One of the keys to hauling in a good draft is knowing when to go against conventional wisdom. A good example of this is with Steven Jackson. Last year,
With both great power and breakaway speed, Jackson is clearly one of the top five runningbacks in the league in terms of talent. Now that the Rams have Sam Bradford, it is expected that the offense will finally become multi-dimensional, and most experts have
However, the truth is that
This brings us to another huge problem with the Rams offense: the offensive line may be even worse this year. Right now this group is just riddled with injuries. Jason Smith, who was supposed to help the group out last year, was oft-injured and now has a fracture in his left toe. Rodger Saffold and Jacob Bell both have knee injuries. With so many injuries coming into the season for a unit that already wasn’t that good, the offense will continue to struggle to find its rhythm.
A final problem with drafting Jackson is that he is injury prone himself. He hasn’t played a full season since 2006, and this offseason he had back surgery, which one doesn’t easily recover from. He has taken a pounding the last several years, and I would be surprised if he makes it through the whole season.
So, to sum up,
Personally, there is no way I would draft him in the first round, and I would even hesitate on taking him in the second round. There are a number of runningbacks who aren’t as talented, but very well could have more productive seasons than
Call me crazy, but I have Jackson ranked as the No. 15 runningback, and I predict that this year he will finish with less rushing yards than last year and also miss a few games. Let someone else in your league draft him early and take a solid lesser known runningback with upside in the third round.