 8 of 2009. This is Jackson’s first 100+ yard game this season and the schedule is favorable the next four games against the Browns, Seahawks and Cardinals twice. If he can only stay healthy.

LeSean McCoy– 20 carries for 185 yards and two touchdowns. After a disappointing Week 4 against the 49ers, McCoy has been on a tear scoring four touchdowns and averaging 130.3 yards over the past three games.

Ray Rice– 18 carries for 63 yards and three touchdowns with seven receptions for 36 yards. Through the first half of the game, it looked as if Rice was headed for another bad game after posting just 28 yards against the Jaguars on Monday night.  

Even though his yardage was mediocre, he found the end zone three times and added seven receptions which is a boost in PPR  leagues.

The Urinal Cake Award
Awarded to the fantasy player who you would like to, well you know.

Robert Meachem– Two receptions for 12 yards. Where has this guy disappeared to? After starting the season with three consecutive weeks with a touchdown, he has now been scoreless in the last five games. What is worst is that he’s averaging just 2.3 receptions and 25 yards over the past four weeks. You can’t play him unless there is an injury to Marquis Colston or Lance Moore.

Dez Bryant– Three receptions for 28 yards. It has become obvious that Bryant disappears in the second half of games. Tony Romo seems to not have a lot of trust in Bryant. You shouldn’t trust him either and should look trade him to
that die hard Cowboys fan in your league.

DeSean Jackson– Three receptions for 31 yards. Jackson is another player you look at and scratch your head because he can put up big numbers like he did in Week 4 when he pasted 171 yards but he’s has been up and down all season. In games he has performed well (Weeks 1,4,5) he is putting up 120 receiving yards a game with two scores, but in the games he has done poorly (Weeks 2,3,6,8) he is averaging just 32 receiving yards with no touchdowns.

MATCH-UPS

Good quarterback match-ups this week:

Eli Manning against the Patriots. Two factors will allow Manning to have a great fantasy day. The injury to Ahmad Bradshaw and the Patriots pass defense. Bradshaw is going to try and play with his cracked bone but will still be limited. Jacobs is banged up himself and will not be counted on to carry 20+ times in this game so Manning will have to move the ball through the air. The Patriots defense been the teams Achilles heel ranked last in the league with 323.1 passing yards a game and 12 touchdowns given up. In addition, the Patriots have allowed 39 plays of 40+ yards which is also the most in the NFL.

Michael Vick against the Bears. The Eagles looked good against the Cowboys last week and could jump back into the playoff race with a win over the bears. The Eagles have been run heavy the past two games but Vick has been the 3rd best fantasy quarterback over the past four weeks. The Bears have struggled against the pass allowing 271.9 passing yards per game (28th) with 11 touchdowns allowed.
 

Sleeper Pick of the Week: Matt Cassel– Does a healthy Jonathan Baldwin mean Cassel will be in for better games? Cassel could repeat his week 5 performance where he threw for 257 yards and four touchdowns. He’ll face the Miami Dolphins who have given up 17 touchdowns of which 14 of them have come through the air. The Dolphins are also allowing 270.7 passing yards per game (27th) and have just two interceptions all season.

Good running back match-ups this week:

Chris Wells against the Rams. Wells surprised with a good performance against the Ravens and will look to play this week. The Rams redeemed themselves after giving up 253 yards rushing to DeMarco Murray. Wells could find good room to run against a defense still ranked last in the league with 165.6 rushing yards per game and six touchdowns. The Cardinals might start John Skelton this week in place of an injured Kevin Kolb so expect them to run the ball more.

Michael Turner against the Colts. Turner has posted four 100+ yard games this season and before the bye he had back-to-back games with 122 rushing yards or more. The Colts did hold Chris Johnson to 34 yards but that would have impressed last season. The Colts defense is 31st in the league giving up 144.0 rushing yards per game and are one of three teams in the league to allow double digit touchdowns with 10 for the season.

Sleeper Pick of the Week: BenJarvus Green-Ellis/Kevin Faulk– Green Ellis has been hit-or-miss this season and if he doesn’t play in this game the other running backs will do well. The Giants can be beat on the ground. So far this season, they have allowed four 100 yard rushers in seven games. The Giants are giving up 130.1 rushing yards per game with 9 touchdowns allowed. Expect the Patriots to use the run to their advantage.

Bad quarterback match-ups this week:

Alex Smith against the Redskins. The Redskins have been in a slump but they are still good at pass defense. The team is 12th in the league allowing 223.1 passing yards per game and have surrendered just seven touchdowns passing. Smith has the 49ers winning but he’s averaging just 12.7 fantasy points over his past three starts.

Matt Schaub against the Browns. I don’t know about you but I’ve been stressing more about Andre Johnsons’ absence then Schaub has. Schaub might have to wait another week to have Johnson on the field and will be facing a tough Browns defense which is ranked 2nd in the league. The Browns are allowing just 171.9 passing yards per game and have allowed nine touchdowns.

Ben Roethlisberger against the Ravens. I know Big Ben will be fired up for this match-up as they will look to get back at the Ravens for their Week 1 loss but it was in that game where he threw three interceptions and lost two fumbles. Expect the Ravens to continue the same formula and give him a tough time. The Ravens defense has given up just five touchdowns through the air this season with 174.1 passing yards per game.

Bad running back match-ups this week:

Ryan Torain against the 49ers. You have to respect the 49ers defense. Through seven games they have yet to give up a rushing touchdown and they have allowed just 73.4 rushing yards per game. They haven’t had any running back put up more than 64 yards. Torain is coming off a horrible rushing performance as he carried the ball eight times for 14 yards. Torain is coming off a three game stretch where he’s put up just 31 total yards.

Marshawn Lynch against the Cowboys. The Cowboys were railroaded by LeSean McCoy as he ran for 185 yards and two scores but before that game the defense had been tops in the league in run defense. The Cowboys are still holding teams to just 93.9 rushing yards per game (4th) with four touchdowns given up on the ground. I expect the Cowboys to get off to a fast start forcing the Seahawks to play catch up.

Chris Johnson against the Bengals. Johnson is having a horrendous fantasy season. he is on pace for just 690 rushing yards this season and has just one score all season. Maybe the new contract has made him soft or maybe the holdout has affected his preparation but one thing is certain, you might have to bench him until he bounces back. Johnson will  face the Bengals who have allowed just one 100-yard rusher all season and are averaging just 85.4 rushing yards per game (2nd). There has been a waiver wire dash for Javon Ringer but both running backs will have a tough game.

Week 9: The downside of having top players that are under performing is that you can’t trade them for good value.  
 
Good Luck to everyone in Week 9. Follow @BrewCrewCorner

Cheers!

About Fantasy Sharks

FantasySharks.com began in 2003, disseminating fantasy football content on the web for free. It is, or has been, home to some of the most talented and best known fantasy writers on the planet. Owned and operated by Tony Holm (5 time Fantasy Sports Writer Association Hall-of-Fame nominee,) Tony started writing fantasy content in 1993 for the only three fantasy football web sites in existence at the time.